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TABLE OF CONTENTS

CALIFORNIA CD45 - CROSSTAB TABLES I

1 GENERALLY SPEAKING, DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE JOB PRESIDENT OBAMA IS DOING?

2A DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF SCOTT BAUGH?

2B DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF GARY MILLER?

2C DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF MIMI WALTERS?

2D DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF ED ROYCE?

2E DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF TODD SPITZER?

2F DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF DON WAGNER?

2G DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF STEVE YOUNG?

2H DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF BETH KROM?

2I DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLEOPINION OF SUKHEE KANG?

3 IF THE ELECTION TO REPLACE CONGRESSMAN JOHN CAMPBELL WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE...

4 IF THE ELECTION TO REPLACE CONGRESSMAN JOHN CAMPBELL WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE...

5 IF THE ELECTION TO REPLACE CONGRESSMAN JOHN CAMPBELL WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE...

6 IF THE ELECTION TO REPLACE CONGRESSMAN JOHN CAMPBELL WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE...

7 IF THE ELECTION TO REPLACE CONGRESSMAN JOHN CAMPBELL WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE...

8 GENDER

9 PARTY AFFILIATION FROM VOTER FILE

10 AGE GROUP

11 ETHNICITY

12 CITY

13 VOTE PROPENSITY (PAST 3 JUNE PRIMARY ELECTIONS: 2008, 2010 & 2012)

14 VOTER TYPE

15 SENATE DISTRICT

16 ASSEMBLY DISTRICT

TABLE OF CONTENTS

17 COUNTY SUPERVISOR DISTRICT

1 GENERALLY SPEAKING, DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE JOB PRESIDENT OBAMA IS DOING?

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

APPROVE NET: 102 38 64 18 59 23 2 7 17 26 21 22 9 79 12 10 23 54 25 53 49

============ 34.0% 27% 40.3% 10.4% 74.7% 57.5% 25.0% 29.2% 42.5% 32.9% 35.0% 34.9% 26.5% 32.5% 54.55% 41.67% 33.3% 34.6% 33.3% 30.1% 39.5%

B DfG Dg N t

Strongly 76 30 46 12 45 17 2 6 8 22 16 17 7 56 12 7 17 40 19 36 40

25.3% 21% 28.9% 6.94% 57.0% 42.5% 25.0% 25.0% 20.0% 27.8% 26.7% 27.0% 20.6% 23.0% 54.55% 29.17% 24.6% 25.6% 25.3% 20.5% 32.3%

DG D Np T

Somewhat 26 8 18 6 14 6 - 1 9 4 5 5 2 23 - 3 6 14 6 17 9

8.67% 5.7% 11.3% 3.47% 17.7% 15.0% 4.17% 22.5% 5.06% 8.33% 7.94% 5.88% 9.47% 12.50% 8.70% 8.97% 8.00% 9.66% 7.26%

b D D HJkLM

DISAPPROVE NET: 186 98 88 150 14 16 6 15 20 50 37 39 25 155 10 12 44 96 46 118 68

=============== 62.0% 70% 55.3% 86.7% 17.7% 40.0% 75.0% 62.5% 50.0% 63.3% 61.7% 61.9% 73.5% 63.8% 45.45% 50.00% 63.8% 61.5% 61.3% 67.0% 54.8%

C EF E EF I o U

Somewhat 19 10 9 15 3 1 - 2 6 5 2 3 1 14 2 2 2 13 4 9 10

6.33% 7.1% 5.66% 8.67% 3.80% 2.50% 8.33% 15.0% 6.33% 3.33% 4.76% 2.94% 5.76% 9.09% 8.33% 2.90% 8.33% 5.33% 5.11% 8.06%

f km q

Strongly 167 88 79 135 11 15 6 13 14 45 35 36 24 141 8 10 42 83 42 109 58

55.7% 62% 49.7% 78.0% 13.9% 37.5% 75.0% 54.2% 35.0% 57.0% 58.3% 57.1% 70.6% 58.0% 36.36% 41.67% 60.9% 53.2% 56.0% 61.9% 46.8%

C EF E EF I I I I O U

No Opinion/ Don't Know 12 5 7 5 6 1 - 2 3 3 2 2 - 9 - 2 2 6 4 5 7

4.00% 3.5% 4.40% 2.89% 7.59% 2.50% 8.33% 7.50% 3.80% 3.33% 3.17% 3.70% 8.33% 2.90% 3.85% 5.33% 2.84% 5.65%

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

2A DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF SCOTT BAUGH?

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

FAVORABLE NET: 45 23 22 36 4 3 2 1 2 12 12 11 7 38 3 3 21 17 7 33 12

============== 15.0% 16% 13.8% 20.8% 5.06% 7.50% 25.0% 4.17% 5.00% 15.2% 20.0% 17.5% 20.6% 15.6% 13.64% 12.50% 30.4% 10.9% 9.33% 18.8% 9.68%

EF hi HI HI HI RS U

Very Favorable 26 15 11 19 2 3 2 1 - 9 8 5 3 22 2 2 10 12 4 18 8

8.67% 11% 6.92% 11.0% 2.53% 7.50% 25.0% 4.17% 11.4% 13.3% 7.94% 8.82% 9.05% 9.09% 8.33% 14.5% 7.69% 5.33% 10.2% 6.45%

E s

Somewhat Favorable 19 8 11 17 2 - - - 2 3 4 6 4 16 1 1 11 5 3 15 4

6.33% 5.7% 6.92% 9.83% 2.53% 5.00% 3.80% 6.67% 9.52% 11.8% 6.58% 4.55% 4.17% 15.9% 3.21% 4.00% 8.52% 3.23%

E RS U

UNFAVORABLE NET: 21 14 7 7 11 3 - 1 1 5 5 6 3 16 2 2 3 8 10 8 13

================ 7.00% 9.9% 4.40% 4.05% 13.9% 7.50% 4.17% 2.50% 6.33% 8.33% 9.52% 8.82% 6.58% 9.09% 8.33% 4.35% 5.13% 13.3% 4.55% 10.5%

c D qr t

Somewhat Unfavorable 7 5 2 2 4 1 - 1 - 2 - 2 2 5 1 - - 3 4 2 5

2.33% 3.5% 1.26% 1.16% 5.06% 2.50% 4.17% 2.53% 3.17% 5.88% 2.06% 4.55% 1.92% 5.33% 1.14% 4.03%

Very Unfavorable 14 9 5 5 7 2 - - 1 3 5 4 1 11 1 2 3 5 6 6 8

4.67% 6.4% 3.14% 2.89% 8.86% 5.00% 2.50% 3.80% 8.33% 6.35% 2.94% 4.53% 4.55% 8.33% 4.35% 3.21% 8.00% 3.41% 6.45%

d

No Opinion 60 23 37 34 16 10 - 5 11 14 11 12 7 50 3 4 11 33 16 35 25

20.0% 16% 23.3% 19.7% 20.3% 25.0% 20.8% 27.5% 17.7% 18.3% 19.0% 20.6% 20.6% 13.64% 16.67% 15.9% 21.2% 21.3% 19.9% 20.2%

Never Heard 174 81 93 96 48 24 6 17 26 48 32 34 17 139 14 15 34 98 42 100 74

58.0% 57% 58.5% 55.5% 60.8% 60.0% 75.0% 70.8% 65.0% 60.8% 53.3% 54.0% 50.0% 57.2% 63.64% 62.50% 49.3% 62.8% 56.0% 56.8% 59.7%

m q

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

2B DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF GARY MILLER?

