Stock Market Indicators: Historical Monthly & Annual Returns
Stock Market Indicators: Historical Monthly & Annual
Returns
Yardeni Research, Inc.
October 30, 2020
Dr. Edward Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
732-497-5306 jabbott@
Please visit our sites at blog.
thinking outside the box
Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
Historical Monthly Returns
1
Historical Returns
2-3
October 30, 2020 / Stock Market Indicators: Historical Monthly & Annual Returns
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Historical Monthly Returns
Figure 1.
100
100
S&P 500 INDEX: TOTAL NUMBER UP OR DOWN EACH MONTH 1928-2020*
80
80
67
60
58
56
49
60
54
53
55
54
54
56
60
42
40
40
20
20
0
0
-20
-20
-25
-40
-35
-37
-44
-33
-39
-40
-38
-39
-39
-36
-40
-60
-50
-60
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2011
8
8
S&P 500 INDEX: AVERAGE PERCENT UP OR DOWN EACH MONTH 1928-2020
6
6
4.9
4.2 4
2.9
3.3
4.3
3.2
3.8
4.0
4.1
3.9
4
3.2
2.9
2
2
0
0
-2
-2
-4
-3.8
-3.5
-3.9
-3.8
-3.2
-3.2
-3.9
-3.1
-4
-4.1
-4.7
-4.6
-4.7
-6
-6
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2.0
S&P 500 INDEX: AVERAGE PERCENT CHANGE EACH MONTH 1928-2020
1.6
1.5
1.5
1.2 1.0
Average gain
0.8
0.7
2.0
1.5 1.3
1.0 0.8
.5
0.5
0.4
.5
.0
.0
-0.1
-0.1
-.5
-.5
-1.0
Average loss
-1.0 -1.0
-1.5
-1.5
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
*No change (0.00%) month of September 1979. Data are through October 2020. Source: Standard & Poor's and Haver Analytics.
Page 1 / October 30, 2020 / Stock Market Indicators: Historical Monthly & Annual Returns
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Historical Returns
Figure 2.
60
60
S&P 500 ANNUAL PERCENT CHANGES: 1928-2019*
50
50
23.5 12.8 13.4
29.6 11.4 9.5
19.4 28.9
25.2 -5.5 -15.3 -17.9
12.4 19.4
13.8 30.7
-11.9 0.0
-0.7 10.3 21.8 16.5 11.8
-6.6 45.0
26.4 2.6 -14.3
38.1 8.5 -3.0
23.1 -11.8
18.9 13.0 9.1 -13.1
20.1 7.7 -11.4 0.1
10.8 15.6
-17.4 -29.7
31.5 19.1 -11.5 1.1 12.3
25.8 -9.7
14.8 17.3
1.4 26.3
14.6 2.0
12.4 27.3
-6.6 26.3
4.5 7.1
-1.5 34.1
20.3 31.0
26.7 19.5 -10.1 -13.0 -23.4
26.4 9.0 3.0
13.6 3.5
46.6 41.4 27.9
37.1 -11.9 -28.5
40
40
30
30
20
20
10
10
0
0
0.0 -0.7 -6.2
-15.1 -5.9
-10
-10
-20
-20
-30
-30
-38.6 -38.5
-40
-40
-47.1
-50
-50
-60
-60
1928
1933
1938
1943
1948
1953
1958
1963
1968
1973
1978
1983
1988
1993
1998
2003
2008
2013
2018
2023
* Annual percent changes based on year-end values except 1928, which uses Jan 3, 1928 for year-end 1927. Source: Standard & Poor's and Haver Analytics.
Figure 3.
15
S&P 500 INDEX PRICE (percent change, monthly)
10
5
0
-5
15
Monthly % Chg
Nov 3.4
Dec 2.9
10
Jan -0.2
Feb -8.4
Mar-12.5
Apr 12.7
May 4.5 Jun 1.8
5
Jul 5.5
Aug 7.0
Sep -3.9
Oct -2.8 0
Oct -5
-10
-10
-15 2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Source: Standard and Poor's and Haver Analytics.
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
-15
2021 2022
Page 2 / October 30, 2020 / Stock Market Indicators: Historical Monthly & Annual Returns
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Historical Returns
Figure 4.
25
25
S&P 500 INDEX PRICE
(percent change, quarterly)
20
20
15
15
10
10
Q3
5
5
0
0
-5
Quarterly % Chg
-5
IV -14.0
I 13.1
-10
II 3.8
-10
III 1.2
IV 8.5
-15
I -20.0
-15
II 20.0
III 8.5
-20
-20
-25
-25
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: Standard and Poor's and Haver Analytics.
Page 3 / October 30, 2020 / Stock Market Indicators: Historical Monthly & Annual Returns
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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