PDF Politics & Investing - Raymond James Financial
Politics & Investing
A Campaign for Your Future
Most investors think volatility will increase leading up to the 2016 presidential election1
To gauge investor sentiment about the upcoming presidential election, we surveyed a group of American investors. Not surprisingly, a majority of us, 61%, expect the election to result in increased market volatility.
No Effect
29%
Less 10%
Volatility
61%
More Volatility
NOT FDIC INSURED ? MAY LOSE VALUE ? NO BANK GUARANTEE 1
Politics & your portfolio
Presidential elections can be nerve-wracking. How might a new administration's policies impact our
61%day-to-day lives, our jobs, and the wealth we've worked hard to accumulate? Presidents serve the people. And as they strive to protect our nation's future, we must stay focused on 1o09%u%r own financial futures. Because of the anxiety elections can cause, it's important to understand the relationship between politics and investments to approach the election process with confidence. "Markets hate change, but ultimately find their footing. The upcoming election will likely cause more stress to American voters than to the stock market." Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson Asset Allocation Strategist at Wellington Management and Global Investment Strategist for Hartford Funds
2
10%
Investor Perceptions
5%
America's political pulse
0% J
As we head into the 2016 election, "we the people" are uncertain. The stakes have changed for this election, and we want a new type of president--one who will shake things up to face today's challenges, such as terrorism, in addition to protecting our jobs and our portfolios.
In general, more people think a Republican president will be better for their investments1
Which do you think will be better for your investments?
43%
A Republican President
Most people think presidents have some influence on stock market performance1
How much influence does a president have on the stock market?
14%
NONE
23%
A LOT
64%
A LITTLE
24%
A Democratic President
32%
No Effect
Doesn't matter
29%
Less 10%
Volatility
Due to rounding, percentages may not appear to add up to 100%. 3
Americans' overall views of the federal government are very negative4
Only 19% say they can trust the government always or most of the time, among the lowest levels in the past half-century
77%
61%
More Volatility
60% 17%
61% Tru1s09t%%the gov't always/most of the time
19%
1958 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2015
%
%
% Jun '15
Jul '15
Aug '15 Sep '15 Oct '15 Nov '15
Terrorism is the #1 issue on our minds leading into the election2
Recent trends in "most important" U.S. problems
Dec '15
Debates are great for ratings
20%
The first Republican primary debate, televised
by Fox News in August 2015, averaged 24 million
15%
16%
viewers.6
13%
In past election cycles, GOP primary debates
10%
9%
at this point have averaged only 2 to 5 million
7%
viewers.7
5%
0% 6/15
7/15
8/15
9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
n Economy n Government n Gun violence n Terrorism
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRATIC
MORE THAN
MORE THAN
24m 15m
PEOPLE WATCHED
The main hope for a new president is that we elect someone who can bring about change3
Which of the following is more important to you in a presidential candidate?
55%
37%
In October 2015, the first Democratic primary
deDbEaMteOCaRvAeTraICgeDdEB1A5T.3E million vRieEwPeUrBsL,ImCAaNkiDnEgBitATE
thMe hOighResEt-raTteHd ADeNmocratic dMebOateRinEhisTtoHryA.5 N
15 MILLION PEOPLE WATCHED
24 MILLION PEOPLE WATCHED
New ideas and a different approach
36%
5%
Experience and a proven record
DEMOCRATIC DEBATE
MORE THAN
15 MILLION
PEOPLE WATCHED
Due to rounding, percentages may not appear to add up to 100%. 4
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