REACTION
REACTION
Chemicals Magazine Twentieth Edition / July 2016
What do data and analytics and changes in the personal care industry mean for chemical companies today?
KPMG GLOBAL CHEMICALS INSTITUTE
KPMG International reaction
2 | Reaction | Twentieth Edition
Introduction
Welcome to the July 2016 edition of Reaction Magazine. It's certainly been a tumultuous few months for the global economy, capped by the recent vote for `Brexit' in the UK and the massive impact that has had on global stock and currency markets. While the long-term impacts remain unclear, the short-term impact is already driving volatility and uncertainty, both of which are likely to adversely impact business confidence and, consequently, investment. We'll have more on Brexit in later editions, but in this edition, we bring you a focus on the key trends in the personal care market -- one of the chemical industry's most important end markets -- and look at how globalization and changing tastes for care products are providing massive opportunities for chemical producers. We also take a look at how chemical companies are deploying the latest data and analytics tools and techniques to gain business advantage. As ever, KPMG's global chemicals and performance technologies team remains active in the industry and it was great to see so many familiar faces at our annual chemical industry roundtable in D?sseldorf recently. We'll be back with our next edition in November with an outlook for the chemical industry in India along with the latest in our ongoing supply chain optimization series. If there are any other topics you would like us to cover in future editions of Reaction, please don't hesitate to contact us.
Mike Shannon Global Chair Chemicals and Performance Technologies KPMG International
? 2016 KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"). KPMG International provides no client services and is a Swiss entity with which the independent member firms of the KPMG network are affiliated.
Content
Reaction | Twentieth Edition | 3
4 Chemical suppliers keep pace with global personal care markets
16 Big data means big opportunities for chemical companies
Better products for a `better you'
6
People, process, technology
18
Industry megatrends
10
Smart production
19
The `Asianification' of beauty
11
Improved pricing, marketing and
customer service
23
What do men want?
12
Organic and natural ingredients
Innovation and a greener industry
24
14
What do personal care product manufacturers
Improved workforce management
26
need from chemical suppliers?
15
KPMG point of view
28
KPMG in the Industry
30
? 2016 KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"). KPMG International provides no client services and is a Swiss entity with which the independent member firms of the KPMG network are affiliated.
4 | Reaction | Twentieth Edition
Chemical suppliers
keep pace with global personal care markets
By Alton Adams
Chemical companies are working hard to satisfy the growing demand for ingredients that go into personal care products for the skin, hair, oral care, and other applications. As a large, rapidly expanding and increasingly diverse market, product ingredients represent special challenges for chemical companies. Today's consumers want more, they want quality and they want it now. But opportunities are evident as well, driven by a growing middle class in the East, an aging population in the West, and new markets such as men's grooming, halal beauty and bio-based skin care.
? 2016 KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"). KPMG International provides no client services and is a Swiss entity with which the independent member firms of the KPMG network are affiliated.
Reaction | Twentieth Edition | 5
? 2016 KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"). KPMG International provides no client services and is a Swiss entity with which the independent member firms of the KPMG network are affiliated.
6 | Reaction | Twentieth Edition
Better products for a `better' you
In South Korea, consumers take up to a dozen steps in their daily skincare routine, while Chinese consumers prefer one-step products supplemented by sheet masks, sometimes twice daily. In Indonesia, scalp freshener products are popular with Islamic women wearing the jilbab.1 In the US, men's grooming is one of the fastest-growing market segments in personal care.2
Clearly, personal care is an expanding, highly regionalized and increasingly diverse market. Product categories include toothpaste, fragrances, mouthwashes, hair care and dyeing products, cosmetics and products for nail care, bathing and shaving. The chemical ingredients for these products include surfactants, emulsifiers, polymers, emollients, cosmetic active ingredients, pigments, UV filters and thickeners, and protein compounds.3
The global market for personal care products is expected to increase between 3.5 and 4.5 percent over the next five years, with a total market value of US$500 billion by 2020.4 The market for product ingredients will likely grow even faster over most of the same forecast period. Valued at US$7.46 billion in 2014, the ingredients market is expected to reach US$11.76 billion by 2023, representing a CAGR of 5.2 percent.5
Global per capita spending on beauty and personal care 2014 and growth 2014?2019 by category
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Baby and child-specific products
Bath and shower
Colour cosmetics
Deodorants
Depilatories
Fragrances
Hair care
Men's grooming
Oral care
Skin care
Sun care
Sets/kits
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Per capita spend (US$) 2014
% growth 2014?2019
Source: The Future of Beauty and Personal Care in the Globe and Asia Pacific, Euromonitor, 2015
1 Examples from In-cosmetics trends presentations review 2015, In-cosmetics News, 27 May 2015,
2 Global Personal Care: Trends 2015, Lebermuth, 3 Personal Care Chemicals and Ingredients Market: Global Industry Analysis and Forecast to 2020, Persistence Market
Research, 4 Growth of global ingredients market outpaces personal care industry, Transparency Market Research,
