HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES …

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES April 2015

Study #15179 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 1,000 Adults, including 350 respondents with a cell phone only and 37 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline An additional 51 interviews were conducted among African-Americans.

Study #15179 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Date: April 26-30, 2015

48 Male 52 Female

Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 1,000 interviews among Adults is ?3.10% The margin of error for 251 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is ?6.19% The margin of error for 273 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ?5.93%

Unless otherwise noted by a "+", all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF "REFUSED," ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST)

18-24 ...................................................... 10 25-29 ...................................................... 8 30-34 ...................................................... 12 35-39 ...................................................... 8 40-44 ...................................................... 9 45-49 ...................................................... 6 50-54 ...................................................... 10 55-59 ...................................................... 9 60-64 ...................................................... 11 65-69 ...................................................... 6 70-74 ...................................................... 6 75 and over ............................................ 5

Not sure/refused................................... -

Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background?

Yes, Hispanic ........................................... 11 No, not Hispanic ....................................... 88

Not sure/refused ..................................... 1

Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else?

White .......................................................... 74 Black .......................................................... 12 Asian .......................................................... 2 Other .......................................................... 4

Hispanic (VOL) ......................................... 6 Not sure/refused....................................... 2

Q3

Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (state from Q1x)]?

Registered ................................... 86 Not registered.............................. 14

Not sure..................................... -

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES April 2015

Study #15179 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q4

All in all, do you think that things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that

things are off on the wrong track?

High Low

10/30- 10/8-

10/17-

4/15 3/15 1/15 12/14 11/14 11/1/14+ 12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 9/01 20/08+

Headed in the right direction ... 28

32

31

27

25

27

25

23

22

72

12

Off on the wrong track............. 62

60

59

64

65

63

65

67

71

11

78

Mixed (VOL) .......................... 6

5

5

6

6

6

6

6

5

11

7

Not sure ................................ 4

3

5

3

4

4

4

4

2

6

3

6/14 4/14 3/14

1/14

25

27

26

28

63

63

65

63

7

6

5

5

5

4

4

4

10/25- 10/7-

12/13 28/13 9/13 9/13 7/13 6/13

29

22

14

30

29

32

64

70

78

62

61

59

5

4

4

5

6

6

2

4

4

3

4

3

4/13 2/13

31

32

61

59

5

6

3

3

1/13 35 57 4 4

12/12 41 53 3 3

9/26- 9/12-

10/12+ 30/12+ 16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12

41

40

39

32

32

31

53

53

55

61

60

61

4

5

4

4

5

5

2

2

2

3

3

3

5/12 4/12 3/12

33

33

33

58

59

58

5

6

5

4

2

4

1/12 30 61 5 4

12/11 22 69 6 3

11/11 10/11 8/11 7/11 6/11 5/11

19

17

19

25

29

36

73

74

73

67

62

50

5

5

5

5

6

10

3

4

3

3

3

4

10/28- 10/14-

4/11 1/11 12/10 11/10 30/10+ 18/10+

28

35

28

32

31

32

63

56

63

58

60

59

6

5

6

6

5

6

3

4

3

4

4

3

8/26- 8/5-

5/6-

9/10 30/10 9/10 6/10 11/10

32

30

32

29

34

59

61

58

62

56

5

6

6

5

6

4

3

4

4

4

1/23 - 1/10-

3/10 25/10 14/10 12/09 10/09

9/09

33

32

34

33

36

39

59

58

54

55

52

48

5

7

10

10

9

10

3

3

2

2

3

3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

7/09 39 49 9 3

6/09 4/09 2/09

42

43

41

46

43

44

9

10

9

3

4

6

1/09 26 59 9 6

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES April 2015

Study #15179 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q5

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

10/30- 10/8-

4/15 3/15 1/15 12/14 11/14 11/1/14+ 12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14

