Chapter 2: Congressional Elections Table of Contents

Chapter 2: Congressional Elections

Table of Contents

Number Title

Page

2-1

1

Turnout in Presidential and House Elections, 1930 - 2016 (percentage of voting age

population)

Popular Vote and House Seats Won by Party, 1946 - 2016

2-2

3

2-3

Net Party Gains in House and Senate Seats, General and Special Elections, 1946 6

2016

Losses by the President's Party in Midterm Elections, 1862 - 2014

2-4

8

House Seats That Changed Party, 1954 - 2016

2-5

10

Senate Seats That Changed Party, 1954 - 2016

2-6

12

House Incumbents Retired, Defeated, or Reelected, 1946 - 2016

2-7

14

Senate Incumbents Retired, Defeated, or Reelected, 1946 - 2016

2-8

16

House and Senate Retirements by Party, 1930 - 2016

2-9

18

Defeated House Incumbents, 1946 - 2016

2-10

20

Defeated Senate Incumbents, 1946 - 2016

2-11

24

House Elections Won with 60 Percent of Major Party Vote, 1956 - 2016

2-12

27

Senate Elections Won with 60 Percent of Major Party Vote, 1944 - 2016

2-13

29

Marginal Races Among Members of the 115th Congress, 2016

2-14

31

Conditions of Initial Election for Members of the 115th Congress, 2017

2-15

33

Ticket Splitting between Presidential and House Candidates, 1900-2016

2-16

35

District

Voting

for

President

and

Representative,

1952

2016

2-17

37

2-18

39

Shifts in Democratic Major Party Vote in Congressional Districts, 1956 - 2016

2-19

Party-Line Voting in Presidential and Congressional Elections, 1956 - 2016 (as a

41

percentage of all voters)

Table 2-1

Year

1930

1932

1934

1936

1938

1940

1942

1944

1946

1948

1950

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

Turnout in Presidential and House Elections, 1930 - 2016 (percentage of voting

age population)

Presidential

elections

56.3

62.2

65.2

58.4

53.3

63.4

61.2

64.9

62.8

61.9

56.6

House

elections

33.7

49.7

41.4

53.5

44.0

55.4

32.5

52.7

37.1

48.1

41.1

57.6

41.7

55.9

43.0

58.5

49.2

59.0

49.3

56.3

48.4

51.4

Year

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

Presidential

elections

55.1

54.7

56.0

53.1

58.1

51.5

54.3

60.7

61.6

58

59.3



House

elections

40.0

50.3

39.5

49.3

42.2

50.2

38.2

47.6

38.1

53.6

40.5

48.2

37.6

50.2

37.2

55.3

38.7

57.6

40.1

56.1

34.9

57.1

1

Note: For all presidential elections and House elections 1962-2004,

turnout is computed using the number of citizens eligible to vote in

the United States. For House elections before 1962, it is computed

using the voting age population (including non-citizens). For the 2006

elections and future editions of Vital Statistics on Congress, turnout is

of voting-eligible population (VEP.) The voting-eligible population is

the population that is eligible to vote. Counted among the voting-age

population are persons who are ineligible to vote, such as noncitizens, felons (depending on state law), and mentally incapacitated

persons. Not counted are persons in the military or civilians living

overseas.

Some data from earlier years/previous versions of Vital Statistics have

been updated. See errata for more detail.

Source: For House elections 1930-60, U.S. Bureau of the Census,

Statistical Abstract of the United States (Washington, D.C.: U.S.

Government Printing Office). For presidential elections and House

elections 1962-2004, numbers were provided by Curtis Gans of the

Committee for the Study of the American Electorate at American

University. From 2006 to 2014, the VEP was calculated by Michael

McDonald found at and calculated

against the Federal Election Commission voting data found at

.



2

Table 2-2

Popular Vote and House Seats Won by Party, 1946 - 2016

Democratic candidates

Year

1946

1948

1950

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

Percentage of

b

all votes

44.3

51.6

48.9

49.2

52.1

50.7

55.5

54.4

52.1

56.9

50.5

50.0

53.0

51.7

57.1

56.2

53.4

50.4

55.2

52.1

54.5

53.3

52.9

50.8

45.4

48.5

47.1

47.0

45.0

46.6

52.0

52.9

44.8

48.3

45.5

Percentage of

c

seats won

43.3

60.6

54.0

49.1

53.3

53.8

64.9

60.0

59.4

67.8

57.0

55.9

58.6

55.8

66.9

67.1

63.7

55.9

61.8

58.2

59.3

59.8

61.4

59.3

46.9

47.6

48.5

48.7

47.0

46.4

53.6

59.1

44.4

46.2

43.2

Republican candidates

Percentage of

b

all votes

53.5

45.4

48.9

49.3

47.0

48.7

43.6

44.8

47.1

42.4

48.0

48.2

44.5

46.4

40.5

42.1

44.7

48.0

43.3

47.0

44.6

45.5

45.0

45.6

52.4

48.9

48.0

47.3

49.6

49.2

45.6

42.3

51.4

46.9

50.6

Percentage of

c

seats won

56.7

39.4

46.0

50.9

46.7

46.2

35.1

40.0

40.6

32.2

43.0

44.1

41.4

44.2

33.1

32.9

36.3

44.1

38.2

41.8

40.7

40.2

38.4

40.5

52.9

52.0

51.3

50.8

52.8

53.4

46.4

40.9

55.6

53.8

56.8

Change from last electiona

Percentage of

Percentage of

major party

c

votes

seats won

6.4R

12.8R

7.9D

17.3D

3.2R

6.6R

0.1R

4.9R

2.6D

4.2D

1.5R

0.5D

5.0D

11.1D

1.2R

4.9R

2.3R

0.6R

4.8D

8.4D

6.0R

10.8R

0.3R

1.1R

3.4D

2.7D

1.7R

2.8R

5.8D

11.1D

1.3R

0.2D

2.8R

3.4R

3.2R

7.8R

5.2D

5.9D

4.1R

3.6R

2.4D

1.1D

1.1R

0.5D

0.1D

1.6D

1.4R

2.1R

6.3R

12.4R

3.4D

0.7D

0.3R

0.9D

0.3D

0.2D

2.3R

2.0R

1.1D

0.6R

5.4D

7.2D

1.4D

5.5D

9.0R

14.7R

4.1D

1.8D

3.4R

3.0R



Difference between

Democratic

percentage of seats

and votes won

-1.0

9.0

5.1

-0.1

1.2

3.1

9.4

5.6

7.3

10.9

6.5

5.9

5.6

4.1

9.8

10.9

10.3

5.5

6.6

6.1

4.8

6.5

8.5

8.5

1.5

-0.9

1.4

1.7

2.0

-0.2

1.6

6.2

-0.4

-2.1

-2.3

3

2016

47.3

44.6

48.2

55.4

2.2D

1.4D



-2.7

4

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