Carbon County - Wyoming Community Development Authority

[Pages:38]Carbon County

County Profile

Carbon County

Demographics

The Census Bureau's current census estimates for each year since the 2010 Census are presented in Table II.4.1. The 2019 estimates indicate that the Carbon County's population decreased from 15,885 in 2010 to 14,800 in 2019, or by -7 percent. The 2019 population estimate is not yet available broken down by race, age, or gender. For those purposes, we will use the 2019 Five-year ACS estimates. Population trends for Carbon County since 2000 are displayed below in Diagram II.4.1.

Table II.4.1

Population Estimates

Carbon County

2010-2019 Census Data and Intercensal Estimates

2010 Census

15,885

2011 Population Estimate

15,835

2012 Population Estimate

15,709

2013 Population Estimate

15,834

2014 Population Estimate

15,872

2015 Population Estimate

15,613

2016 Population Estimate

15,689

2017 Population Estimate

15,252

2018 Population Estimate

14,879

2019 Population Estimate

14,800

Diagram II.4.1

Population

Carbon County

Carbon County

II.4.1

Final Report: March 5, 2021

County Profile

Carbon County

Population Estimates

The Census Bureau's current estimates indicate that Carbon County's population decreased from 15,885 in 2010 to 14,800 in 2019, or by 6.8 percent. This compares to a statewide population change of 2.7 percent over the period. The number of people from 25 to 34 years of age decreased by 8 percent, and the number of people from 55 to 64 years of age decreased by 6.1 percent.

Between 2010 and 2019 the white population decreased by 8.6 percent, while the black population increased by 53.4 percent. The Hispanic population increased from 2,668 to 2,742 people between 2010 and 2019 or by 2.8 percent. These data are presented in Table II.4.2.

Subject

Population

Under 14 years 15 to 24 years 25 to 34 years 35 to 44 years 45 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 and Over

White Black American Indian and Alaskan Native Asian Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander Two or more races

Hispanic or Latino

Table II.4.2

Profile of Population Characteristics

Carbon County vs. State of Wyoming

2010 Census and 2019 Current Census Estimates

Carbon County

State of Wyoming

2010 Census Jul-19 % Change

2010 Census

Jul-19

15,885

14,800

-6.8% Age

563,626

578,759

3,173

2,801

-11.7%

113,371

111,665

1,798

1,639

-8.8%

78,460

74,590

2,232

2,054

-8%

77,649

76,433

1,924 2,488 2,226

1,939 1,610 2,091

0.8% -35.3% -6.1%

66,966 83,577 73,513

74,285 63,853 78,754

2,044

2,666

30.4% Race

70,090

99,179

15,203

13,899

-8.6%

529,110

535,371

118

181

53.4%

5,135

7,467

214

267

24.8%

14,457

15,778

128

150

17.2%

4,649

6,571

14

16

14.3%

521

596

208 2,668

287

38%

Ethnicity (of any race)

2,742

2.8%

9,754 50,231

12,976 58,609

% Change 2.7%

-1.5% -4.9% -1.6% 10.9% -23.6% 7.1% 41.5%

1.2% 45.4% 9.1% 41.3% 14.4% 33%

16.7%

Carbon County

II.4.2

Final Report: March 5, 2021

County Profile

Carbon County

Table II.4.3, presents the population of Carbon County by age and gender from the 2010 Census and 2019 current census estimates. The 2010 Census count showed a total of 8,553 men, who accounted for 53.8 percent of the population, and 7,332 women, representing the remaining 46.2 percent of the population. In 2019, there were 7,877 men, accounting for 53.2 percent of the population and 6,923 women, representing the remaining 46.8 percent of the population.

Age

Under 14 years

15 to 24 years

25 to 34 years

35 to 44 years

45 to 54 years

55 to 64 years

65 and Over

Total

% of Total

Male 1,674 1,004 1,258 1,081 1,349 1,168 1,019 8,553 53.8%

Table II.4.3

Population by Age and Gender

Carbon County 2010 Census and Current Census Estimates

2010 Census

2019 Current Census Estimates

Female

Total

Male

Female

1,499

3,173

1,461

1,340

794

1,798

890

749

974

2,232

1,152

902

843

1,924

1,091

848

1,139

2,488

865

745

1,058 1,025

2,226 2,044

1,091 1,327

1,000 1,339

7,332

15,885

7,877

6,923

46.2%

.