Approve ....... 48

46

46

45

44

42

42

40

40

Disapprove .. 47

50

48

50

50

52

52

54

54

Not sure ..... 5

4

6

5

6

6

6

6

6

High

4/09 61 30 9

Low

9/14+ 40 54 6

6/14 4/14

3/14

41

44

41

53

50

54

6

6

5

10/25- 10/7-

1/14

12/13 28/13 9/13

9/13

8/13

43

43

42

47

45

44

51

54

51

48

50

48

6

3

7

5

5

8

7/13 6/13

4/13

45

48

47

50

47

48

5

5

5

9/26- 9/12-

2/13

1/13 12/12 10/12+ 30/12+ 16/12+

50

52

53

49

49

50

45

44

43

48

48

48

5

4

4

3

3

2

8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12

48

49

47

49

48

48

3

3

5

5/12

4/12 3/12 1/12 12/11 11/11

48

49

50

48

46

44

46

46

45

46

48

51

6

5

5

6

6

5

10/11 8/11

7/11

44

44

47

51

51

48

5

5

5

6/11

5/11 4/11 2/11

1/11

12/10

49

52

49

48

53

45

46

41

45

46

41

48

5

7

6

6

6

7

10/28- 10/14-

11/10 30/10+ 18/10+ 9/10

47

45

47

46

47

50

49

49

6

5

4

5

8/2630/10

45 49 6

8/5-

5/20-

5/6-

9/10

6/10 23/10 11/10

3/10

47

45

48

50

48

48

48

45

44

47

5

7

7

6

5

1/2325/10

50 44 6

1/1014/10

48 43 9

12/09 47 46 7

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

10/09 51 42 7

9/09 51 41 8

8/09 7/09 6/09

4/09

51

53

56

61

40

40

34

30

9

7

10

9

2/09 60 26 14

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES April 2015

Study #15179 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q6

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy?

High Low

10/8-

4/15 3/15 1/15 12/14 11/14 12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 6/14 4/14 2/09 8/11

Approve............ 49

47

49

46

43

43

43

42

41

42

56

37

Disapprove ....... 47

48

47

49

53

53

53

53

54

54

31

59

Not sure.......... 4

5

4

5

4

4

4

5

5

4

13

4

3/14 12/13 9/13

7/13

41

39

45

45

56

58

52

51

3

3

3

4

9/26-

6/13

4/13

2/13

1/13 12/12 10/12+ 30/12+

46

47

44

49

49

46

46

49

50

51

48

47

52

51

5

3

5

3

4

2

3

9/12-

16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12

5/12

47

44

44

42

43

51

54

53

53

52

2

2

3

5

5

4/12

3/12

1/12 12/11 11/11 10/11 8/11

45

45

45

39

40

39

37

52

51

50

57

57

57

59

3

4

5

4

3

4

4

7/11 6/11 5/11 4/11

43

41

37

45

54

54

58

52

3

5

5

3

5/6-

1/23-

6/10 11/10 3/10 25/10

46

48

47

47

50

46

50

49

4

6

3

4

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

2/11 46 49 5

1/1014/10

43 49 8

10/14-

8/26- 8/5-

1/11 12/10 11/10 18/10+ 9/10 30/10 9/10

45

42

42

43

42

39

44

50

54

54

53

54

56

52

5

4

4

4

4

5

4

12/09 10/09 9/09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/09

42

47

50

49

51

55

56

51

46

42

44

38

37

31

7

7

8

7

11

8

13

Q7

Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling foreign policy?

