Analyst Ideas of the Week
Analyst Ideas of the Week
MIC Raises $27M Ahead of Q3 Results
October 21, 2019
2
Special Situations
Company Name: Ticker Symbol Current Share FRC Fair Value Date of PR:
Price:
Estimate:
Atrium
TSX: AI
$13.58
$13.70
Oct-18-2019
Mortgage
Investment
Corporation
PR Content
FRC Opinion
Closed a $27 million financing at $13.40 per Positive ? The company is expected to release its
share.
Q3 results on October 31, 2019. The recent
financing, we believe, will likely result in a
mortgage portfolio higher than $725 million (our
current estimate) by end of the year. We are
expecting a strong Q3. Q2 revenues were up 14%
YoY to $17 million, and net income was up 12%
YoY to $10 million (EPS: $0.25) - both were
quarterly records. Our 2019 total dividend
forecast is $0.98 per share, implying a yield of
7.2%.
Company Name: Ticker Symbol Current Share FRC Fair Value Date of PR:
Price:
Estimate:
MLI Marble
CSE: MRBL $0.22
$0.47
October 17, 2019
Lending Inc.
PR Content
FRC Opinion
Announced a partnership with Vancouver- Positive ? We are pleased to see the company
based company Theory+Practice ("TAP") to engage with a technology company to enhance its
implement strategies towards an AI and credit decision-making process and improve
machine learning platform. The outcome of customer experience. Contingent on a successful
this partnership is to help enhance Marbles' outcome, we believe this would aid the company
credit decision-making process and improve in selecting lower-risk clients to offer its loan
customer experience through data science and product to (thereby driving revenues of the
innovative technology. TAP is a private company).
company that offers a range of services, such
as: data analysis and strategies, automated and
integrated AI and behavioural economics.
?2019 Fundamental Research Corp. "15+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront"
PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
3
Mining / Exploration
Company Name: Ticker Symbol Current Share FRC Fair Value Date of PR:
Price:
Estimate:
Gran Colombia TSX:GCM
$4.90
$6.63
Oct-16-2019
Gold Corp.
Oct-21-2019
PR Content
FRC Opinion
Released assay results from a 25-diamond drill Positive ? In addition to these positive results, we
hole underground in-fill program, as well as are eagerly awaiting the company's Q3 results,
15-diamond drill hole exploration program, at which are expected to be released on November
the Segovia operations. Of the 25-hole 14, 2019. In the first nine months of 2019, the
program, six holes were at Providencia, 12 company had produced 175 Koz gold, up 7%
were at Sandra K, and seven were at El YoY. GCM had beat our expectations in Q2 when
Silencio. Note that Segovia's current mining it reported a 13% YoY increase in revenues to
operations are from these three underground US$78 million. EBITDA was up 27% YoY to
mines ? which include three of the known 24 US$33 million. Our 2019 production forecast
veins in the project area. The 15-hole (Segovia + Marmato) is 235 Koz, with a net profit
exploration program included five at forecast of US$39 million (EPS: US$0.80).
Providencia, six at El Silencio, and four at the
new Chumeca vein. A key highlight of the
results is that the first few holes in the
Chumeca vein indicate that it has potential to
be a main vein. The results also indicate
potential for resource growth at Sandra K.
GCM is planning to conduct 70,000 m of
drilling at Segovia over the next 18 months.
?2019 Fundamental Research Corp. "15+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront"
PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
4
Company Name: Ticker Symbol Current Share FRC Fair Value Date of PR:
Price:
Estimate:
Sirios Resources TSXV: SOI $0.175
$0.44
Oct-21-2019
Inc.
PR Content
FRC Opinion
Completed a $1.48 million financing at $0.20 Positive ? The company is currently working on
per unit. More importantly, Newmont a maiden resource estimate on its flagship
Goldcorp (NYSE: NEM) subscribed to $1 Cheechoo gold project located in Eeyou Istchee
million and has increased its ownership from James Bay, Quebec. As discussed in our initiating
15.9% to 19.9%.
report, our preliminary speculative estimate on
Cheechoo is 1.27 Moz of contained gold. This is
based on a 500 m x 500 m area, a conservative
depth of 200 m (the company has drilled up to
300 m), and an average grade of 0.6 gpt gold. We
believe an attractive initial resource will open
doors to a number of possible M&A
opportunities.
Company Name: Ticker Symbol Current Share FRC Fair Value Date of PR:
Price:
Estimate:
Fura Gems Inc. TSXV: FURA $0.165
$1.17
Oct-17-2019
PR Content
FRC Opinion
Completed a previously announced acquisition Positive ? We were very pleased to the see the
of a ruby prospecting licence in the Montepuez closing of this acquisition especially because the
district in Mozambique. The company is company had originally announced its plans in
currently in the process of completing the 2018, and the delays were concerning. The recent
purchase of interests in three additional ruby financing at extremely attractive terms is also
prospecting licences / concessions in encouraging. Note that Fura is ramping up
Mozambique. Fura also recently closed the production at its 76% owned Coscuez emerald
first tranche ($27 million) of a $33 million mine (one of the world's most significant emerald
financing. The financing was done at a 52% mines).
premium to the current share price. No free
warrants were issued.
?2019 Fundamental Research Corp. "15+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront"
PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
5
Company Name: Ticker Symbol Current Share FRC Fair Value Date of PR:
Price:
Estimate:
Quaterra
TSXV: QTA $0.065
$0.49
Oct-21-2019
Resources Inc.
PR Content
FRC Opinion
Announced results of a Sequential Copper Positive ? These studies likely indicate potential
("Seq-Cu") analysis at its MacArthur open-pit, for improvement in the project's net asset value.
oxide-leach copper project in the Yerington The 2012 PEA on the oxide portion of MacArthur
Copper District, Nevada. Seq-Cu basically was based on an 18 year / 41, 000 tpd (ore) open-
allows to determine the amount of leachable pit mining operation of the oxide resource,
copper in drill samples. The study showed that followed by a ROM (run-of-mine) heap leach
actual recoveries are likely to be higher than operation, and conventional solvent extraction /
the assumptions used in a 2012 PEA. The electrowinning (SX/EW). The after-tax NPV at
company is further evaluating results of the 8% was estimated at US$202 million, with an
Seq-Cu work for potential use in the upcoming after-tax IRR of 24.2%. The initial CAPEX was
PFS on the MacArthur deposit in 2020.
estimated to be US$233 million. Another positive
development is that Nevada Copper (TSX:
NCU), whose Pumpkin Hollow project is located
3 km from QTA's assets, is targeting to
commence production shortly.
Company Name: Ticker Symbol Current Share FRC Fair Value Date of PR:
Price:
Estimate:
Laurion Mineral TSXV: LME $0.16
$0.33
Oct-18-2019
Exploration Inc.
PR Content
FRC Opinion
Announced results of channel sampling at Neutral to Positive ? These studies, which are
recently discovered SJ sulphides at the part of a three-stage / 18-month exploration
Ishkoday project. Best results included:
program, are expected to provide the company
with information to initiate diamond drilling
? 1.11m @ 4.97 g/t gold, 8.00 g/t silver, across a 5 km by 1 km target at Ishkoday.
1.35% zinc, 0.20% copper, 0.04% lead
Management expects drilling to commence later
? 1.06m @ 0.18 g/t gold, 45.69 g/t silver, this year or early 2020.
25.00% zinc, 0.03% copper, 6.21% lead
? 1.55m @ 0.72 g/t gold, 5.10 g/t silver,
2.19% zinc, 0.08% copper, 0.24% lead
?2019 Fundamental Research Corp. "15+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront"
PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
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