November 2015 Forecast by Source (millions of dollars) - Wa

November 2015 Forecast by Source (millions of dollars)

Changes are from the September 2015 Forecast

Actuals

Timber Sales

Volume (mmbf)

FY 10

730

FY 11

591

FY 12

553

FY 13

495

FY 14

497

FY 15

473

Change

% Change

$339

$296

$334 $

356

$

$

348

-

% Change

$ 200.4

$ 163.7

$ 165.4

$

177.2

Change

Timber Removals

Volume (mmbf)

$

$

-

$

0%

FY 10

801

FY 11

670

FY 12

517

FY 13

486

FY 14

471

FY 15

451

% Change

$275

$321

$310 $

323

Change

$

$

$ 187.8

$ 167.5

$ 149.7

$

152.1

Change

-

$

161.4

$

$

-

$

0%

FY 10

$ 4.3

FY 11

$ 3.9

FY 12

$ 5.8

FY 13

$ 7.1

FY 14

$

6.7

$

4.1

$

5.9

$

9.0

$

9.4

Change

4.3

$

5.7

$

6.6

$

6.5

$

7.4

Change

$ 10.1

$ 10.3

$

9.5

$

9.6

Change

8.6

$

7.7

$

8.3

$

8.6

$

8.8

Change

$ 31.5

$ 36.9

$ 40.7

$

41.9

Change

FY 11

$ 9.2

FY 12

$ 10.6

FY 13

$ 10.6

$

FY 14

10.5

Change

$ 29.0

$ 14.2

$

22.1

Change

2%

$ 37.7

$ 39.6

$ 24.8

$

32.7

Change

Change

% Change

$ 257.0

$ 244.0

(3) $

1%

$

368

(1) $

(0)

0%

0%

1.9

$

0.0

$

2.5

1%

0%

1%

-

$

-

$

-

$

8.3

$

5.7

$

5.8

$

6.0

$

6.0

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

-

3%

$ 215.2

$

226.6

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

$

5.0

$

6.4

$

6.5

$

6.6

$

6.6

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

-

0%

0%

0%

0%

$

8.2

$

9.0

$

9.9

$

9.9

$

9.9

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

-

0%

0%

0%

0%

$

9.4

$

9.6

$

9.3

$

9.4

$

9.5

$

-

$

0.5

$

-

$

-

$

-

5%

0%

0%

0%

$

38.6

$

37.2

$

37.8

$

38.3

$

38.4

$

-

$

0.7

$

-

$

-

$

-

$

FY 15

10.9

-

2%

FY 16

10.6

$

$

0.2

$

21.0

$

$

-

$

31.9

$

$

-

$

$

$

-

16.3

$

(1.6) $

26.9

$

$

18.6

FY 18

11.0

-

$

-6%

$

(1.4) $

-5%

29.5

$

-4%

$

-

231.9

$

238.8

$

-

$

(15.8) $

-6%

Note: Timber removal revenue includes FIT (forest improvement timber) sale proceeds, timber sales default settlements, and

interest and extension charges (approx. $1-4 million per year).

Excludes Trust Land Transfer, Real Property Replacement Account, and Land Bank property transactions

and interest on property replacement funds.

Excludes fire assessments, permits, and fees.

Totals may not add due to rounding.

Draft report - subject to change without notice

$

$

FY 19

11.1

-

17.7

0%

$

(1.2) $

-7%

(1.2) $

-

0%

0%

(1.2) $

$

0%

0%

0%

-9%

$

-

FY 17

10.9

2%

$

$

0%

$

0%

$ 242.5

362

$

% Change

Total All Sources

0%

$

-1%

-8%

0%

$ 30.7

346

0.2

% Change

Aquatic Lands Revenue

8

(15.2) $

0%

$ 28.5

2

$

$

$ 20.0

10

-

% Change

Geoduck

FY 19

515

189.5

0%

FY 10

$ 10.6

FY 18

511

$

% Change

Aquatic Lands

Aquatic Leases

0%

$

0%

$ 30.9

-

FY 19

$

6.3

% Change

Total Upland Leases

$

0%

185.1

0%

$

-

FY 18

$

6.3

% Change

Other Leases

$

$

0%

$ 10.0

-

FY 17

$

6.3

% Change

Commercial

183.5

206.2

0%

$

$

FY 16

$

6.5

% Change

Dryland Ag/Grazing

184.6

$

0%

3.6

0%

FY 15

$

7.8

% Change

$

-

0%

Forecast

Change

Orchard/Vineyard

$

367

FY 17

597

$

Actuals

Upland Leases

Irrigated Agriculture

0%

$

$

(3) $

174.8

-

0%

-1%

$

% Change

(8.3) $

334

$

369

185.5

-7%

$

0%

$ 181.0

$

(40)