High

Low

10/8-

10/8-

4/15

3/15

1/15 12/14 11/14 12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14

6/14

5/11 12/14+

Approve ............ 40

36

37

37

38

31

32

36

37

57

31

Disapprove ....... 53

58

56

55

56

61

62

60

57

35

61

Not sure.......... 7

6

7

8

6

8

6

4

6

8

6

9/26-

4/14

3/14 12/13 8/13

7/13

4/13 12/12 10/12+ 30/12+

38

41

44

41

46

46

52

49

49

53

53

48

49

46

43

40

46

46

9

6

8

10

8

11

8

5

5

9/12-

16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 5/12

1/12 11/11 8/11

6/11

5/11

49

54

53

51

51

52

50

50

57

46

40

41

42

41

41

45

44

35

5

6

6

7

8

7

5

6

8

4/11 11/10 1/10

49

48

50

46

44

37

5

8

13

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

12/09 49 42 9

10/09 51 39 10

9/09 50 36 14

7/09 57 33 10

6/09 54 36 10

4/09 56 31 13

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES April 2015

Study #15179 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to

rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very

negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

Very

Somewhat

Somewhat

Very

Barack Obama1

Positive

Positive

Neutral Negative Negative

April 2015 .....................................

26

21

13

13

27

March 2015 ..................................

24

20

12

14

29

January 2015 ...............................

24

21

13

12

29

December 2014............................

24

21

10

13

31

November 2014............................

24

21

11

11

32

Oct. 30 ? Nov. 1, 2014+ ...............

23

20

12

13

32

October 8-12, 2014+ ....................

21

22

11

12

34

September 2014+ ........................

22

20

11

13

33

August 2014 .................................

22

18

13

14

33

June 2014 ....................................

20

21

13

14

31

April 2014 .....................................

24

20

15

13

28

March 2014 ..................................

21

20

15

14

30

January 2014 ...............................

23

19

13

14

30

December 2013............................

22

20

11

13

33

October 25-28, 2013 ....................

24

17

13

13

32

October 7-9, 2013 ........................

26

21

11

11

30

September 2013...........................

25

20

12

16

26

July 2013......................................

28

20

12

14

26

May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................

28

19

13

12

28

April 2013 .....................................

30

17

10

15

27

January 2013 ...............................

31

21

11

11

26

December 2012............................

37

16

9

14

24

October 2012+ .............................

34

15

8

12

31

September 26-30, 2012+ .............

37

15

6

11

31

August 2012+ ...............................

31

17

8

13

30

July 2012+....................................

33

16

8

11

32

June 2012 ....................................

29

19

14

11

27

May 2012 .....................................

32

17

10

12

29

April 2012 .....................................

30

18

13

13

26

January 2012 ...............................

28

22

10

14

25

December 2011............................

22

23

13

15

27

November 2011............................

26

19

15

13

27

October 2011 ...............................

23

23

14

12

28

August 2011 .................................

24

20

12

14

30

April 2011 .....................................

28

22

14

13

23

January 2011 ...............................

29

23

15

14

18

December 2010............................

25

23

14

14

24

November 2010............................

28

21

12

13

26

October 28-30, 2010+ ..................

29

18

12

15

27

August 26-30, 2010 ......................

26

20

12

14

27

June 2010 ....................................

27

20

13

15

25

May 20-23, 2010 ..........................

28

19

15

14

24

March 2010 ..................................

31

19

11

14

24

January 23-25, 2010 ....................

29

23

14

14

20

December 2009............................

29

21

13

15

22

October 2009 ...............................

36

20

11

12

21

February 2009..............................

47

21

12

9

10

January 2009 ...............................

43

23

17

8

6

Barack Obama

High

February 2009.....................................

47

21

12

9

10

Presidential Term Low

August 2014 ........................................

22

18

13

14

33

All-time Obama Low

October 28-30, 2006+ .........................

14

17

18

5

6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3

1

-

40

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES April 2015

Study #15179 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8 (cont'd)

Very

Somewhat

Somewhat

The Republican Party1

Positive

Positive

Neutral Negative

April 2015.....................................

8

22

26

20

January 2015 ...............................

6

19

27

23

December 2014 ...........................

7

23

24

22

November 2014 ...........................

9

23

23

18

Oct. 30 ? Nov. 1, 2014+ ...............

7

22

23

23

October 8-12, 2014+ ....................

6

21

21

25

September 2014+ ........................

9

22

26

20

June 2014 ....................................

6

23

24

22

April 2014.....................................

6

19

29

22

March 2014 ..................................

7

20

27

21

January 2014 ...............................

