HELP WANTED 2010 PROJECTIONS of JOBS and EDUCATION ...
HELP WANTED
JUNE
2010
P ROJ ECTION S of JOBS and E D U CATI O N
REQUIREMENTS
T h ro u g h 2018
ANTHONY P. CARNEVALE NICOLE SMITH JEFF STROHL
Acknowledgments
We would like to express our gratitude to the individuals and organizations that have made this report possible. First, we thank the Lumina Foundation, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and the Ford Foundation for their support of our research over the past few years, and in particular, we are grateful for the support of Jamie Merisotis, Hilary Pennington, Rick McGahey, and Alison Bernstein. We are honored to be partners in their mission of promoting postsecondary access and completion for all Americans. We are also indebted to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, without which our work would be impossible. In particular, we want to thank Dixie Sommers, Kristina Bartsch, Roger Moncarz, Michael Wolf, and Ian Wyatt, who have been gracious colleagues in their response to our differing methodologies. This report was also made possible by the contributions of Macroeconomic Advisors, Economic Modeling Specialists, Inc., and Westat Inc. The feedback of Holly Zanville, Parminder Jassal, Kevin Corcoran, Dewayne Matthews, Joshua Jarrett, Andy Reamer, Alan Berube, and Donna Desrochers was invaluable in strengthening our method and message. We also want to thank our editor, Vic Caleca, and our designer, Rikki Campbell Ogden, as well as Terry Abramson, Stephen Rose, Jorge Huerta Mu?oz, Kate House, Laura Meyer, Elizabeth Nelson, Sebastian Acevedo, Michelle Melton, and numerous other colleagues, too many to list here, who provided support and insight throughout the process.
The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of the Lumina Foundation for Education, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the Ford Foundation, their officers, or employees.
The Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce
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Contents
1 | Introduction
9 | Part 1: The Recession Is Accelerating the Shift to Jobs Requiring Postsecondary Education.
13 | Part 2: Our Current Postsecondary System Will Not Meet the Growing Demand for Workers with Postsecondary Education and Training.
15 | Technology Fuels the Growing Demand for Postsecondary Education. 16 | Our Postsecondary System Will Not Produce Enough Graduates.
19 | Part 3: Occupation Growth Drives Demand for Postsecondary Education.
26 | Occupations, Education, and Job Openings 29 | Sales and Office Support Occupations 32 | Blue Collar Occupations 38 | Food and Personal Services Occupations 43 | Managerial and Professional Office Occupations 48 | Education Occupations 50 | Healthcare Professional and Technical Occupations 52 | STEM Occupations 58 | Community Services and Arts Occupations 61 | Healthcare Support Occupations
63 | Part 4: Industry and Education Forecast (2008?2018).
78 | Demand for Education by Industry: A More Detailed Discussion. 81 | Natural Resources 82 | Goods-Producing Industries
82 | Manufacturing 83 | Construction 85 | Services Industries 85 | Information Services 86 | Financial Services 87 | Professional and Business Services 89 | Education Services 90 | Government and Public Education Services 91 | Healthcare Services 92 | Wholesale and Retail Trade Services 92 | Transportation and Utilities Services 93 | Leisure and Hospitality Services 94 | Personal Services
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