NATIONAL DEFENSE BUDGET ESTIMATES FOR FY …

NATIONAL DEFENSE BUDGET ESTIMATES FOR FY 2021

OFFICE OF THE UNDER SECRETARY OF DEFENSE (COMPTROLLER) APRIL 2020

The estimated cost of this report or study for the Department of Defense is

approximately $11,000 for the 2020 Fiscal Year. This includes $1,600 in expenses and $9,510 in DoD labor.

Generated on 2020Mar20 RefID: 9-EC7FD33

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Table of Contents

Overview ? National Defense Budget Estimates for FY 2021 ........................................................................................................................... 1

Chapter 1: National Defense ? An Overview..................................................................................................................................................... 5 Table 1-1: National Defense Budget ? Long Range Forecast (FY 2019 to FY 2025) ............................................................................ 6 Table 1-2: National Defense Budget Authority ? Discretionary and Mandatory; Current and Constant Dollars (FY 2019 to FY 2025)................................................................................................................................ 7 Table 1-3: National Defense Outlays ? Discretionary and Mandatory; Current and Constant Dollars (FY 2019 to FY 2025) ........... 11 Table 1-4: Federal Unified Budget ? Budget Authority by Function (FY 2019 to FY 2025)............................................................... 15 Table 1-5: Federal Unified Budget ? Outlays by Function (FY 2019 to FY 2025) .............................................................................. 16 Table 1-6: Discretionary Budget Authority for National Defense (FY 2021 to FY 2030) ................................................................... 17 Table 1-7: Discretionary Budget Authority for Past Defense Budgets to the Present (FY 2012 to FY 2025)...................................... 18

Chapter 2: Base Budget, War Funding and Supplementals .......................................................................................................................... 19 Table 2-1: Base Budget, War Funding and Supplementals by Military Department, by P.L. Title (FY 2001 to FY 2021)................. 20

Chapter 3: Legislative Authorization............................................................................................................................................................... 39 Table 3-1: FY 2021 Defense Budget ? Reconciliation of Authorization, Appropriation, BA and TOA .............................................. 40 Table 3-2: Military Personnel Authorizations (FY 2019 to FY 2021) .................................................................................................. 47

Chapter 4: Chronology ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 49 Table 4-1: FY 2019 National Defense Budget Authority Chronology ................................................................................................. 50 Table 4-2: FY 2020 National Defense Budget Authority Chronology ................................................................................................. 52

Chapter 5: Treatment of Inflation.................................................................................................................................................................... 53 Table 5-1: DoD and Selected Economy-Wide Indices (FY 1970 to FY 2025)..................................................................................... 54 Table 5-2: Pay and Inflation Rate Assumptions ? Outlays (FY 2019 to FY 2025)............................................................................... 56 Table 5-3: Pay and Inflation Rate Assumptions ? Budget Authority (FY 2019 to FY 2025)............................................................... 57 Table 5-4: DoD Deflators ? TOA by Public Law Title (FY 1970 to FY 2025) .................................................................................... 58 Table 5-5: DoD Deflators ? TOA by Category (FY 1970 to FY 2025) ................................................................................................ 60 Table 5-6: DoD Deflators ? Budget Authority by Public Law Title (FY 1970 to FY 2025) ................................................................ 62 Table 5-7: DoD Deflators ? Budget Authority by Category (FY 1970 to FY 2025) ............................................................................ 64 Table 5-8: DoD Deflators ? Outlays by Public Law Title (FY 1970 to FY 2025)................................................................................ 66 i

Table of Contents (Continued)

Table 5-9: DoD Deflators ? Outlays by Category (FY 1970 to FY 2025) ............................................................................................ 68 Table 5-10: Chronology of Selected Inflation Profiles (FY 2000 to FY 2025)....................................................................................... 70 Table 5-11: Outlay Rates for Incremental Changes in Budget Authority Purchases .............................................................................. 72 Table 5-12: Military and Civilian Pay Increases Since 1945 (1945 to 2025) ......................................................................................... 75 Table 5-13: Civilian Pay Deflators by Category (FY 1970 to FY 2025) ................................................................................................ 77

