The Automotive Industry to 2025 (and beyond)

The Automotive Industry to 2025 (and beyond)

Chris Atkinson, Sc.D. Program Director Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy

2016 EIA Energy Conference July 11, 2016

ARPA-E Mission

1

Evolution of ARPA-E

500+

39

32

Awards Announced

37

23 20

16

12

1 Programs To Date

7

2007

2009 2010

Rising Above the American

Gathering Storm Recovery &

Published

Reinvestment Act

America

Signed

COMPETES Act

Signed

$400 Million

(Recovery Act)

2011 2012

America COMPETES Reauthorization Signed

2013

2014

2015

2016

Anticipated

$180 Million $275 Million $251 Million $280 Million $280 Million $291 Million

(FY2011) (FY2012)

(FY2013)

(FY2014)

(FY2015)

(FY2016)

2

Focused Program Portfolio

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

IMPACCT

SOLAR ADEPT

FOCUS

REBELS

ALPHA

MOSAIC

GENSETS

ELECTRICAL GRID & STORAGE

GRIDS

GENI HEATS

CHARGES

NODES GRID DATA

IONICS

EFFICIENCY &

EMISSIONS

ADEPT

BEETIT

REACT METALS SWITCHES

DELTA

MONITOR

TRANSPORTATION & STORAGE

BEEST

AMPED

RANGE

ARID

SHIELD

ENLITENED

ROOTS

TRANSNET NEXTCAR

ELECTROFUELS PETRO

MOVE

2010 - 2012

REMOTE

2013-2014

TERRA

2015

REFUEL

2016

3

Energy Consumed by Transportation

Light-, medium and heavy-duty vehicles consume ~11 million barrels per day oil equivalent, totaling 81% of transportation sector energy consumption, or ~23% of the US primary energy usage.

3 Significant Trends in Automotive Transportation

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Trend 1 ? Fuel Economy

Future fuel economy of the light-duty vehicle fleet will be required to be

significantly higher than today (54.5 mpg CAFE by 2025).

Heavy-duty fuel economy regulated by EPA/NHTSA Phase 2 GHG rules.

Fuel efficiency improvements will be achieved by vehicle light-weighting, reducing aerodynamic drag and tire rolling losses, engine downsizing, boosting, improved transmissions, increased electrification, hybridization, waste energy recovery, and reductions in friction and parasitic losses.

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Trend 2 ? Vehicle Connectivity

Future vehicles will utilize greater levels of connectivity ? V2V, V2I, V2X

? this trend is driven primarily by road traffic safety considerations.

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