2019 Plan Modification .gov

GREATER LINCOLN

WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT BOARD

A proud partner of the

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2019 Plan Modification

Greater Lincoln Workforce Development Area

&

Southeast Region

Prepared by the

Greater Lincoln Workforce Development Board

Table of Contents

Introduction .....................................................................................................................................................1 Regional Plan Elements................................................................................................................................2 Local Plan Elements.................................................................................................................................... 23 Regional Signature Sheet......................................................................................................................... 54 Local Signature Sheet................................................................................................................................ 55 Local Assurances ......................................................................................................................................... 56

Introduction

The plan modification for the Southeast Region and the Greater Lincoln Workforce Development Area has been prepared in compliance with the Nebraska Department of Labor's State Policy on Regional and Local Plans, Change 4 and Nebraska Department of Labor's Employment and Training Notice 18-03. The plan modification must be submitted to the Nebraska Department of Labor no later than Monday, April 1, 2019. The Greater Lincoln Workforce Development Area is defined as Lancaster and Saunders Counties. The Southeast Region is defined as Fillmore, Gage, Jefferson, Johnson, Lancaster, Nemaha, Otoe, Pawnee, Richardson, Saline, Saunders, Seward, Thayer, and York Counties. The Greater Lincoln Workforce Development Board is the lead local board for this plan modification. The Greater Nebraska Workforce Development Board is the partnering local board. The regional modification must include signatures from the chairs of the lead and partnering local boards and Chief Elected Officials of the planning region. The first section of the plan modification addresses regional plan elements including an analysis of economic conditions, employer needs, job seeker characteristics, and the regional workforce. Service strategies are included to support regional economic growth and economic self-sufficiency. The second section covers local plan elements including a description of the one-stop delivery system, partner collaboration, and strategies and services to support the strategic vision and goals identified in the state plan. The Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA) is an equal opportunity program and auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities. The City of Lincoln complies with Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973 guidelines. Ensuring the public's access to public documents and participation in public meetings is a priority for the City of Lincoln. In the event you are in need of a reasonable accommodation or access to language services, please contact the Director of Equity and Diversity, Lincoln Commission on Human Rights at 402-441-7624 as soon as possible to make your request.

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Regional Plan Elements

1. Provide an analysis of regional economic conditions, including existing and emerging in-demand industry sectors and occupations (see note at end of document), based on regional labor market data.

The Southeast Nebraska Regional Planning Area as designated by the Governor under WIOA consists of Lancaster, Seward, York, Fillmore, Saline, Gage, Thayer, Jefferson, Pawnee, Richardson, Johnson, Nemaha and Otoe counties plus the Greater Lincoln Workforce Development Area (GLWDA) which adds Saunders county (Greater Lincoln WDA is comprised of Lancaster and Saunders counties including the City of Lincoln). The Greater Lincoln Workforce Development Board is the lead local board for this region. With a population of 425,446 that represents approximately 22.7% of the state, the region has shown disparate population change with the GLWDA increasing at a rate of 3.01% while the remainder of the SE Region decreased in population by 0.83% as estimated by the change in population for the period 2010-2013. The average employment base is approximately 223,366 employees.

According to the Nebraska Department of Labor's NEworks website unemployment hovers at 2.3% (GLWDA) and 2.6% (remaining counties) with an estimated 5,669 unemployed individuals within the region. Average hourly wages range from $18.23/hour (SE Region) to $21.05/hour (GLWDA) with average annual wages of $37,908 and $43,784 respectively. Personal income has fluctuated within the SE Region whereas the Lincoln WIA has shown steady increases.

The region is comprised of both urban and rural based characteristics that are reflected in the economic makeup of the area. Agriculture and Ag based manufacturing have a large presence within the counties, while the City of Lincoln has a more urban based economy including a robust Finance and Insurance based industry sector.

Projected job growth for the area by 2026 is 22,702 jobs (11.28%) for the Lincoln MSA and 2,672 jobs (4.59%) for the Southeast Region.

Personal Income - All Sources, Percent Change from previous year:

SE/Greater Lincoln Regions, Counties

Year

Average, SE Region

Average, Greater Lincoln

2014

(2.0)

3.6

2015

1.3

2.7

2016

(0.9)

2.1

2017

3.3

4.4

2

Personal Income (Thousands of dollars) ? All Sources: SE/Greater Lincoln Regions

Year

Total, SE Region

Total, Greater Lincoln

2014

19,689,642

14,047,967

2015

20,501,417

14,780,818

2016

20,887,732

15,236,149

2017

21,648,776

15,782,232

Existing and in-demand industries within the region are reflected in the following tables. The table below shows the industries with the highest number of employees in the areas selected for the 2nd Quarter, 2018.

Industry Employment Distribution

Industry

GL Workforce Development Area

Southeast Region

Total, All Industries

177,171

46,195

Manufacturing

12,715

9,046

Health Care and Social Assistance

25,906

7,261

Educational Services

Confidential

4,994

Retail Trade

19,078

4,839

Public Administration

14,644

3,756

Accommodation and Food Services

15,327

3,177

Wholesale Trade

4,082

2,099

Construction

9,568

1,797

Finance and Insurance

9,646

1,550

Nebraska Department of Labor, Labor Market Information, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages

The table below shows the industries with the highest total employment change in the GLWDA for the 2016-2026 time period.

