PDF Top Dividend Yielding Stocks for October - New Constructs
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MODEL PORTFOLIO MONTHLY UPDATE
10/18/2016
Top Dividend Yielding Stocks for October
10 Large/Mid Cap and 10 Small Cap Stocks
? Figure 1 shows the initial 20 stocks that we include in our
new model portfolio.
? The stocks in this model portfolio earn an Attractive or Very
Attractive rating and have some of the highest dividend yields in the market.
Figure 1: Initial Model Portfolio Constituents
Large/Mid Cap Additions
Ticker
CIM MFA BXMT ERIC F KSS MO CSCO QCOM CHL
Company Name
Chimera Investment Corp MFA Financial, Inc. Blackstone Mortgage Trust Ericsson ADR Ford Motor Company Kohl's Corp Altria Group, Inc. Cisco Systems QUALCOMM Inc. China Mobile Limited
Sources: New Constructs, LLC
Small Cap Additions
Ticker
Company Name
CMRE WDR CMO RWT NRCIB BKE EBF ARII IQNT UVV
Costamare Inc. Waddell & Reed Financial Capstead Mortgage Corp Redwood Trust National Research Corp The Buckle Ennis Inc. American Railcar Industries Inteliquent Inc. Universal Corporation
This model portfolio helps investors find high quality dividend yielding stocks. As more investors search for yield, we think it is important to distinguish between high and low quality dividend yields. Companies with strong free cash flow provide higher quality dividend yield because we know they have the cash flow to support the dividend. Dividend yields from companies with low or negative free cash flow cannot be trusted as much because they may not be able to sustain their dividend for much longer.
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Important Disclosure Information is contained on the last page of this report. The recipient of this report is directed to read these disclosures.
MODEL PORTFOLIO MONTHLY UPDATE
10/18/2016
The 10 Top Dividend Yield Large/Mid Cap Stocks for October
We recommend that investors equal-weight holdings in all 10 stocks.
Figure 2: 10 Top Dividend Yield Large/Mid Cap Stocks for October
Ticker
Company Name
Dividend Yield
High-Quality Earnings
As of Last Twelve Months
Positive Economic
EPS
Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
CIM
Chimera Investment Corp
12%
MFA
MFA Financial, Inc.
11%
BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust
9%
ERIC
Ericsson ADR
5%
F
Ford Motor Company
5%
KSS
Kohl's Corp
5%
MO
Altria Group, Inc.
4%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
3%
QCOM
QUALCOMM Inc.
3%
CHL
China Mobile Limited
3%
Top Dividend Yield Stocks are Sorted by Dividend Yield in Descending Order
$0.58 $0.35 $1.18 $0.31 $1.00 $2.09 $2.37 $1.25 $2.52 $2.11
10% 11% 10% 13% 12%
7% 20% 18% 31% 17%
Sources: New Constructs, LLC
Positive Free Cash Flow
Yield
25% 10%
8% 9% 47% 12% 4% 7% 3% 7%
Cheap Valuation
As of 10/17/16
Low Price-to-Economic
Book Value
0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 1.3 0.8 1.1 0.9
Short MarketImplied GAP
(years)
Less than 1 Less than 1 Less than 1 Less than 1 Less than 1 Less than 1
10 Less than 1 Less than 1 Less than 1
Market Value ($mm)
$2,869 $2,665 $2,700 $17,713 $46,360 $7,762 $121,979 $151,534 $96,067 $243,945
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Important Disclosure Information is contained on the last page of this report. The recipient of this report is directed to read these disclosures.
MODEL PORTFOLIO MONTHLY UPDATE
10/18/2016
The 10 Top Dividend Yield Small Cap Stocks for October
We recommend that investors equal-weight holdings in all 10 stocks.
Figure 3: 10 Top Dividend Yield Small Cap Stocks for October
Ticker
Company Name
Dividend Yield
High-Quality Earnings
As of Last Twelve Months
Positive Economic
EPS
Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
CMRE
Costamare Inc.
16%
WDR
Waddell & Reed Financial, Inc.
11%
CMO
Capstead Mortgage Corp
10%
RWT
Redwood Trust, Inc.
8%
NRCIB
National Research Corp
5%
BKE
The Buckle, Inc.
5%
EBF
Ennis Inc.
4%
ARII
American Railcar Industries
4%
IQNT
Inteliquent Inc.