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

FAVORABLE NET: 45 29 16 31 7 7 - 2 4 13 8 12 6 38 3 2 10 20 15 21 24

============== 15.0% 21% 10.1% 17.9% 8.86% 17.5% 8.33% 10.0% 16.5% 13.3% 19.0% 17.6% 15.6% 13.64% 8.33% 14.5% 12.8% 20.0% 11.9% 19.4%

C E t

Very Favorable 19 11 8 14 1 4 - 1 1 9 2 3 3 17 - 1 6 10 3 11 8

6.33% 7.8% 5.03% 8.09% 1.27% 10.0% 4.17% 2.50% 11.4% 3.33% 4.76% 8.82% 7.00% 4.17% 8.70% 6.41% 4.00% 6.25% 6.45%

E e Ik

Somewhat Favorable 26 18 8 17 6 3 - 1 3 4 6 9 3 21 3 1 4 10 12 10 16

8.67% 13% 5.03% 9.83% 7.59% 7.50% 4.17% 7.50% 5.06% 10.0% 14.3% 8.82% 8.64% 13.64% 4.17% 5.80% 6.41% 16.0% 5.68% 12.9%

C hj QR T

UNFAVORABLE NET: 16 9 7 8 5 2 1 2 2 3 3 4 2 12 2 2 6 5 5 9 7

================ 5.33% 6.4% 4.40% 4.62% 6.33% 5.00% 12.5% 8.33% 5.00% 3.80% 5.00% 6.35% 5.88% 4.94% 9.09% 8.33% 8.70% 3.21% 6.67% 5.11% 5.65%

Somewhat Unfavorable 6 3 3 3 2 1 - - 1 1 1 2 1 5 - 1 4 1 1 3 3

2.00% 2.1% 1.89% 1.73% 2.53% 2.50% 2.50% 1.27% 1.67% 3.17% 2.94% 2.06% 4.17% 5.80% 0.64% 1.33% 1.70% 2.42%

r

Very Unfavorable 10 6 4 5 3 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 7 2 1 2 4 4 6 4

3.33% 4.3% 2.52% 2.89% 3.80% 2.50% 12.5% 8.33% 2.50% 2.53% 3.33% 3.17% 2.94% 2.88% 9.09% 4.17% 2.90% 2.56% 5.33% 3.41% 3.23%

No Opinion 60 27 33 36 16 8 - 5 11 14 13 9 8 50 4 4 13 33 14 39 21

20.0% 19% 20.8% 20.8% 20.3% 20.0% 20.8% 27.5% 17.7% 21.7% 14.3% 23.5% 20.6% 18.18% 16.67% 18.8% 21.2% 18.7% 22.2% 16.9%

Never Heard 179 76 103 98 51 23 7 15 23 49 36 38 18 143 13 16 40 98 41 107 72

59.7% 54% 64.8% 56.6% 64.6% 57.5% 87.5% 62.5% 57.5% 62.0% 60.0% 60.3% 52.9% 58.8% 59.09% 66.67% 58.0% 62.8% 54.7% 60.8% 58.1%

b DeF

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

2C DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF MIMI WALTERS?

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

FAVORABLE NET: 76 40 36 57 10 8 1 1 10 24 12 19 10 64 2 6 22 37 17 42 34

============== 25.3% 28% 22.6% 32.9% 12.7% 20.0% 12.5% 4.17% 25.0% 30.4% 20.0% 30.2% 29.4% 26.3% 9.09% 25.00% 31.9% 23.7% 22.7% 23.9% 27.4%

Efg H H H H H O

Very Favorable 54 30 24 41 7 5 1 1 6 21 9 9 8 47 2 4 16 25 13 31 23

18.0% 21% 15.1% 23.7% 8.86% 12.5% 12.5% 4.17% 15.0% 26.6% 15.0% 14.3% 23.5% 19.3% 9.09% 16.67% 23.2% 16.0% 17.3% 17.6% 18.5%

Ef Hkl h h H

Somewhat Favorable 22 10 12 16 3 3 - - 4 3 3 10 2 17 - 2 6 12 4 11 11

7.33% 7.1% 7.55% 9.25% 3.80% 7.50% 10.0% 3.80% 5.00% 15.9% 5.88% 7.00% 8.33% 8.70% 7.69% 5.33% 6.25% 8.87%

e JK

UNFAVORABLE NET: 36 20 16 24 6 5 1 4 4 6 7 11 4 33 2 1 9 17 10 21 15

================ 12.0% 14% 10.1% 13.9% 7.59% 12.5% 12.5% 16.7% 10.0% 7.59% 11.7% 17.5% 11.8% 13.6% 9.09% 4.17% 13.0% 10.9% 13.3% 11.9% 12.1%

j P

Somewhat Unfavorable 12 10 2 8 3 1 - 1 2 2 2 5 - 11 - 1 2 7 3 8 4

4.00% 7.1% 1.26% 4.62% 3.80% 2.50% 4.17% 5.00% 2.53% 3.33% 7.94% 4.53% 4.17% 2.90% 4.49% 4.00% 4.55% 3.23%

C

Very Unfavorable 24 10 14 16 3 4 1 3 2 4 5 6 4 22 2 - 7 10 7 13 11

8.00% 7.1% 8.81% 9.25% 3.80% 10.0% 12.5% 12.5% 5.00% 5.06% 8.33% 9.52% 11.8% 9.05% 9.09% 10.1% 6.41% 9.33% 7.39% 8.87%

e

No Opinion 82 33 49 46 26 9 1 6 14 22 20 11 9 65 5 8 18 43 21 50 32

27.3% 23% 30.8% 26.6% 32.9% 22.5% 12.5% 25.0% 35.0% 27.8% 33.3% 17.5% 26.5% 26.7% 22.73% 33.33% 26.1% 27.6% 28.0% 28.4% 25.8%

L L

Never Heard 106 48 58 46 37 18 5 13 12 27 21 22 11 81 13 9 20 59 27 63 43

35.3% 34% 36.5% 26.6% 46.8% 45.0% 62.5% 54.2% 30.0% 34.2% 35.0% 34.9% 32.4% 33.3% 59.09% 37.50% 29.0% 37.8% 36.0% 35.8% 34.7%

D D D ijm N

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

2D DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF ED ROYCE?