5

19

28

22

December 2013 ...........................

6

20

22

26

October 25-28, 2013 ....................

6

16

24

23

October 7-9, 2013 ........................

7

17

21

24

September 2013 ..........................

7

21

27

23

May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................

8

24

26

18

February 2013..............................

8

21

24

20

January 2013 ...............................

6

20

24

24

December 2012 ...........................

9

21

23

18

October 2012+ .............................

15

21

20

18

September 26-30, 2012+ .............

14

24

18

18

August 2012+...............................

12

24

18

16

July 2012+ ...................................

11

23

22

18

June 2012 ....................................

10

21

23

18

May 2012 .....................................

9

23

23

19

April 2012.....................................

11

22

23

19

March 2012 ..................................

8

24

23

19

January 2012 ...............................

8

23

24

19

December 2011 ...........................

6

21

23

23

November 2011 ...........................

9

21

23

18

October 2011 ...............................

11

22

21

18

August 2011.................................

8

24

21

23

June 2011 ....................................

8

22

24

23

May 2011 .....................................

8

24

22

21

April 2011.....................................

7

24

24

22

January 2011 ...............................

7

27

24

21

December 2010 ..........................

11

27

23

17

November 2010 ..........................

11

23

24

20

October 28-30, 2010+ ..................

12

22

24

18

October 14-18, 2010+ ..................

8

23

25

19

September 2010 ..........................

8

23

25

21

August 26-30, 2010......................

7

23

25

22

August 5-9, 2010..........................

6

18

28

24

June 2010 ....................................

6

24

26

23

May 20-23, 2010 ..........................

10

23

26

21

May 6-11, 2010 ............................

8

22

26

22

March 2010 ..................................

6

25

24

20

January 23-25, 2010 ....................

7

25

27

18

January 10-14, 2010 ....................

7

23

27

24

December 2009 ...........................

5

23

27

24

June 2009 ....................................

6

19

29

23

April 2009.....................................

7

22

25

22

February 2009..............................

7

19

24

25

High

December 2001 ...........................

21

36

18

13

Low

October 25-28, 2013 ....................

6

16

24

23

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

Very Negative

23 23 23 25 24 25 21 23 22 24 25 25 30 29 21 23 26 25 27 25 25 29 25 26 24 24 24 25 25 26 26 23 21 23 22 19 20 19 23 23 22 21 22 19 19 20 23 20 18 19 21 22 22

9

30

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 3

3

1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES April 2015

Study #15179 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Q8 (cont'd)

Very

Somewhat

Somewhat

The Democratic Party1

Positive

Positive

Neutral Negative

April 2015 ....................................

12

26

24

17

January 2015................................

9

26

24

18

December 2014 ............................

12

25

22

17

November 2014 ............................

12

26

20

20

Oct. 30 ? Nov. 1, 2014+................

12

24

19

20

October 8-12, 2014+.....................

12

25

20

20

September 2014+ .........................

11

25

22

20

June 2014.....................................

13

25

21

18

April 2014 .....................................

13

23

24

19

March 2014...................................

14

21

25

18

January 2014................................

10

27

22

20

December 2013 ............................

10

26

19

20

October 25-28, 2013.....................

15

22

21

18

October 7-9, 2013.........................

14

25

18

20

September 2013 ...........................

13

27

22

20

May 30-June 2, 2013 ....................

14

25

22

19

February 2013 ..............................

18

23

22

17

January 2013................................

17

27

17

19

December 2012 ............................

21

23

19

16

October 2012+..............................

21

21

17

17

September 26-30, 2012+..............

21

21

17

17

August 2012+ ...............................

19

23

16

17

July 2012+ ....................................

17

23

20

17

June 2012.....................................

14

23

25

18

May 2012......................................

17

22

19

21

April 2012 .....................................

15

24

21

19

March 2012...................................

15

23

24

18

January 2012................................

15

23

23

21

December 2011 ............................

9

23

25

23

November 2011 ............................

