A Rapid Global Effects Capability

A RAPID GLOBAL EFFECTS CAPABILITY

Gabriel S. Arrington, Major, USAF

AIR UNIVERSITY AIR COMMAND AND STAFF COLLEGE

A Rapid Global Effects Capability

Gabriel S. Arrington, major, usaf Wright Flyer Paper No. 62

Air University Press Curtis E. LeMay Center for Doctrine Development and Education

Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama

Project Editor Dr. Stephanie Havron Rollins

Accepted by Air University Press May 2016 and published April 2019.

Copy Editor Carolyn Broadnax

Cover Art, Book Design, and Illustrations Leslie Fair

Composition and Prepress Production Megan N. Hoehn

AIR UNIVERSITY PRESS

Director, Air University Press Lr Col Darin Gregg

Air University Press 600 Chennault Circle, Building 1405 Maxwell AFB, AL 36112-6010

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Opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied within are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of the Department of Defense, the United States Air Force, the Air Education and Training Command, the Air University, or any other US government agency. Cleared for public release: distribution unlimited.

This Wright Flyer Paper and others in the series are available electronically at the AU Press website: .edu/AUPress/Wright-Flyers/.

Air University Press

Contents

List of Illustrations and Tables

iv

Foreword

v

Abstract

vi

Acknowledgments

vii

Purpose

1

Problem Statement

1

Thesis Statement

1

Industry Research

5

Air Force Internal Policy Implications of Development

8

USAF Wargame Results

10

Deputy Secretary of Defense Work's Five Points

of Interest and The Future

11

External Policy Implications of Development

15

Policy Implications Concerning Near-Peer Adversaries

20

Analysis

26

Recommendations

26

Notes

27

Abbreviations

31

Bibliography

32

iii

List of Illustrations

Figures

1. Evolution of the Air Force Core Missions

3

2.Artist depictions of Rapid Global Effects

Capability platforms

4

3.Artist depiction of Expendable Entry Capsule

and its deployment

5

4. Artist Depiction of DARPA's XS-1

7

5.Coverage Expansion from S-400 SAM and J-10

Deployment to South China Sea Airfields

22

6. Russian Surface-to-Air Missile Coverage

23

Table

1. Russian SAM Capabilities

23

iv

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