358

% Change

170.0

0%

$

0%

FY 16

524

0%

$221

-

-5%

-

Price ($/mbf)

371

(4) $

FY 19

500

0%

$

-1%

164.5

Change

Timber Revenue

$

$

% Change

340

FY 18

500

-

-4%

$

0%

$ 178.5

FY 17

500

(18)

0%

$245

Change

Value of Timber Sales

FY 16

500

-

Price ($/mbf)

Forecast

28.7

18.1

(1.4)

-7%

$

(1.2) $

-4%

29.1

(1.4)

-4%

$

-

$

-

273.6

$

252.1

$

257.1

0.7

$

(1.2) $

1.2

0%

0%

0%

November 2015 Forecast by Fund (millions of dollars)

Changes are from the September 2015 Forecast

Actuals

Management Funds

041

RMCA - Uplands

FY 10

$ 31.8

FY 11

$ 33.9

FY 12

$ 29.7

Forecast

FY 13

$ 30.3

FY 14

$

33.2

Change

FY 15

$

30.4

FY 16

$

36.3

$

$

-

% Change

041

RMCA - Aquatic Lands

0%

$ 13.9

$ 17.5

$ 18.4

$ 10.7

$

14.8

Change

$

14.4

$

$

-

$

% Change

014

FDA

0%

$ 25.9

$ 25.8

$ 20.9

$ 16.6

$

19.6

Change

$

23.2

$

$

-

$

% Change

Total Management Funds

0%

$ 71.6

$ 77.1

$ 69.0

$ 57.6

$

67.6

Change

$

68.0

$

$

-

$

% Change

Current Funds

113

Common School Construction

0%

FY 10

$ 47.9

FY 11

$ 56.5

FY 12

$ 56.5

FY 13

$ 60.5

FY 14

$

56.6

Change

Forest Board Counties

$ 70.5

$ 64.7

$ 55.4

$

52.0

Change

General Fund

5.0

$

4.2

$

4.5

$

2.2

$

2.2

Change

University Bond Retirement

1.8

$

1.3

$

0.8

$

0.8

$

1.8

Change

WSU Bond Retirement

$

1.2

$

1.4

$

1.8

$

1.6

$

1.7

CEP&RI

$

5.6

$

4.9

$

5.0

$

5.1

$

5.5

Capitol Building Construction

$

8.7

$

8.7

$

8.8

$

3.7

$

6.7

0.1

$

0.1

$

0.2

$

0.2

Change

0.1

$

0.1

$

0.1

$

0.4

$

1.5

Change

Change

% Change

(Continued)

$ 147.6

$ 142.3

$ 129.9

$

128.1

-5%

23.8

$

27.0

$

24.2

$

24.7

(1.1) $

0.8

$

0.2

$

0.3

-4%

3%

71.9

$

(4.8) $

-

$

$

$

(0.1) $

0%

FY 17

$

65.7

(5.8) $

59.7

82.3

1%

73.7

1%

$

(0.7) $

-1%

FY 18

$

65.9

(1.9) $

-3%

76.3

(0.0)

0%

FY 19

$

68.4

(1.0) $

-1%

0.5

1%

$

(3.0) $

1.9

$

0.7

$

0.9

1.8

$

3.3

$

3.3

$

3.6

$

3.9

-

$

(0.0) $

0.3

$

0.0

$

0.0

-1%

8%

-5%

$

2.8

$

$

-

$

3%

2.4

$

0.3

$

17%

1%

0%

0%

2.6

$

2.9

$

2.1

0.2

$

0.1

$

0.0

10%

$

1%

1.6

4%

$

1.6

2%

$

1.8

$

1.6

$

-

$

(0.0) $

(0.1) $

(0.1) $

(0.1)

-2%

-4%

-4%

-5%

$

1.6

$

5.2

$

4.1

$

4.4

$

4.4

$

4.6

$

-

$

0.5

$

0.8

$

0.2

$

0.1

13%

23%

4%

2%

$

4.9

$

6.7

$

9.4

$

9.3

$

9.1

$

-

$

(0.1) $

0.8

$

0.3

$

0.2

$

0.1

$

0.1

$

0.1

$

0.2

$

0.2

$

-

$

0.0

$

0.0

$

0.0

$

0.0

$

0.5

$

$

-

$

-1%

$

132.4

$

$

-

$

0%

9%

12%

0%

$ 138.3

-5%

$

% Change

Total Current Funds

-4%

60.7

0%

$

-6%

$

% Change

Other Funds

(0.7)