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

FAVORABLE NET: 87 48 39 71 7 7 2 4 10 26 20 17 10 70 7 5 23 43 21 49 38

============== 29.0% 34% 24.5% 41.0% 8.86% 17.5% 25.0% 16.7% 25.0% 32.9% 33.3% 27.0% 29.4% 28.8% 31.82% 20.83% 33.3% 27.6% 28.0% 27.8% 30.6%

c EF h h

Very Favorable 51 27 24 44 1 4 2 3 4 18 15 7 4 40 5 4 16 25 10 30 21

17.0% 19% 15.1% 25.4% 1.27% 10.0% 25.0% 12.5% 10.0% 22.8% 25.0% 11.1% 11.8% 16.5% 22.73% 16.67% 23.2% 16.0% 13.3% 17.0% 16.9%

EF e il ILm

Somewhat Favorable 36 21 15 27 6 3 - 1 6 8 5 10 6 30 2 1 7 18 11 19 17

12.0% 15% 9.43% 15.6% 7.59% 7.50% 4.17% 15.0% 10.1% 8.33% 15.9% 17.6% 12.3% 9.09% 4.17% 10.1% 11.5% 14.7% 10.8% 13.7%

E h h p

UNFAVORABLE NET: 29 17 12 7 14 7 1 2 3 2 7 12 3 25 2 2 9 11 9 14 15

================ 9.67% 12% 7.55% 4.05% 17.7% 17.5% 12.5% 8.33% 7.50% 2.53% 11.7% 19.0% 8.82% 10.3% 9.09% 8.33% 13.0% 7.05% 12.0% 7.95% 12.1%

D D J iJ

Somewhat Unfavorable 6 6 - 2 3 1 - - 1 - - 4 1 5 - 1 2 3 1 5 1

2.00% 4.3% 1.16% 3.80% 2.50% 2.50% 6.35% 2.94% 2.06% 4.17% 2.90% 1.92% 1.33% 2.84% 0.81%

Very Unfavorable 23 11 12 5 11 6 1 2 2 2 7 8 2 20 2 1 7 8 8 9 14

7.67% 7.8% 7.55% 2.89% 13.9% 15.0% 12.5% 8.33% 5.00% 2.53% 11.7% 12.7% 5.88% 8.23% 9.09% 4.17% 10.1% 5.13% 10.7% 5.11% 11.3%

D D J J t

No Opinion 74 28 46 43 20 10 1 7 11 17 11 19 9 62 3 6 12 41 21 46 28

24.7% 20% 28.9% 24.9% 25.3% 25.0% 12.5% 29.2% 27.5% 21.5% 18.3% 30.2% 26.5% 25.5% 13.64% 25.00% 17.4% 26.3% 28.0% 26.1% 22.6%

b

Never Heard 110 48 62 52 38 16 4 11 16 34 22 15 12 86 10 11 25 61 24 67 43

36.7% 34% 39.0% 30.1% 48.1% 40.0% 50.0% 45.8% 40.0% 43.0% 36.7% 23.8% 35.3% 35.4% 45.45% 45.83% 36.2% 39.1% 32.0% 38.1% 34.7%

D l l L

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

2E DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF TODD SPITZER?

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

FAVORABLE NET: 111 53 58 77 19 11 4 6 7 34 29 22 13 94 6 7 32 54 25 64 47

============== 37.0% 38% 36.5% 44.5% 24.1% 27.5% 50.0% 25.0% 17.5% 43.0% 48.3% 34.9% 38.2% 38.7% 27.27% 29.17% 46.4% 34.6% 33.3% 36.4% 37.9%

EF hI HI I I r

Very Favorable 55 27 28 39 7 6 3 2 2 18 18 8 7 48 3 3 20 28 7 34 21

18.3% 19% 17.6% 22.5% 8.86% 15.0% 37.5% 8.33% 5.00% 22.8% 30.0% 12.7% 20.6% 19.8% 13.64% 12.50% 29.0% 17.9% 9.33% 19.3% 16.9%

E HI HIL I rS s

Somewhat Favorable 56 26 30 38 12 5 1 4 5 16 11 14 6 46 3 4 12 26 18 30 26

18.7% 18% 18.9% 22.0% 15.2% 12.5% 12.5% 16.7% 12.5% 20.3% 18.3% 22.2% 17.6% 18.9% 13.64% 16.67% 17.4% 16.7% 24.0% 17.0% 21.0%

UNFAVORABLE NET: 38 24 14 15 16 6 1 4 3 6 11 13 1 31 3 2 10 18 10 22 16

================ 12.7% 17% 8.81% 8.67% 20.3% 15.0% 12.5% 16.7% 7.50% 7.59% 18.3% 20.6% 2.94% 12.8% 13.64% 8.33% 14.5% 11.5% 13.3% 12.5% 12.9%

C D m ijM IJM

Somewhat Unfavorable 12 8 4 5 7 - - 1 1 - 3 7 - 8 2 1 3 5 4 7 5

4.00% 5.7% 2.52% 2.89% 8.86% 4.17% 2.50% 5.00% 11.1% 3.29% 9.09% 4.17% 4.35% 3.21% 5.33% 3.98% 4.03%

d i

Very Unfavorable 26 16 10 10 9 6 1 3 2 6 8 6 1 23 1 1 7 13 6 15 11

8.67% 11% 6.29% 5.78% 11.4% 15.0% 12.5% 12.5% 5.00% 7.59% 13.3% 9.52% 2.94% 9.47% 4.55% 4.17% 10.1% 8.33% 8.00% 8.52% 8.87%

M

No Opinion 74 26 48 37 21 14 2 5 11 26 11 15 6 61 4 6 16 36 22 44 30

24.7% 18% 30.2% 21.4% 26.6% 35.0% 25.0% 20.8% 27.5% 32.9% 18.3% 23.8% 17.6% 25.1% 18.18% 25.00% 23.2% 23.1% 29.3% 25.0% 24.2%

B d Km

Never Heard 77 38 39 44 23 9 1 9 19 13 9 13 14 57 9 9 11 48 18 46 31

25.7% 27% 24.5% 25.4% 29.1% 22.5% 12.5% 37.5% 47.5% 16.5% 15.0% 20.6% 41.2% 23.5% 40.91% 37.50% 15.9% 30.8% 24.0% 26.1% 25.0%

JK JKL JKL Q

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

2F DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF DON WAGNER?

