THE U.S. MUSIC INDUSTRIES: JOBS BENEFITS - RIAA

THE U.S. MUSIC INDUSTRIES:

JOBS & BENEFITS

APRIL 2018

STEPHEN E. SIWEK, Principal Economists Incorporated Washington, D.C.

PREPARED FOR Recording Industry Association of America

THE U.S. MUSIC INDUSTRIES: JOBS & BENEFITS 1

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Stephen E. Siwek

Principal, Economists Incorporated, Washington D.C. Author's Acknowledgements In this report, Lisa Chua, a Research Associate at Economists Incorporated, performed much of the computer analysis and programming required to complete this study. I am also grateful for the guidance and support provided by the Recording Industry Association of America ("RIAA"). In particular, I would like to thank Josh Friedlander of the RIAA for his insights and much appreciated suggestions.

2 THE U.S. MUSIC INDUSTRIES: JOBS & BENEFITS

TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Executive Summary 5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

II. Introduction 7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

III. Global Music Report 8 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.0 U.S Recorded Music Revenue 1.1 U.S Digital Recorded Music Revenue

IV. The North American Industry Classification System ("NAICS"). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10

V. NAICS Groupings for Music Industry Classification. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 2.0 Illustration of Industrial Classification System

VI.

The RIMS II Model 12 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1 RIMS II Multipliers: 512200 - Sound Recording Industries

VII. Other Studies of Industry Contribution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13

VIII.

Music Industry Metrics by Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 3.0 U.S. Total Music Industry Receipts by NAICS Grouping 3.1 U.S. Final Demand Earnings by NAICS Grouping 3.2 U.S. Final Demand Employment by NAICS Grouping 3.3 U.S. Final Demand Value Added by NAICS Grouping 3.4 U.S. Total Earnings per Employee by NAICS Grouping 3.5A U.S. Total Direct Employment by NAICS Grouping 3.5B U.S. Total Indirect Employment by NAICS Grouping 3.6A U.S. Total Direct Earnings by NAICS Grouping 3.6B U.S. Total Indirect Earnings by NAICS Grouping

IX.

U.S All Industry Tables. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 4.0 U.S. Total All- Industry Tables

4.1 U.S. Total All- Industry Tables Continued

X.

Growth in Music Industry Metrics, Projected 2016. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 5.0 U.S. Recording Music Revenue 2016 5.1 Growth in Music Industry Metrics Projected 2016 6.0 Music Industry Value Added Share of Total U.S. GDP 6.1 Music Industry Employment Share of Total U.S. Employment

XI. Detailed Music Industry Metrics by Year. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

XII.

Audio and Video Streaming. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 7.0 Year-End 2017 Music Industry Highlights

XIII. Future Trends in Streaming Services. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22

XIV.

State by State Values. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 8.0 Music Industry Contribution to GDP by State

8.1 Value Added Comparisons Between Music Industry and Other Sectors

XV.

Conclusions 24 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Appendix 25 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

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I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The U.S. Music Industries: Jobs and Benefits

Music plays an outsized role in the United States' cultural landscape. We listen to music to share joy or sorrow, attend concerts with friends and family, and rely on it to create a cultural language. From Elvis to Kendrick Lamar, from Barbra Streisand to Bruno Mars, musical artists known the world over have helped define the United States' image. But what about the more comprehensive impact on the country? How many people have jobs in the music industry? How much economic activity is created? In this study we set out to measure, directly and indirectly, the music industry's economic impact in the United States.

The United States is home to the world's biggest music market. According to the IFPI, the global trade body for recorded music, the value of recorded music in the United States accounts for onethird of the total world market.1 But recorded music is of course only one part of a much larger industry. This report examines the economic footprint of the United States music industry as a whole, including businesses like music publishing, internet and radio listening platforms, instrument manufacturing, musicians and music teachers, agents, concert promoters, and many others.

This analysis finds that the music industry contributed $143 billion annually in value to the U.S. economy in 2016. The music industry created, directly or indirectly, 1.9 million U.S. jobs across a very wide variety of fields. These numbers come from a detailed analysis of government data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Bureau of Economic Analysis, and other third-party sources. Using data from hundreds of industries that are regularly tracked, a macroeconomic analysis was performed to determine music's direct economic impact and employment. Then, in order to take into consideration the downstream impact ? economic activity supported by the music industry but not directly related to music ? the standard RIMS II multiplier model was applied to the data to determine its overall economic impact.

There have been a variety of reports and studies that look at the impact of music on specific locations of particular interest, but this study measures fully the economic impact nationally. There are regions where the music industry has particularly concentrated effects, and this report measured its impact at the state level for California, Florida, New York, Tennessee, and Texas ? all of which had a greater music industry relative economic contribution than the national average.

There are of course limitations due to data availability on what can be analyzed at this scale. As a national level study it was not possible to examine the contributions of individual businesses. Another hurdle in the analysis comes from the rapid change that the industry has experienced in recent years. Because digital platforms like Spotify or Apple Music are new, they may not be fully captured in the national data's standard music related categories. The analysis therefore required additional estimates. While this made the analysis more difficult, these challenges are indicative of the complex and significant ways the music industry intersects the internet economy.

We have taken a conservative and reproducible approach in this analysis. This report is not the endpoint ? it is a point of analysis as music rapidly evolves both for fans and for those that bring it to life. We hope this report highlights the many people and businesses whose livelihood is positively impacted by the music industry.

Stephen Siwek

& Joshua Friedlander

Principal, Economists Inc SVP Strategic Data Analysis, RIAA

1IFPI Global Music Report 2017

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