60.1

0%

$

12.9

$

% Change

061/3/5/6

Normal (CWU, EWU, WWU, TESC) School

$ 0.1

$

68.8

0%

Change

12.7

$

% Change

036

$

(0.6) $

-9%

0%

Change

13.1

(0.6) $

$

% Change

042

$

(0.7) $

64.8

0%

Change

11.8

$

% Change

347

1%

$

0%

$

0.4

-1%

-

% Change

348

(0.3) $

-1%

$

0%

$

(0.3) $

FY 16

$

57.8

% Change

001

FY 19

$

38.7

-8%

-6%

0%

$ 67.9

FY 18

$

36.9

(3.0) $

FY 15

$

50.4

% Change

999

FY 17

$

42.1

0.2

4%

10%

$

1.2

2%

10%

$

0.4

10%

$

0.2

(0.2) $

(0.3) $

(0.1) $

0.0

-47%

-21%

-24%

7%

135.9

$

157.0

$

148.4

$

150.7

(8.4) $

1.7

$

0.1

$

1.7

-6%

1%

0%

1%

November 2015 Forecast by Fund (millions of dollars), cont'd

Changes are from the September 2015 Forecast

Actuals

Aquatic Lands Enhancement Account

02R

Forecast

FY 10

FY 11

FY 12

FY 13

$ 16.8

$ 20.2

$ 21.2

$ 13.6

FY 14

$

17.9

Change

FY 15

$

17.4

$

$

-

$

% Change

Permanent Funds

601

Agricultural College Permanent

0%

FY 10

$ 6.1

FY 11

$ 2.9

FY 12

$ 3.2

FY 13

$ 4.1

$

FY 14

3.5

Change

$

$

FY 15

4.1

-

% Change

604

Normal School Permanent

$

4.0

$

3.0

$

3.1

$

1.4

$

1.8

1.7

$

$

-

$

0%

$

0.4

$

0.2

$

0.3

$

0.3

$

0.4

Change

Scientific Permanent

$

5.1

$

5.7

$

4.6

$

7.0

$

6.1

University Permanent

$

0.7

$

0.3

$

0.3

$

0.8

$

1.1

$ 16.3

$ 12.1

$ 11.4

$ 13.6

$

13.0

% Change

Total All Funds

Total

FY 11

FY 12

FY 13

FY 14

16.2

(0.7) $

(0.6) $

(0.6) $

(0.7)

-4%

-4%

-4%

-4%

FY 16

6.7

$

FY 17

6.8

$

FY 18

4.6

$

FY 19

4.3

(0.6) $

0.2

$

0.1

$

0.1

-8%

3%

2.8

3%

2%

$

4.6

$

3.5

$

3.2

(0.4) $

0.1

$

0.0

$

0.1

-12%

1%

1%

3%

0.3

$

0.3

$

0.3

$

0.3

-

$

-

$

-

$

-

0%

0%

$

$

7.1

$

5.7

-

$

(0.7) $

(0.2) $

-11%

-4%

$

5.5

(0.0) $

5.1

0.0

0%

0.4

$

0.3

-

$

(0.3) $

(0.4) $

(0.2) $

(0.0)

-43%

-50%

-28%

-2%

14.0

$

-

$

FY 15

16.0

$

17.8

$

$

(2.0) $

(0.4) $

-11%

-2%

FY 16

FY 17

0.5

1%

$

$

0.4

$

0%

$

$

$

5.7

0%

$

0%

FY 10

$

$

0%

Change

16.0

$

% Change

Total Permanent Funds

$

-

0%

Change

16.4

FY 19

0.7

% Change

607

$

FY 18

$

0%

Change

15.0

FY 17

$

% Change

606

$

$

% Change

Common School Permanent

$

0%

Change

605

FY 16

14.0

$

0.6

$

13.9

(0.1) $

0.2

0%

FY 17

1%

FY 17

$ 242.5 $ 257.0 $ 244.0 $ 214.8 $

226.6 $

231.9 $

238.8 $

273.6 $

252.1 $

257.1

Change

$

$ (15.8) $

0.7 $

(1.2) $

1.2

% Change

0%

-6%

0%

0%

0%

Note: Excludes Trust Land Transfer, Real Property Replacement Account, and Land Bank property transactions and interest on property replacement funds.

Excludes fire assessments, permits, and fees.

Totals may not add due to rounding.

Draft report - subject to change without notice

 ................
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