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

FAVORABLE NET: 41 23 18 28 8 3 2 3 3 13 10 9 3 31 5 3 9 23 9 24 17

============== 13.7% 16% 11.3% 16.2% 10.1% 7.50% 25.0% 12.5% 7.50% 16.5% 16.7% 14.3% 8.82% 12.8% 22.73% 12.50% 13.0% 14.7% 12.0% 13.6% 13.7%

f

Very Favorable 22 15 7 15 4 1 2 2 2 9 5 3 1 18 2 2 2 17 3 13 9

7.33% 11% 4.40% 8.67% 5.06% 2.50% 25.0% 8.33% 5.00% 11.4% 8.33% 4.76% 2.94% 7.41% 9.09% 8.33% 2.90% 10.9% 4.00% 7.39% 7.26%

C f m QS

Somewhat Favorable 19 8 11 13 4 2 - 1 1 4 5 6 2 13 3 1 7 6 6 11 8

6.33% 5.7% 6.92% 7.51% 5.06% 5.00% 4.17% 2.50% 5.06% 8.33% 9.52% 5.88% 5.35% 13.64% 4.17% 10.1% 3.85% 8.00% 6.25% 6.45%

UNFAVORABLE NET: 11 6 5 3 4 4 - 1 - 5 2 2 1 11 - - 1 5 5 5 6

================ 3.67% 4.3% 3.14% 1.73% 5.06% 10.0% 4.17% 6.33% 3.33% 3.17% 2.94% 4.53% 1.45% 3.21% 6.67% 2.84% 4.84%

d

Somewhat Unfavorable 3 1 2 2 - 1 - - - 2 1 - - 3 - - - 2 1 2 1

1.00% 0.7% 1.26% 1.16% 2.50% 2.53% 1.67% 1.23% 1.28% 1.33% 1.14% 0.81%

Very Unfavorable 8 5 3 1 4 3 - 1 - 3 1 2 1 8 - - 1 3 4 3 5

2.67% 3.5% 1.89% 0.58% 5.06% 7.50% 4.17% 3.80% 1.67% 3.17% 2.94% 3.29% 1.45% 1.92% 5.33% 1.70% 4.03%

d d

No Opinion 73 31 42 45 17 9 2 7 13 20 13 13 7 57 5 8 14 36 23 44 29

24.3% 22% 26.4% 26.0% 21.5% 22.5% 25.0% 29.2% 32.5% 25.3% 21.7% 20.6% 20.6% 23.5% 22.73% 33.33% 20.3% 23.1% 30.7% 25.0% 23.4%

Never Heard 175 81 94 97 50 24 4 13 24 41 35 39 23 144 12 13 45 92 38 103 72

58.3% 57% 59.1% 56.1% 63.3% 60.0% 50.0% 54.2% 60.0% 51.9% 58.3% 61.9% 67.6% 59.3% 54.55% 54.17% 65.2% 59.0% 50.7% 58.5% 58.1%

s

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

2G DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF STEVE YOUNG?

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

FAVORABLE NET: 49 26 23 21 23 5 - 3 11 13 11 10 1 38 5 4 9 30 10 25 24

============== 16.3% 18% 14.5% 12.1% 29.1% 12.5% 12.5% 27.5% 16.5% 18.3% 15.9% 2.94% 15.6% 22.73% 16.67% 13.0% 19.2% 13.3% 14.2% 19.4%

DF M M M M

Very Favorable 28 15 13 9 14 5 - 3 4 9 6 6 - 24 3 1 6 19 3 15 13

9.33% 11% 8.18% 5.20% 17.7% 12.5% 12.5% 10.0% 11.4% 10.0% 9.52% 9.88% 13.64% 4.17% 8.70% 12.2% 4.00% 8.52% 10.5%

D S

Somewhat Favorable 21 11 10 12 9 - - - 7 4 5 4 1 14 2 3 3 11 7 10 11

7.00% 7.8% 6.29% 6.94% 11.4% 17.5% 5.06% 8.33% 6.35% 2.94% 5.76% 9.09% 12.50% 4.35% 7.05% 9.33% 5.68% 8.87%

jlM

UNFAVORABLE NET: 12 9 3 7 1 2 2 1 - 6 3 1 1 10 - 2 5 3 4 7 5

================ 4.00% 6.4% 1.89% 4.05% 1.27% 5.00% 25.0% 4.17% 7.59% 5.00% 1.59% 2.94% 4.12% 8.33% 7.25% 1.92% 5.33% 3.98% 4.03%

c l

Somewhat Unfavorable 2 - 2 1 - 1 - - - 1 1 - - 2 - - 1 - 1 - 2

0.67% 1.26% 0.58% 2.50% 1.27% 1.67% 0.82% 1.45% 1.33% 1.61%

Very Unfavorable 10 9 1 6 1 1 2 1 - 5 2 1 1 8 - 2 4 3 3 7 3

3.33% 6.4% 0.63% 3.47% 1.27% 2.50% 25.0% 4.17% 6.33% 3.33% 1.59% 2.94% 3.29% 8.33% 5.80% 1.92% 4.00% 3.98% 2.42%

C

No Opinion 73 29 44 41 18 14 - 6 15 18 13 15 6 59 6 7 15 37 21 41 32

24.3% 21% 27.7% 23.7% 22.8% 35.0% 25.0% 37.5% 22.8% 21.7% 23.8% 17.6% 24.3% 27.27% 29.17% 21.7% 23.7% 28.0% 23.3% 25.8%

kM

Never Heard 166 77 89 104 37 19 6 14 14 42 33 37 26 136 11 11 40 86 40 103 63

55.3% 55% 56.0% 60.1% 46.8% 47.5% 75.0% 58.3% 35.0% 53.2% 55.0% 58.7% 76.5% 56.0% 50.00% 45.83% 58.0% 55.1% 53.3% 58.5% 50.8%

E e i i I I IJKl

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

2H DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF BETH KROM?

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

FAVORABLE NET: 42 19 23 15 20 6 1 3 5 14 9 10 1 33 5 4 10 22 10 24 18

============== 14.0% 13% 14.5% 8.67% 25.3% 15.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 17.7% 15.0% 15.9% 2.94% 13.6% 22.73% 16.67% 14.5% 14.1% 13.3% 13.6% 14.5%

D M M M

Very Favorable 30 13 17 9 14 6 1 3 2 12 5 7 1 24 3 3 6 19 5 17 13

10.0% 9.2% 10.7% 5.20% 17.7% 15.0% 12.5% 12.5% 5.00% 15.2% 8.33% 11.1% 2.94% 9.88% 13.64% 12.50% 8.70% 12.2% 6.67% 9.66% 10.5%

D d iM m

Somewhat Favorable 12 6 6 6 6 - - - 3 2 4 3 - 9 2 1 4 3 5 7 5

4.00% 4.3% 3.77% 3.47% 7.59% 7.50% 2.53% 6.67% 4.76% 3.70% 9.09% 4.17% 5.80% 1.92% 6.67% 3.98% 4.03%

UNFAVORABLE NET: 31 17 14 21 6 3 1 2 2 9 8 8 2 25 2 2 6 17 8 20 11

================ 10.3% 12% 8.81% 12.1% 7.59% 7.50% 12.5% 8.33% 5.00% 11.4% 13.3% 12.7% 5.88% 10.3% 9.09% 8.33% 8.70% 10.9% 10.7% 11.4% 8.87%