4%
UVV
Universal Corporation
4%
Top Dividend Yield Stocks are Sorted by Dividend Yield in Descending Order
$0.36 $1.58 $0.23 $0.39 $2.24 $2.09 $0.07 $1.33 $0.64 $0.34
8% 27%
7% 9% 27% 23% 7% 10% 21% 6%
Sources: New Constructs, LLC
Positive Free Cash Flow
Yield
15% 6%
11% 19%
8% 14% 46%
3% 1% 15%
Cheap Valuation
As of 10/17/16
Low Price-to-Economic
Book Value
0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.7
Short MarketImplied GAP
(years)
Less than 1 Less than 1 Less than 1 Less than 1 Less than 1 Less than 1
2 9 Less than 1 Less than 1
Market Value ($mm)
$446 $1,398
$875 $1,064
$262 $1,043
$407 $758 $572 $1,264
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Important Disclosure Information is contained on the last page of this report. The recipient of this report is directed to read these disclosures.
MODEL PORTFOLIO MONTHLY UPDATE
10/18/2016
Top Dividend Yield Stocks: Methodology
Stocks make our Top Dividend Yield List because they have: 1. Attractive or Very Attractive rating 2. Dividend Yield >3% 3. Positive Free Cash Flow and Economic Earnings
To support sector diversification, we limit the number of stocks per sector on each list to three. This model portfolio offers a well-screened group of stocks that also delivers yields greater than the market (S&P 500 yields ~2%), safety in the sustainability of the yield because of strong free cash flow, and the potential for upside as each stock is currently undervalued.
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Important Disclosure Information is contained on the last page of this report. The recipient of this report is directed to read these disclosures.
MODEL PORTFOLIO MONTHLY UPDATE
10/18/2016
Explanation of Risk/Reward Rating System
Our Risk/Reward Rating System assigns a rating to every stock under our coverage according to what we believe are the 5 most important criteria for assessing the risk versus reward of stocks. See table that follows for details.
Overall Risk/Reward
Ranking
Very Dangerous
Dangerous Neutral
Attractive
Very Attractive
The Overall Risk/Reward Ranking provides a final rating based on the equal-weighted average rating of each criterion. FCF Yield is not included in the average. FCF Yield is not included in the average. All criteria are equal-weighted in the average calculation. All criteria are equal-weighted in the average calculation.
All criteria are equal-weighted in the average calculation.
Economic vs Reported EPS
Very Dangerous
Dangerous Neutral
Attractive Very Attractive
Rates stocks based on how their Economic Earnings compare to their Reported Earnings. Values based on Latest Fiscal Year. Negative and declining Economic Earnings despite positive and rising Reported Earnings Same as above except Reported Earnings are not rising or Reported Earnings are not positive Negative Economic and Reported Earnings
Economic Earnings are positive
Economic Earnings are positive and rising
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
Bottom Quintile
4th Quintile 3rd Quintile 2nd Quintile Top Quintile
Rates stocks based on their ROIC. Values based on Latest Fiscal Year.
Very Dangerous = the bottom 20% of Russell 1000 companies Dangerous = the bottom 40% of Russell 1000 companies Neutral = the middle 20% of Russell 1000 companies Attractive = the top 40% of Russell 1000 companies
Very Attractive = the top 20% of Russell 1000 companies
FCF Yield
3.5 or 2.4 1.1>1.6 0>1.1
Rates stocks based on their Price-to-Economic Book Value Ratio. Values based on Latest Closing Stock price and Latest Fiscal Year. Very Dangerous = greater than or equal to 3.5 or less than 0 but greater than -1 Dangerous = greater than or equal to 2.4 but less than 3.5 and less than or equal to -1 Neutral = greater than or equal to 1.6 but less than 2.4
Attractive = greater than or equal to 1.1 but less than 1.6
Very Attractive = greater than or equal to 0 but less than 1.1
Growth Appreciation Period (yrs)
>50
20>50 10>20 3>10
0>3
Rates stocks based on their Market-Implied Growth Appreciation Period. Values based on Latest Closing Stock price and Default Forecast Scenario. Very Dangerous = greater than or equal to 50 years Dangerous = at least 20 years but less than 50 Neutral = at least 10 years but less than 20 Attractive = at least 3 years but less than 10
Very Attractive = at least 0 years but less than 3
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