Greater Lincoln Workforce Development Area: Industries by Projected Growth

Rank

Industry

2016 Estimated 2026 Projected Total 2016-2026 Employment Employment Employment Change

1 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services

36,402

43,880

7,478

2 Ambulatory Health Care Services

25,990

33,209

7,219

3 Social Assistance

16,293

20,515

4,222

4 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities

16,225

20,198

3,973

5 Specialty Trade Contractors

24,153

27,833

3,680

6 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities

17,574

20,998

3,424

7 Education Employment (private + state + local)

22,044

24,473

2,429

3

Rank

Industry

2016 Estimated 2026 Projected Total 2016-2026 Employment Employment Employment Change

8 Food Services and Drinking Places

13,729

15,396

1,667

9 Construction of Buildings

4,449

5,356

907

10 Food and Beverage Stores

4,186

4,813

627

Source: Nebraska Department of Labor, Labor Market Information, Projections

The table below shows the industries with the highest total employment change in Southeast Region (2013 Def.), NE for the 2016-2026 time period.

Southeast Region: Industries by Projected Growth

Rank

Industry

2016 Estimated 2026 Projected Total 2016-2026 Employment Employment Employment Change

1 Food Manufacturing

4,358

5,150

792

2 Education Employment (private + state +

5,415

5,793

378

local)

3 Hospital Employment (private + state + local)

2,548

2,781

233

4 Crop Production

5,044

5,247

203

5 Animal Production

2,716

2,842

126

6 Truck Transportation

534

641

107

7 Chemical Manufacturing

470

555

85

8 Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry

413

491

78

9 Specialty Trade Contractors

1,216

1,284

68

10 General Merchandise Stores

1,297

1,361

64

Source: Nebraska Department of Labor, Labor Market Information, Projections

2. Provide an analysis of employment needs of employers in existing and emerging in-demand industry sectors and occupations in the planning region based on regional labor market data.

With an average civilian labor force of approximately 239,185, there were 6,394 available job openings advertised on-line within the Region and 32,465 available candidates for an average of 7.15 candidates per job opening (January, 2019)

The largest employers in the region include State Government, Healthcare, and Private Employers in the Production and Insurance sectors.

Among current job openings Healthcare, Government, and Education comprise the largest number of opportunities.

The table below shows the employers with the highest number of job openings advertised online in the GLWDA on January 22, 2019

4

GLWDA: Employers by Number of Job Openings

Rank

Employer Name

1 Bryan Health

2 University of Nebraska-Lincoln

3 Army National Guard

4 Nebraska State Government

5 Madonna Rehabilitation Hospitals

6 General Dynamics

7 Southeast Community College

8 Lincoln Public Schools

9 Catholic Health Initiatives

10 Tabitha Health Care Services

Job Openings 297 272 158 134 75 72 68 65 59 52

The table below shows the employers with the highest number of job openings advertised online in Southeast Region (2013 Def.), NE on January 22, 2019

Southeast Region: Employers by Number of Job Openings

Rank

Employer Name

1 AMERICOLD LOGISTICS

2 The Evangelical Lutheran Good Samaritan Society

3 Nebraska State Government

4 ShopKo Stores Operating Co., LLC

5 York General Health Care Services

6 Beatrice Community Hospital & Health Center

7 Home Instead, Inc.

8 Good Samaritan Society

9 McDonald's Corporation

10 PETRO Stopping Centers

Job Openings 58 47 42 32 30 23 22 21 20 19

By 2026, industries with the largest number of projected employees include Education (29,623), Food Service (15,396), Professional & Scientific (10,901), and Animal Production (5,842).

Industries with the largest projected percentage of growth through 2026 are reflected in the following tables:

The table below shows the industries with the highest total annual percent change in Lincoln Metropolitan Statistical Area (2013 Def.) for the 2016-2026 time period.

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Lincoln Metropolitan Statistical Area: Industries by Projected Growth (% Change)

2016 Annual 2026 Projected Percent Change

Industry Title

Employment Employment

2016-2026

Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services

9,250

10,901

17.85%

Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation

3,435

4,046

17.79%

Construction

9,027

10,612

17.56%

Health Care and Social Assistance

26,148

30,697

17.40%

Accommodation and Food Services

15,184

17,161

13.02%

Finance and Insurance

13,450

15,182

12.88%

Educational Services (including state & local gov't)

22,044

24,473

11.02%

Management of Companies and Enterprises

2,273

2,487

9.41%

Manufacturing

13,565

14,832

9.34%

Retail Trade

19,389

21,145

9.06%

Other Services (except Government)

8,499

9,183

8.05%

Wholesale Trade

4,427

4,773

7.82%

Real Estate and Rental and Leasing

1,728

1,859

7.58%

Transportation and Warehousing

10,460

11,152

6.62%

Information Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services

3,340 8,263

3,541 8,749

6.02% 5.88%

Government

15,818

16,675

5.42%

Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishing

3,183

3,348

5.18%

Utilities (private + state + local)

814

834

2.46%

Mining

4

4

Source: Nebraska Department of Labor, Labor Market Information, Projections

0.00%

The table below shows the industries with the highest total annual percent change in Southeast Region (2013 Def.), NE for the 2016-2026 time period.

SE Economic Development Region: Industries by Projected Growth (% Change)

2016 Annual 2026 Projected Percent Change

Industry Title

Employment Employment

2016-2026

Management of Companies and Enterprises

93

105

12.90%

Transportation and Warehousing

1,456

1,617

11.06%

Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation

414

453

9.42%

Real Estate and Rental and Leasing

165

180

9.09%

Manufacturing

8,927

9,732

9.02%

Educational Services (including state & local gov't)

5,415

5,793

6.98%

Finance and Insurance

1,661

1,751

5.42%

Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishing

8,173

8,580

4.98%

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