Somewhat Unfavorable 10 5 5 8 1 1 - - 1 3 4 1 1 8 1 1 1 5 4 4 6

3.33% 3.5% 3.14% 4.62% 1.27% 2.50% 2.50% 3.80% 6.67% 1.59% 2.94% 3.29% 4.55% 4.17% 1.45% 3.21% 5.33% 2.27% 4.84%

e

Very Unfavorable 21 12 9 13 5 2 1 2 1 6 4 7 1 17 1 1 5 12 4 16 5

7.00% 8.5% 5.66% 7.51% 6.33% 5.00% 12.5% 8.33% 2.50% 7.59% 6.67% 11.1% 2.94% 7.00% 4.55% 4.17% 7.25% 7.69% 5.33% 9.09% 4.03%

im u

No Opinion 57 22 35 31 17 9 - 2 7 16 9 13 10 49 2 3 12 30 15 31 26

19.0% 16% 22.0% 17.9% 21.5% 22.5% 8.33% 17.5% 20.3% 15.0% 20.6% 29.4% 20.2% 9.09% 12.50% 17.4% 19.2% 20.0% 17.6% 21.0%

h H o

Never Heard 170 83 87 106 36 22 6 17 26 40 34 32 21 136 13 15 41 87 42 101 69

56.7% 59% 54.7% 61.3% 45.6% 55.0% 75.0% 70.8% 65.0% 50.6% 56.7% 50.8% 61.8% 56.0% 59.09% 62.50% 59.4% 55.8% 56.0% 57.4% 55.6%

E e jl

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

2I DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLEOPINION OF SUKHEE KANG?

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

FAVORABLE NET: 61 25 36 22 32 6 1 5 9 14 17 12 4 52 2 7 10 32 19 33 28

============== 20.3% 18% 22.6% 12.7% 40.5% 15.0% 12.5% 20.8% 22.5% 17.7% 28.3% 19.0% 11.8% 21.4% 9.09% 29.17% 14.5% 20.5% 25.3% 18.8% 22.6%

DFG M o o q

Very Favorable 36 15 21 12 19 4 1 4 4 12 9 4 3 31 2 3 4 26 6 20 16

12.0% 11% 13.2% 6.94% 24.1% 10.0% 12.5% 16.7% 10.0% 15.2% 15.0% 6.35% 8.82% 12.8% 9.09% 12.50% 5.80% 16.7% 8.00% 11.4% 12.9%

DF l QS

Somewhat Favorable 25 10 15 10 13 2 - 1 5 2 8 8 1 21 - 4 6 6 13 13 12

8.33% 7.1% 9.43% 5.78% 16.5% 5.00% 4.17% 12.5% 2.53% 13.3% 12.7% 2.94% 8.64% 16.67% 8.70% 3.85% 17.3% 7.39% 9.68%

DF j JM Jm R

UNFAVORABLE NET: 22 17 5 14 2 5 1 4 - 6 5 7 - 13 3 3 7 12 3 13 9

================ 7.33% 12% 3.14% 8.09% 2.53% 12.5% 12.5% 16.7% 7.59% 8.33% 11.1% 5.35% 13.64% 12.50% 10.1% 7.69% 4.00% 7.39% 7.26%

C E e

Somewhat Unfavorable 8 5 3 5 1 2 - 2 - 2 2 2 - 5 1 1 3 5 - 5 3

2.67% 3.5% 1.89% 2.89% 1.27% 5.00% 8.33% 2.53% 3.33% 3.17% 2.06% 4.55% 4.17% 4.35% 3.21% 2.84% 2.42%

Very Unfavorable 14 12 2 9 1 3 1 2 - 4 3 5 - 8 2 2 4 7 3 8 6

4.67% 8.5% 1.26% 5.20% 1.27% 7.50% 12.5% 8.33% 5.06% 5.00% 7.94% 3.29% 9.09% 8.33% 5.80% 4.49% 4.00% 4.55% 4.84%

C e

No Opinion 68 33 35 42 18 8 - 3 18 22 6 12 7 53 4 7 13 41 14 41 27

22.7% 23% 22.0% 24.3% 22.8% 20.0% 12.5% 45.0% 27.8% 10.0% 19.0% 20.6% 21.8% 18.18% 29.17% 18.8% 26.3% 18.7% 23.3% 21.8%

HjKLM hK

Never Heard 149 66 83 95 27 21 6 12 13 37 32 32 23 125 13 7 39 71 39 89 60

49.7% 47% 52.2% 54.9% 34.2% 52.5% 75.0% 50.0% 32.5% 46.8% 53.3% 50.8% 67.6% 51.4% 59.09% 29.17% 56.5% 45.5% 52.0% 50.6% 48.4%

E e E I i IJl P P

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

3 IF THE ELECTION TO REPLACE CONGRESSMAN JOHN CAMPBELL WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE...

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Republican Mimi Walters 75 40 35 54 9 9 3 3 6 27 15 12 12 65 3 5 23 38 14 50 25

25.0% 28% 22.0% 31.2% 11.4% 22.5% 37.5% 12.5% 15.0% 34.2% 25.0% 19.0% 35.3% 26.7% 13.64% 20.83% 33.3% 24.4% 18.7% 28.4% 20.2%

E HIL HIl o S u

Democrat Beth Krom 64 20 44 7 42 13 2 5 13 13 13 15 5 51 7 5 13 34 17 28 36

21.3% 14% 27.7% 4.05% 53.2% 32.5% 25.0% 20.8% 32.5% 16.5% 21.7% 23.8% 14.7% 21.0% 31.82% 20.83% 18.8% 21.8% 22.7% 15.9% 29.0%

B DFg D jm T

Republican Gary Miller 63 36 27 53 6 4 - 6 5 14 17 14 7 50 6 4 15 30 18 41 22

21.0% 26% 17.0% 30.6% 7.59% 10.0% 25.0% 12.5% 17.7% 28.3% 22.2% 20.6% 20.6% 27.27% 16.67% 21.7% 19.2% 24.0% 23.3% 17.7%

c EF I

Undecided/ Don't Know 98 45 53 59 22 14 3 10 16 25 15 22 10 77 6 10 18 54 26 57 41

32.7% 32% 33.3% 34.1% 27.8% 35.0% 37.5% 41.7% 40.0% 31.6% 25.0% 34.9% 29.4% 31.7% 27.27% 41.67% 26.1% 34.6% 34.7% 32.4% 33.1%

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

4 IF THE ELECTION TO REPLACE CONGRESSMAN JOHN CAMPBELL WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE...

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Republican Ed Royce 77 43 34 65 2 8 2 6 11 18 20 12 10 65 3 5 18 35 24 43 34

25.7% 30% 21.4% 37.6% 2.53% 20.0% 25.0% 25.0% 27.5% 22.8% 33.3% 19.0% 29.4% 26.7% 13.64% 20.83% 26.1% 22.4% 32.0% 24.4% 27.4%

c EF E l o

Democrat Beth Krom 67 21 46 9 42 14 2 5 11 14 12 19 6 53 8 6 18 32 17 32 35

22.3% 15% 28.9% 5.20% 53.2% 35.0% 25.0% 20.8% 27.5% 17.7% 20.0% 30.2% 17.6% 21.8% 36.36% 25.00% 26.1% 20.5% 22.7% 18.2% 28.2%

