PDF Survey of Burma/Myanmar Public Opinion

[Pages:58]Survey of Burma/Myanmar Public Opinion

March 9 ? April 1, 2017

Detailed Methodology

? Period : ? Survey Type : ? Eligibility : ? Total Respondents :

March 9, 2017 - April 1, 2017 In-person, in-home interviews The survey is a national representative sample of voting age adults, age 18+. n = 3,000

? Data was collected by Myanmar Survey Research under the supervision of Rob Varsalone of Global Strategic Partners and the International Republican Institute.

? A multi-stage probability sample was used. The sample was distributed into 300 primary sampling units (PSU) which were then stratified by region. Townships were selected through the Probability-Proportionateto-Size (PPS) method and the sample was further stratified by location. The equal-sized village tracts were selected by simple random sampling (SRS) and then the PSUs were selected through PPS.

? Within each PSU, systematic random sampling was used to select the households. Within each household the respondent was selected through the Kish Grid.

? At the midrange the survey has a confidence interval of plus and minus 1.8 percent with a confidence level of 95 percent. The response rate was 63 percent.

? The information in this report has been compiled in accordance with international standards for market and social research methodologies. Figures in charts and tables may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding error.

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Burma/Myanmar Geographical Zones

Plains zone Sagaing

Mandalay Magway

Naypyitaw

Hill zone Kachin Chin Shan Kayah Kayin

Coastal zone Rakhine Bago

Ayeyarwaddy Yangon Mon

Tanintharyi

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Socioeconomic Indicators

In general, would you say that things in the country are heading in the right direction or that they are heading in the wrong direction?

Apr-17

Feb-14

9%

6%

6%

16%

75%

88%

Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No response

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Why do you say "right direction"?*

(n=2,249)

Infrastructure

Roads are being paved and bridges are being built

Other

40%

37% 3%

Democracy/Freedom

People can speak their mind about politics

Other

Economy

Economic conditions have improved There are more jobs Other

Security

Security has improved Ethnic conflict has declined Other

18%

Social Serv ices

12%

More people have access to education

4%

Other

2%

New Government ? Misc.

10%

4%

Don't know/No response

3%

3%

*Responses less than 3 percent have been excluded for the purposes of this slide.

6%

4% 2%

6%

3% 3%

5% 9%

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Why do you say "wrong direction"?

(n=493)

Economy

Poor economic conditions Prices are higher Crop prices are lower There are fewer jobs Other

Peace Process/Violence

Ethnic violence Slow progress in the peace process Sectarian violence

53%

21% 21% 7% 3% 1%

20%

12% 5% 3%

Law and Order

Crime is worse No rule of law/transparency Security has declined Other

Problems with Youth

Infrastructure

Don't know/No response

14%

5% 4% 3% 2%

3%

3%

5%

*Responses less than 3 percent have been excluded for the purposes of this slide. 7

How would you describe the security situation in the country?

5%

7%

19%

19%

50%

Very good Good Bad Very bad Don't know/No response

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