Chapter 6: TOA, BA, Outlay Trends and Program Changes ....................................................................................................................... 79 Table 6-1: DoD TOA by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025)....................................................................................................... 80 Table 6-2: DoD TOA by Category (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ................................................................................................................... 88 Table 6-3: DoD TOA by Military Department (FY 1948 to FY 2025)................................................................................................. 96 Table 6-4: DoD TOA by Major Force Program ? Current Dollars (FY 1962 to FY 2025) ................................................................ 104 Table 6-5: DoD TOA by Major Force Program ? Constant Dollars (FY 1962 to FY 2025) .............................................................. 106 Table 6-6: DoD TOA, BA, and Outlays by Appropriation Account ? Current Dollars (FY 2019 to FY 2025)................................. 108 Table 6-7: DoD TOA, BA, and Outlays by Appropriation Account ? Constant Dollars (FY 2019 to FY 2025)............................... 122 Table 6-8: DoD Budget Authority by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ................................................................................. 136 Table 6-9: DoD Budget Authority by Category (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ............................................................................................. 144 Table 6-10: DoD Budget Authority by Military Department (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ........................................................................... 152 Table 6-11: DoD Outlays by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025)................................................................................................. 160 Table 6-12: DoD Outlays by Category (FY 1948 to FY 2025)............................................................................................................. 168 Table 6-13: DoD Outlays by Military Department (FY 1948 to FY 2025)........................................................................................... 176 Table 6-14: DoD Civilian Pay ? Current Dollars (FY 1970 to FY 2025) ............................................................................................. 184 Table 6-15: DoD Civilian Pay ? Constant Dollars (FY 1970 to FY 2025) ........................................................................................... 186 Table 6-16: Army TOA by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ................................................................................................... 188 Table 6-17: Navy TOA by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025) .................................................................................................... 196 Table 6-18: Air Force TOA by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ............................................................................................. 204 Table 6-19: Army Budget Authority by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ............................................................................... 212 Table 6-20: Navy Budget Authority by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ................................................................................ 220 Table 6-21: Air Force Budget Authority by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ......................................................................... 228 Table 6-22: Army Outlays by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ............................................................................................... 236

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Table of Contents (Continued)

Table 6-23: Navy Outlays by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025)................................................................................................ 244 Table 6-24: Air Force Outlays by Public Law Title (FY 1948 to FY 2025) ......................................................................................... 252 Table 6-25: DoD Discretionary BA by Public Law Title (FY 2010 to FY 2025)................................................................................. 260 Table 6-26: DoD Discretionary BA by Military Department (FY 2010 to FY 2025)........................................................................... 266 Chapter 7: Defense, the Public Sector and the Economy ............................................................................................................................. 273 Table 7-1: Total Federal Outlays ? Current Dollars (FY 1945 to FY 2025) ....................................................................................... 274 Table 7-2: Total Federal Outlays ? FY 2012 Constant Dollars (FY 1945 to FY 2025)...................................................................... 277 Table 7-3: U.S. Public Spending: Federal, State, Local and GDP ? Current Dollars (FY 1945 to FY 2025) ................................... 280 Table 7-4: U.S. Public Spending: Federal, State, Local and GDP ? FY 2012 Constant Dollars (FY 1945 to FY 2025) .................. 283 Table 7-5: Department of Defense Manpower ? End Strength/FTE's (FY 1940 to FY 2021)............................................................ 286 Table 7-6: U.S. Labor Force ? End Strength/FTE's (FY 1940 to FY 2021) ....................................................................................... 289 Table 7-7: Defense Shares of Economic and Budgetary Aggregates (FY 1940 to FY 2021)............................................................. 292 Glossary of Terms ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 295 Notes ................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 299

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