B Dfg D j T

Republican Mimi Walters 61 34 27 44 9 5 3 2 2 21 14 13 9 54 3 2 16 34 11 42 19

20.3% 24% 17.0% 25.4% 11.4% 12.5% 37.5% 8.33% 5.00% 26.6% 23.3% 20.6% 26.5% 22.2% 13.64% 8.33% 23.2% 21.8% 14.7% 23.9% 15.3%

EF HI hI I hI P u

Undecided/ Don't Know 95 43 52 55 26 13 1 11 16 26 14 19 9 71 8 11 17 55 23 59 36

31.7% 30% 32.7% 31.8% 32.9% 32.5% 12.5% 45.8% 40.0% 32.9% 23.3% 30.2% 26.5% 29.2% 36.36% 45.83% 24.6% 35.3% 30.7% 33.5% 29.0%

k k q

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

5 IF THE ELECTION TO REPLACE CONGRESSMAN JOHN CAMPBELL WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE...

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Republican Todd Spitzer 87 43 44 68 9 8 2 3 9 24 21 17 13 69 4 9 22 41 24 57 30

29.0% 30% 27.7% 39.3% 11.4% 20.0% 25.0% 12.5% 22.5% 30.4% 35.0% 27.0% 38.2% 28.4% 18.18% 37.50% 31.9% 26.3% 32.0% 32.4% 24.2%

EF H H h H

Democrat Beth Krom 66 20 46 6 44 14 2 5 13 13 12 17 6 53 7 6 13 35 18 30 36

22.0% 14% 28.9% 3.47% 55.7% 35.0% 25.0% 20.8% 32.5% 16.5% 20.0% 27.0% 17.6% 21.8% 31.82% 25.00% 18.8% 22.4% 24.0% 17.0% 29.0%

B DFg D j T

Republican Mimi Walters 59 36 23 46 4 7 2 7 4 16 14 12 6 51 4 2 17 29 13 37 22

19.7% 26% 14.5% 26.6% 5.06% 17.5% 25.0% 29.2% 10.0% 20.3% 23.3% 19.0% 17.6% 21.0% 18.18% 8.33% 24.6% 18.6% 17.3% 21.0% 17.7%

C E e i i P

Undecided/ Don't Know 88 42 46 53 22 11 2 9 14 26 13 17 9 70 7 7 17 51 20 52 36

29.3% 30% 28.9% 30.6% 27.8% 27.5% 25.0% 37.5% 35.0% 32.9% 21.7% 27.0% 26.5% 28.8% 31.82% 29.17% 24.6% 32.7% 26.7% 29.5% 29.0%

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

6 IF THE ELECTION TO REPLACE CONGRESSMAN JOHN CAMPBELL WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE...

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Republican Mimi Walters 80 44 36 62 7 8 3 4 6 30 18 12 10 72 1 5 26 37 17 52 28

26.7% 31% 22.6% 35.8% 8.86% 20.0% 37.5% 16.7% 15.0% 38.0% 30.0% 19.0% 29.4% 29.6% 4.55% 20.83% 37.7% 23.7% 22.7% 29.5% 22.6%

c EF HIL i O o RS

Democrat Beth Krom 69 23 46 9 43 15 2 4 14 13 13 19 6 54 8 7 16 35 18 32 37

23.0% 16% 28.9% 5.20% 54.4% 37.5% 25.0% 16.7% 35.0% 16.5% 21.7% 30.2% 17.6% 22.2% 36.36% 29.17% 23.2% 22.4% 24.0% 18.2% 29.8%

B Dfg D hJm j T

Republican Don Wagner 47 27 20 34 6 6 1 5 5 10 13 7 7 38 3 4 6 27 14 27 20

15.7% 19% 12.6% 19.7% 7.59% 15.0% 12.5% 20.8% 12.5% 12.7% 21.7% 11.1% 20.6% 15.6% 13.64% 16.67% 8.70% 17.3% 18.7% 15.3% 16.1%

E q q

Undecided/ Don't Know 104 47 57 68 23 11 2 11 15 26 16 25 11 79 10 8 21 57 26 65 39

34.7% 33% 35.8% 39.3% 29.1% 27.5% 25.0% 45.8% 37.5% 32.9% 26.7% 39.7% 32.4% 32.5% 45.45% 33.33% 30.4% 36.5% 34.7% 36.9% 31.5%

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

7 IF THE ELECTION TO REPLACE CONGRESSMAN JOHN CAMPBELL WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE...

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Republican Mimi Walters 123 69 54 99 10 10 4 6 10 39 28 24 16 105 6 7 35 60 28 79 44

41.0% 49% 34.0% 57.2% 12.7% 25.0% 50.0% 25.0% 25.0% 49.4% 46.7% 38.1% 47.1% 43.2% 27.27% 29.17% 50.7% 38.5% 37.3% 44.9% 35.5%

C EF E HI HI hI r u

Democrat Beth Krom 31 10 21 5 18 6 2 2 4 8 5 9 3 27 2 2 7 14 10 15 16

10.3% 7.1% 13.2% 2.89% 22.8% 15.0% 25.0% 8.33% 10.0% 10.1% 8.33% 14.3% 8.82% 11.1% 9.09% 8.33% 10.1% 8.97% 13.3% 8.52% 12.9%

b D D

Democrat Steve Young 26 9 17 7 14 5 - 4 9 3 6 2 2 15 5 4 2 17 7 10 16

8.67% 6.4% 10.7% 4.05% 17.7% 12.5% 16.7% 22.5% 3.80% 10.0% 3.17% 5.88% 6.17% 22.73% 16.67% 2.90% 10.9% 9.33% 5.68% 12.9%

D l JLM n Q T

Democrat Sukhee Kang 22 11 11 4 14 4 - 3 3 4 5 6 1 16 2 4 5 12 5 14 8

7.33% 7.8% 6.92% 2.31% 17.7% 10.0% 12.5% 7.50% 5.06% 8.33% 9.52% 2.94% 6.58% 9.09% 16.67% 7.25% 7.69% 6.67% 7.95% 6.45%

D

Undecided/ Don't Know 98 42 56 58 23 15 2 9 14 25 16 22 12 80 7 7 20 53 25 58 40

32.7% 30% 35.2% 33.5% 29.1% 37.5% 25.0% 37.5% 35.0% 31.6% 26.7% 34.9% 35.3% 32.9% 31.82% 29.17% 29.0% 34.0% 33.3% 33.0% 32.3%

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

8 GENDER

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Male 141 141 - 86 30 21 4 15 20 35 28 27 16 119 8 9 27 81 33 83 58