53.2%

46.8%

Total 2,801 1,639 2,054 1,939 1,610 2,091 2,666 14,800

.

% Change 10-19 -11.7% -8.8% -8% 0.8% -35.3% -6.1% 30.4%

-6.8%

Carbon County

II.4.3

Final Report: March 5, 2021

County Profile

Carbon County

Diagram II.4.2 displays the percentage of the population by age in Carbon County compared to the state.

Diagram II.4.2

Age Distribution

Carbon County

Carbon County

II.4.4

Final Report: March 5, 2021

County Profile

Carbon County

Population Migration Trends

The Wyoming Department of Transportation (WYDOT) collects data on drivers who move to Wyoming and exchange licenses from other states as well as those surrendering Wyoming driver's licenses when relocating to a different state. The WYDOT data do not represent a precise count of migration, as they show only the net change in the number of driver's licenses, but the data indicates the general direction of population movement.

The shaded areas in Diagram II.4.3 represents in and out- migration, with the line depicting net migration. The maximum net migration occurred in 2008 with 303 people entering and the lowest net migration occurred in 2018 with 259 leaving Carbon County.

Diagram II.4.3

Migration Trends

Carbon County Wyoming DOT Data: 2008 ? 2020

The driver's license total exchanges since 2000 for Carbon County are presented in Table II.4.4, and showed a net migration of 1,778 persons over the time period. In 2008, there were a total of 646 inmigrations and 343 out-migrations, for a net-migration of 303 people. In 2020, there were 562 inmigrants, 599 out-migrants for a net out-migration of -37 people.

Three of the most recent five years in Carbon County have been reported as having negative netmigration by the Wyoming DOT. This means that there is a significant outward-migration trend which could be of concern if it continues. Since 2016, a net 290 people have left Carbon County, creating an overall negative net-migration trend. Wyoming DOT data indicates that there was a net decrease of 37 people in the most recent year.

Carbon County

II.4.5

Final Report: March 5, 2021

County Profile

Carbon County

Table II.4.4

Driver's Licenses Exchanged and Surrendered

Carbon County

WYDOT Data, 2000 ? 2020

Year In-Migrants Out-Migrants

Net Change

2000

481

438

43

2001

524

412

112

2002

527

318

209

2003

349

309

40

2004

413

361

52

2005

478

362

116

2006

457

332

125

2007

612

357

255

2008

646

343

303

2009

561

383

178

2010

539

315

224

2011

433

359

74

2012

528

474

54

2013

530

431

99

2014

526

468

58

2015

505

379

126

2016

446

404

42

2017

432

426

6

2018

427

686

-259

2019

478

520

-42

2020

562

599

-37

Total

10,454

8,676

1,778

The WYDOT data also collects gender and age information. Table II.4.5, shows in- and out- migration by gender. In the most recent 2020 data, 32 percent of net-migrants, or -12 persons were male, with the remaining 68 percent, or -25 persons were female.

Carbon County

II.4.6

Final Report: March 5, 2021

County Profile

Carbon County

Gender

Male Female Total

2009

232 329 561

Male

172

Female

211

Total

383

Male

60

Female

118

Total

178

2010

243 296 539

130 185 315

113 111 224

2011

185 248 433

153 206 359

32 42 74

Table II.4.5

Migration by Gender

Carbon County Wyoming DOT Data

2012 227

2013 2014

In-Migration

226

230

2015 222

301

304

296

283

528

530

526

505

Out-Migration

208

168

191

169

266

263

277

210

474

431

468

379

Net-Migration

19

58

39

53

35

41

19

73

54

99

58

126

2016

212 234 446

180 224 404

32 10 42

2017

196 236 432

181 245 426

15 -9 6

2018

196 231 427

310 376 686

-114 -145 -259

2019

222 256 478

207 313 520

15 -57 -42

2020

215 347 562

227 372 599

-12 -25 -37

Table II.4.6, shows net-migration for Carbon County by age cohort. The largest age cohort in the most recent 2020 net migration data was those in the age range of 46 to 55, with 11 persons entering Carbon County. Those in the age range of 26 to 35 had the lowest levels of net migration, with 16 persons leaving Carbon County.

Carbon County

II.4.7

Final Report: March 5, 2021

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