Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios - Yardeni Research
Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Yardeni Research, Inc.
March 15, 2023
Dr. Edward Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
732-497-5306 jabbott@
Debbie Johnson
480-664-1333 djohnson@
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Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
Bulls & Bears Bull/Bear Ratio Over 3.0 Bull/Bear Ratio Under 1.0 Bull/Bear Ratio Under 1.0 & Over 3.0 AAII Sentiment Bull & Bears
1 2 3 4 5 6-12
March 15, 2023 / Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Bulls & Bears
Figure 1.
6
6
INVESTORS INTELLIGENCE BULLS & BEARS
5
Ratio
Ratio
5
Bull/Bear
Feb 28
1.33
4
Ratio*
Mar 7
1.83
Mar 14
1.45
4
3
3
2
2
3/14
1
1
0
0
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
80
80
75
Percentage
Bulls Bears
75
70
Bulls
Feb 28
38.4
28.8
Mar 7
45.2
24.7
70
65
Bears
Mar 14
40.3
27.8
65
60
60
55
55
50
50
45
45
40
3/14
40
35
35
30
30
25
25
20
20
15
15
10
10
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
50
50
45
Percentage
Correction
Correction
Feb 28
32.8
40
Mar 7
30.1
Mar 14
31.9
35
30
45
40
35 3/14
30
25
25
20
20
15
15
10
10
5
5
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Note: Shaded red areas are S&P 500 bear market declines of 20% or more. Blue shaded areas are correction declines of 10% to less than 20%. Yellow areas are bull markets. Source: Investors Intelligence.
Page 1 / March 15, 2023 / Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Bull/Bear Ratio Over 3.0
Figure 2.
5200
4700 4200
3700
S&P 500 INDEX vs. BULL/BEAR RATIO OF 3.0 OR MORE* (ratio scale)
3200
2700
2200
1700
1200
700
5200
4700
3/14
4200 3700
3200
2700
2200
1700
1200
700
200
200
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
* Red shaded areas indicate Bull/Bear Ratio equal to or greater than 3.0. Source: Standard & Poor's and Investors Intelligence.
41600 36600 31600 26600
21600
Figure 3.
DOW JONES INDEX vs. BULL/BEAR RATIO OF 3.0 OR MORE* (ratio scale)
16600
11600
41600
36600
3/14
31600
26600
21600
16600
11600
6600
6600
1600
1600
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
* Red shaded areas indicates Bull/Bear Ratio equal to or greater than 3.0. Source: Wall Street Journal and Investors Intelligence.
Page 2 / March 15, 2023 / Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Bull/Bear Ratio Under 1.0
Figure 4.
5200
4700 4200
3700
S&P 500 INDEX vs BULL/BEAR RATIO OF 1.0 OR LESS*
3200
(daily, ratio scale)
2700
2200
1700
1200
700
5200
4700
3/14
4200 3700
3200
2700
2200
1700
1200
700
200
200
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
* Green shaded areas indicate Bull/Bear Ratio equal to or less than 1.0. Source: Standard & Poor's and Investors Intelligence.
41600 36600 31600 26600
21600
Figure 5.
DOW JONES INDEX vs. BULL/BEAR RATIO OF 1.0 OR LESS* (ratio scale)
16600
11600
41600
36600
3/14
31600
26600
21600
16600
11600
6600
6600
1600
1600
87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
* Green shaded areas indicates Bull/Bear Ratio equal to or less than 1.0. Source: Wall Street Journal and Investors Intelligence.
Page 3 / March 15, 2023 / Stock Market Indicators: Bull/Bear Ratios
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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