15

25

22

18

October 2011................................

12

25

19

20

August 2011 .................................

11

22

21

19

June 2011.....................................

13

25

21

19

May 2011......................................

15

26

22

18

April 2011 .....................................

12

26

22

18

January 2011................................

15

24

25

19

December 2010 ............................

9

28

20

18

November 2010 ............................

14

26

18

18

October 28-30, 2010+...................

16

23

17

19

October 14-18, 2010+...................

14

24

16

19

September 2010 ...........................

15

22

20

20

August 26-30, 2010 ......................

11

25

19

19

August 5-9, 2010 ..........................

11

22

22

18

June 2010.....................................

11

24

21

20

May 20-23, 2010...........................

15

26

18

18

May 6-11, 2010.............................

11

26

19

18

March 2010...................................

9

28

19

19

January 23-25, 2010.....................

14

25

22

17

January 10-14, 2010.....................

11

27

20

18

December 2009 ............................

10

25

19

19

High

January 2000................................

20

30

23

15

Low

July 2006 ......................................

7

25

27

22

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

Very Negative

19 20 22 21 23 23 22 22 18 20 20 24 22 20 18 18 19 19 19 23 22 23 23 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 22 25 20 17 21 16 23 23 23 26 22 24 26 24 22 24 24 21 23 26

10

17

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

2 3 2 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1

2

2

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES April 2015

Q8 (cont'd)

The Tea Party Movement April 2015 ..................................... December 2014............................ Oct. 30 ? Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... October 8-12, 2014+ .................... September 2014+......................... June 2014 .................................... April 2014 ..................................... March 2014 .................................. December 2013............................ October 25-28, 2013 .................... October 7-9, 2013 ........................ September 2013........................... May 30-June 2, 2013.................... January 2013................................ July 2012+ .................................... April 2012 ..................................... January 2012................................ December 2011............................ November 2011............................ October 2011................................ August 2011 ................................. June 2011 .................................... April 2011 ..................................... January 2011................................ December 2010............................ November 2010............................ October 28-30, 2010+ .................. October 14-18, 2010+ .................. September 2010........................... August 26-30, 2010 ...................... August 5-9, 2010 .......................... June 2010 .................................... May 6-11, 2010 ............................ March 2010 .................................. January 23-25, 2010 ....................

High June 2010 ....................................

Low December 2015............................

Very Positive

7 5 7 6 7 8 7 9 10 9 9 9 11 9 14 10 10 10 12 12 11 13 13 13 15 14 14 14 15 12 14 15 16 13 14

15

5

Somewhat Positive

13 13 13 13 15 14 15 14 14 14 12 16 15 14 14 17 18 17 15 16 17 15 16 16 18 16 18 16 15 16 16 19 15 16 14

19

13

Neutral

25 24 26 23 25 26 26 25 21 22 20 23 26 20 23 23 19 21 21 21 20 20 20 22 20 21 18 20 21 19 23 21 21 22 20

21

24

Jeb Bush

April 2015 .....................................

5

March 2015 ..................................

4

January 2015 ...............................

5

November 2014............................

6

September 2014+ ........................

5

April 2014 .....................................

4

May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................

9

18

32

19

34

14

36

20

27

17

32

17

32

17

33

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Study #15179 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Somewhat Negative

Very Negative

Don't Know Name/ Not Sure

12

30

13

14

29

15

13

29

12

15

31

12

14

31

8

13

28

11

15

26

11

13

28

11

14

31

10

10

37

8

13

34

12

15

27

10

13

25

11

15

32

10

14

29

6

11

27

12

16

27

10

15

28

9

14

30

8

12

29

10

14

29

9

14

27

11

14

30

7

14

24

11

14

23

10

13

25

11

12

28

10

11

27

12

13

23

13

12

24

17

12

22

13

12

19

14

10

20

18

10

18

21

6

15

31

12

19

14

14

29

15

19

17

9

20

14

9

16

16

13

18

15

14

18

12

16

18

14

15

11

12

18

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