47.0% 100% 49.7% 38.0% 52.5% 50.0% 62.5% 50.0% 44.3% 46.7% 42.9% 47.1% 49.0% 36.36% 37.50% 39.1% 51.9% 44.0% 47.2% 46.8%

e l q

Female 159 - 159 87 49 19 4 9 20 44 32 36 18 124 14 15 42 75 42 93 66

53.0% 100% 50.3% 62.0% 47.5% 50.0% 37.5% 50.0% 55.7% 53.3% 57.1% 52.9% 51.0% 63.64% 62.50% 60.9% 48.1% 56.0% 52.8% 53.2%

d h r

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

9 PARTY AFFILIATION FROM VOTER FILE

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Republican 173 86 87 173 - - - 11 22 48 33 33 26 144 9 12 43 86 44 109 64

57.7% 61% 54.7% 100% 45.8% 55.0% 60.8% 55.0% 52.4% 76.5% 59.3% 40.91% 50.00% 62.3% 55.1% 58.7% 61.9% 51.6%

HIjKL o u

Democrat 79 30 49 - 79 - - 6 12 18 17 19 7 60 11 6 15 43 21 40 39

26.3% 21% 30.8% 100% 25.0% 30.0% 22.8% 28.3% 30.2% 20.6% 24.7% 50.00% 25.00% 21.7% 27.6% 28.0% 22.7% 31.5%

b Np t

Declint to State 40 21 19 - - 40 - 6 6 11 6 10 1 33 2 4 10 22 8 23 17

13.3% 15% 11.9% 100% 25.0% 15.0% 13.9% 10.0% 15.9% 2.94% 13.6% 9.09% 16.67% 14.5% 14.1% 10.7% 13.1% 13.7%

M m M M

Other 8 4 4 - - - 8 1 - 2 4 1 - 6 - 2 1 5 2 4 4

2.67% 2.8% 2.52% 100% 4.17% 2.53% 6.67% 1.59% 2.47% 8.33% 1.45% 3.21% 2.67% 2.27% 3.23%

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

10 AGE GROUP

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

18 to 29 24 15 9 11 6 6 1 24 - - - - - 19 3 2 1 15 8 15 9

8.00% 11% 5.66% 6.36% 7.59% 15.0% 12.5% 100% 7.82% 13.64% 8.33% 1.45% 9.62% 10.7% 8.52% 7.26%

Q Q

30 to 44 40 20 20 22 12 6 - - 40 - - - - 28 3 7 2 29 9 21 19

13.3% 14% 12.6% 12.7% 15.2% 15.0% 100% 11.5% 13.64% 29.17% 2.90% 18.6% 12.0% 11.9% 15.3%

n Q Q

45 to 54 79 35 44 48 18 11 2 - - 79 - - - 58 10 8 15 48 16 46 33

26.3% 25% 27.7% 27.7% 22.8% 27.5% 25.0% 100% 23.9% 45.45% 33.33% 21.7% 30.8% 21.3% 26.1% 26.6%

N

55 to 64 60 28 32 33 17 6 4 - - - 60 - - 54 2 4 15 27 18 34 26

20.0% 20% 20.1% 19.1% 21.5% 15.0% 50.0% 100% 22.2% 9.09% 16.67% 21.7% 17.3% 24.0% 19.3% 21.0%

df O

65 to 74 63 27 36 33 19 10 1 - - - - 63 - 53 2 3 22 24 17 37 26

21.0% 19% 22.6% 19.1% 24.1% 25.0% 12.5% 100% 21.8% 9.09% 12.50% 31.9% 15.4% 22.7% 21.0% 21.0%

o R

75 or Older 34 16 18 26 7 1 - - - - - - 34 31 2 - 14 13 7 23 11

11.3% 11% 11.3% 15.0% 8.86% 2.50% 100% 12.8% 9.09% 20.3% 8.33% 9.33% 13.1% 8.87%

F Rs

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

11 ETHNICITY

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Caucasian 243 119 124 144 60 33 6 19 28 58 54 53 31 243 - - 57 126 60 143 100

81.0% 84% 78.0% 83.2% 75.9% 82.5% 75.0% 79.2% 70.0% 73.4% 90.0% 84.1% 91.2% 100% 82.6% 80.8% 80.0% 81.2% 80.6%

IJ i IJ

Hispanic 22 8 14 9 11 2 - 3 3 10 2 2 2 - 22 - 4 12 6 10 12

7.33% 5.7% 8.81% 5.20% 13.9% 5.00% 12.5% 7.50% 12.7% 3.33% 3.17% 5.88% 100.0% 5.80% 7.69% 8.00% 5.68% 9.68%

Df KL

Asian/ Pacific Islander 17 6 11 8 3 4 2 2 4 4 4 3 - - - 17 4 9 4 11 6

5.67% 4.3% 6.92% 4.62% 3.80% 10.0% 25.0% 8.33% 10.0% 5.06% 6.67% 4.76% 70.83% 5.80% 5.77% 5.33% 6.25% 4.84%

African American 4 2 2 1 3 - - - 2 2 - - - - - 4 1 1 2 3 1

1.33% 1.4% 1.26% 0.58% 3.80% 5.00% 2.53% 16.67% 1.45% 0.64% 2.67% 1.70% 0.81%

Other 3 1 2 3 - - - - 1 2 - - - - - 3 - 3 - 2 1

1.00% 0.7% 1.26% 1.73% 2.50% 2.53% 12.50% 1.92% 1.14% 0.81%

Refused 11 5 6 8 2 1 - - 2 3 - 5 1 - - - 3 5 3 7 4

3.67% 3.5% 3.77% 4.62% 2.53% 2.50% 5.00% 3.80% 7.94% 2.94% 4.35% 3.21% 4.00% 3.98% 3.23%

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

12 CITY

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Irvine 66 31 35 24 29 11 2 5 13 17 15 13 3 50 5 9 11 39 16 38 28

22.0% 22% 22.0% 13.9% 36.7% 27.5% 25.0% 20.8% 32.5% 21.5% 25.0% 20.6% 8.82% 20.6% 22.73% 37.50% 15.9% 25.0% 21.3% 21.6% 22.6%

D d M m M m n

Orange/ Anaheim/ Villa 65 31 34 48 10 6 1 5 9 14 13 17 7 55 5 4 22 31 12 42 23

Park 21.7% 22% 21.4% 27.7% 12.7% 15.0% 12.5% 20.8% 22.5% 17.7% 21.7% 27.0% 20.6% 22.6% 22.73% 16.67% 31.9% 19.9% 16.0% 23.9% 18.5%

Ef rS

Mission Viejo 51 28 23 32 10 7 2 4 5 15 6 12 9 41 4 4 13 23 15 29 22

17.0% 20% 14.5% 18.5% 12.7% 17.5% 25.0% 16.7% 12.5% 19.0% 10.0% 19.0% 26.5% 16.9% 18.18% 16.67% 18.8% 14.7% 20.0% 16.5% 17.7%

k

Lake Forest/ Rancho 47 24 23 26 10 10 1 3 6 18 10 8 2 40 2 3 9 21 17 26 21

Santa Margarita 15.7% 17% 14.5% 15.0% 12.7% 25.0% 12.5% 12.5% 15.0% 22.8% 16.7% 12.7% 5.88% 16.5% 9.09% 12.50% 13.0% 13.5% 22.7% 14.8% 16.9%

