Financial markets and COVID-19
Financial markets and COVID-19
March 19, 2020
Your presenters
Rafia Hasan, CFP?, CFA
Principal, Chief Investment Officer rhasan@
Dean Stange, J.D., CFP?
Principal, Senior Financial Advisor dstange@
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Questions?
? Please submit in the chat box.
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Question: How long do you think the stock market will remain depressed and how long will it take us to recover?
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A history of market ups and downs
S&P 500 Index total returns in USD, January 1926?December 2019
Using a 20% threshold for downturns
1,000%
815% 167 months
936% 181 months
Bull Market
844% 155 months
193% 44 months
144% 77 months
76% 30 months
815% 153 months
451% 130 months
108% 61 months
S&P 500 Index Total Return (Logarithmic Scale)
0%
-22% 6 months
-22% 6 months
-29% 19 months
-43% 21 months
-30% 3 months
-45%
25 months
-51%
16 months
Bear Market
-1-01%0%
-83% 34 months
1926 1931 1936 1941 1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
Chart end date is 12/31/2019, the last trough to peak return of 451% represents the return through December 2019.
Bear markets are defined as downturns of 20% of greater from new index highs. Bull markets are subsequent rises following the bear market trough through the next new market high. The chart shows bear markets and bull markets, the number of months they lasted and the associated cumulative performance for each market period. Results for different time periods could differ from the results shown.
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual
portfolio. Source: S&P data ? 2020 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved.
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