5 Ibid.
? 2016 KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"). KPMG International provides no client services and is a Swiss entity with which the independent member firms of the KPMG network are affiliated.
Reaction | Twentieth Edition | 7
Beauty and personal care is a US$465 billion industry globally*
Global skin care alone is a
US$111 bilion
market, making up
28%
of BPC sales**
*Source: The Future of Beauty and Personal Care in the Globe and Asia Pacific, Euromonitor, 2015 **Source:
? 2016 KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"). KPMG International provides no client services and is a Swiss entity with which the independent member firms of the KPMG network are affiliated.
8 | Reaction | Twentieth Edition
Skin care is the major application for personal care products and accounts for a quarter of sales.6 The largest segment for ingredients is surfactants, agents that increase a liquid's wetting and spreading properties.7 On the basis of chemical properties, the active ingredients segment shows the strongest growth.8
Asia Pacific represents the largest share (29 percent) of the global personal care products market, with sales fueled mainly by population growth, urbanization and increased per capita spending power.9
Europe occupies second place, followed by North America.10
In the US, a growing Hispanic population and rising demand for luxury personal care brands will support demand for cosmetic chemicals over the next five years.11 In Europe, skin care and toiletries remain the most important product categories, followed by hair care and fragrances.12 Across all developed economies, including Japan, the growing number of older consumers is driving more sales for anti-aging, antiwrinkle and sun protection products.13
A sluggish economy in emerging markets, increased regulations in the West, and questions about product effectiveness have impeded sales over recent years. Yet personal care products represent a strong and resilient market. Granted, consumers buy less during an economic downturn, though exceptions have been noted (see page 9, The Lipstick Effect). However, after 2008, sales made a strong recovery and, equally significant, premium products gained a larger share of the total market (see chart: Total vs. premium vs. mass growth performance: 2008?2014).
Total vs. premium vs. mass growth performance: 2008?2014
% y-on-y growth 7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Total beauty
Premium beauty
Mass beauty
US$64* 5%* 29%*
per person, annual per capita, spent on personal care products globally
value growth generated in 2014
*Source: The Future of Beauty and Personal Care in the Globe and Asia Pacific.
represented by Asia Pacific in 2014
6 The Future of Beauty and Personal Care in the Globe and Asia Pacific, Euromonitor International, November 2015, RXUK_In-CosmeticsAsia/2015/Documents/The%20Future%20of%20Beauty%20and%20Personal%20care%20in%20Asia.pdf?v=635857035004836758
7 Ibid. 8 Ibid. 9 Growth of global ingredients market outpaces personal care industry, op. cit. 10 Asia Pacific to Continue Personal Care Ingredients Market Dominance, Global Market to Reach US$11.76 bn by 2023, press release, ,
11 US Cosmetic Chemicals Market to Grow due to Increasing Demand for Personal Care Products, TechSCiResearch,
12 The European cosmetics and personal care market shows signs of recovery, Premium Beauty News, 23 June 2015,
13 Ibid.
? 2016 KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"). KPMG International provides no client services and is a Swiss entity with which the independent member firms of the KPMG network are affiliated.
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