Methanol Fuel Blending In China

Methanol Fuel Blending In China

Tim Chan ? Enmore 14th International MeOH Week Nanjing, China 9 -10 July 2019

01 About Methanol Institute WWW.

History

? The Methanol Institute (MI) was established in 1989 ? 29 years later, MI recognized as the trade association for the global

methanol industry ? Facilitating methanol's expansion from our Singapore headquarters and

regional offices in Washington DC, Brussels, and Beijing

Brussels Washington, DC

Beijing Singapore

Members Tier 1

Tier 2

Tier 3

Ecofuel

Tier 4

02 Methanol Fuel Applications- China WWW.

Methanol's Evolving Global Demand

Methanol Demand vs Supply in 2018

Methanol Production/Import in China (mln tons)

90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10

0

Production Capacity Production Import

Source: CNFIA Statistics

WWW.

Fuel Application the Largest Downstream

?Methanol consumption increased to 69.5 MMTs in 2017

?Total Fuel Application (Direct Fuel, DME, MTBE) accounting for 25% of the total consumption in 2017 ? Formaldehyde share dropped, MTBE share might decrease in 2020 when E10 promoted nationally. ?Methanol Direct Fuel in Industrial Boilers and Cookstoves increasingly contributed in the directive fuel blending ?Fuel blending is also suspected to contribute in "Others" in the official statistics

Source: CNFIA Statistics

WWW.

China Methanol Production and Energy Security

11%

10%

8%

89%

Dedicated Ammonia Combined Source: CNFIA Statistics

82% Coal NG Coking Gas

? China methanol production capability: 84.32 MMTs, mainly dedicated coal to methanol projects

? New NG stock feed methanol project suspended, coking gas limited by steel industry

? Advanced coal gasification and world scale methanol production

China Domestic Energy Resources in Global Share

Methanol

Coal

13.30%

Natural Gas

NG 1.50%

Gasoline/Diesel

Crude 0.90%

Source: BP analytical Statistics

? China: coal reserve rich country (115bln tons) with scarce crude (2bln tons) and NG reserves

? Increasing concerns of energy security, mainly crude, over 70% oversea import

? Methanol imports ~8 MMTs in recent years, import only ~11%

? China Vehicle Population in 2018: 240 mln, consuming 100 MMTs gasoline and 140 MMTs diesel

WWW.

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