M m r

Tustin/ Santa Ana 44 18 26 28 11 4 1 5 5 12 12 5 5 34 5 2 9 24 11 23 21

14.7% 13% 16.4% 16.2% 13.9% 10.0% 12.5% 20.8% 12.5% 15.2% 20.0% 7.94% 14.7% 14.0% 22.73% 8.33% 13.0% 15.4% 14.7% 13.1% 16.9%

l

Laguna Hills/ Laguna 22 7 15 12 8 2 - 1 1 2 2 8 8 18 1 2 4 16 2 15 7

Woods 7.33% 5.0% 9.43% 6.94% 10.1% 5.00% 4.17% 2.50% 2.53% 3.33% 12.7% 23.5% 7.41% 4.55% 8.33% 5.80% 10.3% 2.67% 8.52% 5.65%

IJk HIJK S

Others 5 2 3 3 1 - 1 1 1 1 2 - - 5 - - 1 2 2 3 2

1.67% 1.4% 1.89% 1.73% 1.27% 12.5% 4.17% 2.50% 1.27% 3.33% 2.06% 1.45% 1.28% 2.67% 1.70% 1.61%

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

13 VOTE PROPENSITY (PAST 3 JUNE PRIMARY ELECTIONS: 2008, 2010 & 2012)

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Voted in All 3 69 27 42 43 15 10 1 1 2 15 15 22 14 57 4 5 69 - - 64 5

23.0% 19% 26.4% 24.9% 19.0% 25.0% 12.5% 4.17% 5.00% 19.0% 25.0% 34.9% 41.2% 23.5% 18.18% 20.83% 100% 36.4% 4.03%

HI HI HIJ HIJ U

Voted in 2 of 3 156 81 75 86 43 22 5 15 29 48 27 24 13 126 12 13 - 156 - 85 71

52.0% 57% 47.2% 49.7% 54.4% 55.0% 62.5% 62.5% 72.5% 60.8% 45.0% 38.1% 38.2% 51.9% 54.55% 54.17% 100% 48.3% 57.3%

c Lm KLM kLM

Voted in 1 of 3 75 33 42 44 21 8 2 8 9 16 18 17 7 60 6 6 - - 75 27 48

25.0% 23% 26.4% 25.4% 26.6% 20.0% 25.0% 33.3% 22.5% 20.3% 30.0% 27.0% 20.6% 24.7% 27.27% 25.00% 100% 15.3% 38.7%

T

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

14 VOTER TYPE

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Permanent Absentee 176 83 93 109 40 23 4 15 21 46 34 37 23 143 10 16 64 85 27 176 -

58.7% 59% 58.5% 63.0% 50.6% 57.5% 50.0% 62.5% 52.5% 58.2% 56.7% 58.7% 67.6% 58.8% 45.45% 66.67% 92.8% 54.5% 36.0% 100%

e RS S

Election Day Voter 124 58 66 64 39 17 4 9 19 33 26 26 11 100 12 8 5 71 48 - 124

41.3% 41% 41.5% 37.0% 49.4% 42.5% 50.0% 37.5% 47.5% 41.8% 43.3% 41.3% 32.4% 41.2% 54.55% 33.33% 7.25% 45.5% 64.0% 100%

d Q QR

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

15 SENATE DISTRICT

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

District 36 80 42 38 47 17 14 2 9 10 22 11 19 9 64 5 7 18 37 25 44 36

26.7% 30% 23.9% 27.2% 21.5% 35.0% 25.0% 37.5% 25.0% 27.8% 18.3% 30.2% 26.5% 26.3% 22.73% 29.17% 26.1% 23.7% 33.3% 25.0% 29.0%

k

District 37 220 99 121 126 62 26 6 15 30 57 49 44 25 179 17 17 51 119 50 132 88

73.3% 70% 76.1% 72.8% 78.5% 65.0% 75.0% 62.5% 75.0% 72.2% 81.7% 69.8% 73.5% 73.7% 77.27% 70.83% 73.9% 76.3% 66.7% 75.0% 71.0%

h

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

16 ASSEMBLY DISTRICT

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

District 68 172 73 99 108 38 20 6 13 22 47 44 31 15 137 13 15 43 86 43 102 70

57.3% 52% 62.3% 62.4% 48.1% 50.0% 75.0% 54.2% 55.0% 59.5% 73.3% 49.2% 44.1% 56.4% 59.09% 62.50% 62.3% 55.1% 57.3% 58.0% 56.5%

b E e ijLM

District 73 80 42 38 47 17 14 2 9 10 22 11 19 9 64 5 7 18 37 25 44 36

26.7% 30% 23.9% 27.2% 21.5% 35.0% 25.0% 37.5% 25.0% 27.8% 18.3% 30.2% 26.5% 26.3% 22.73% 29.17% 26.1% 23.7% 33.3% 25.0% 29.0%

k

District 74 48 26 22 18 24 6 - 2 8 10 5 13 10 42 4 2 8 33 7 30 18

16.0% 18% 13.8% 10.4% 30.4% 15.0% 8.33% 20.0% 12.7% 8.33% 20.6% 29.4% 17.3% 18.18% 8.33% 11.6% 21.2% 9.33% 17.0% 14.5%

DF K HjK qS

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

17 COUNTY SUPERVISOR DISTRICT

VOTER TYPE

GENDER PARTY AFFILIATION AGE GROUP ETHNICITY VOTE PROPENSITY ===========

========== ======================= =================================== =================== ================= PRMNT ELCTN

TOTAL MALE FEMLE REP DEM DTS OTHER 18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ WHITE HISPNC OTHERS 3/3 2/3 1/3 ABSNT DAY

----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- -----

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL ANSWERING 300 141 159 173 79 40 8 24 40 79 60 63 34 243 22 24 69 156 75 176 124

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

District 3 177 79 98 101 50 21 5 15 28 43 41 35 15 142 15 14 42 96 39 103 74

59.0% 56% 61.6% 58.4% 63.3% 52.5% 62.5% 62.5% 70.0% 54.4% 68.3% 55.6% 44.1% 58.4% 68.18% 58.33% 60.9% 61.5% 52.0% 58.5% 59.7%

jM jM

District 5 123 62 61 72 29 19 3 9 12 36 19 28 19 101 7 10 27 60 36 73 50

41.0% 44% 38.4% 41.6% 36.7% 47.5% 37.5% 37.5% 30.0% 45.6% 31.7% 44.4% 55.9% 41.6% 31.82% 41.67% 39.1% 38.5% 48.0% 41.5% 40.3%

ik IK

Comparison Groups: BC/DEFG/HIJKLM/NOP/QRS/TU

Independent T-Test for Means, Independent Z-Test for Percentages

Upper case letters indicate significance at the 95% level.

Lower case letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

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