Time-Tested Investment Strategies for the Long Term
Non-FDIC Insured ? May Lose Value ? No Bank Guarantee
Time-Tested Investment Strategies for the Long Term
Rely on These Four Time-Tested Strategies to Keep You on Course
Buy Right and Sit Tight Keep Your Emotions in Check Look for Opportunities When Markets Decline Weather the Storm ? Diversification Matters
Take a Long-Term View of Short-Term Bumps
Historically, the market has not provided investors with a smooth ride. While anyone would enjoy returns from the best years, the worst years can pose a challenge for even the most resilient investor.
Best and Worst Years 1980-2020
80
60
1995 40
37.58
20 U.S.
Stocks 0
-20
-37.00
-40
2008
1986 65.31
An example of the highs and lows investors may experience is shown by international stock returns. While the best year's performance in 1986 sounds nice, not many investors would enjoy the worst year's performance in 2008.
Int'l Stocks
1986 27.69
Balanced Portfolio
-18.36 2008
1982 32.62
Bonds -2.92 1994
1981
14.30
T-Bills 0.03 2014 & 2015
-43.56 2008
Return (%)
-60
This chart is for illustrative purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice and must not be relied on as such. Assumes reinvestment of all income and no transaction costs or taxes. The Balanced Portfolio consists of 10% T-Bills, 35% bonds and 55% U.S. stocks. The Balanced Portfolio is neither a real, nor recommended portfolio. It was rebalanced each January. All investment returns are compound annual returns.
Sources: Data as of 9/30/2020. Morningstar Direct. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. American Century Investments?. U.S. Stocks data: S&P 500? Index is composed of 500 selected common stocks most of which are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. It is not an investment product available for purchase. International Stocks data: MSCI World Index ex-U.S. is a free float-adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets. U.S. Bond data: Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index represents securities that are taxable, registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and U.S. dollar-denominated. The index covers the U.S. investment-grade fixed-rate bond market, with index components for government and corporate securities, mortgage pass-through securities, and asset-backed securities. Bills data: 3-Month Treasury Bill: Secondary Market Rate represents the average interest rate at which Treasury bills with a 3-month maturity are sold on the secondary market.
Stock and bond returns assume reinvestment of all income. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
2
A Fall Is Not Forever: A History of Rebounds
Despite periods of short-term decline, the market's recovery over the long term has rewarded those who remain invested.
Staying on strategy: A long-term commitment can pay off in the end
STOCKS $918,800
Keep in mind, when you invest, returns and principal value will fluctuate and it is possible to lose money in any investment.
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Growth of $10,000 in various asset classes. Source: FactSet, data from 1/1980 to 9/2020.
2005
BONDS $193,024
55,654 $ MONEY MARKETS
2010
2015
2020
Hypothetical value of $10,000 invested at the beginning of 1980. Assumes reinvestment of income and no transaction costs or taxes. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
U.S. stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index. U.S. bonds are represented by Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. Money markets are represented by the FTSE 3-Month U.S. T Bill Index.
The S&P 500 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 500 widely traded stocks. Created by Standard & Poor's, it is considered to represent the performance of the stock market in general. Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, comprises government securities, mortgage-backed securities, asset-backed securities and corporate securities to simulate the universe of bonds in the market. The FTSE 3-Month U.S. T-Bill Index is often used as a benchmark for money market investments. The indices are not investment products available for purchase.
3
Buy Right and Sit Tight
Market timing doesn't work. No one can predict the optimal time for getting in and out of the market. Getting it wrong can have a disastrous impact on your portfolio's returns.
Jumping in and out of the market may cost your portfolio Results of missing the market's best days over the past 20 years.
Missed 30 Best Days
Missed 20 Best Days
Missed 10 Best Days
Invested throughout time period
$34,710
$6,082
$9,430
$15,902
Growth from a $10,000 Investment
Hypothetical Market Fluctuation
Source: FactSet. Growth of $10,000 in the S&P 500, 20 year data as of September 30, 2020.
This hypothetical situation contains assumptions that are intended for illustrative purposes only and are not representative of the performance of any security. There is no assurance similar results can be achieved, and this information should not be relied upon as a specific recommendation to buy or sell securities.
4
Time is on your side.
Your chances of generating a positive return improve as your holding period expands. Of course, this does not ensure a profit or protect against losses when the market declines.
The longer you hold, the greater your chance for positive returns
15 Years
96%
4%
10 Years
88%
12%
5 Years
76%
24%
The percentage of negative versus positive annualized returns for large company stocks, as represented by the S&P 500 Index, over 15, 10, five and one calendar year holding periods (1926-2020).
1 Year
68%
32%
Periods with gain
Periods with loss
As of 09/30/2020. The percentage of negative versus positive annualized returns for the S&P 500 Index, over 15, 10, five and one calendar year holding periods (1926-2020).
This hypothetical situation contains assumptions that are intended for illustrative purposes only and are not representative of the performance of any security. There is no assurance similar results can be achieved, and this information should not be relied upon as a specific recommendation to buy or sell securities.
Sources: Global Financial Data Inc., FactSet; Standard & Poor's; American Century Investments. The chart shows holdings of 92 one-year periods, 89 five-year periods, 84 ten-year periods and 79 fifteen-year periods. The data assumes reinvestment of all income and does not account for taxes or transaction costs. Stocks are not guaranteed and are more volatile than other asset classes. Stocks provide ownership in corporations that intend to provide growth and/or current income. Capital gains and dividends received may be taxed in the year received. An investment cannot be made directly in an index.
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