2020 Transportation Hearing Slides

3/3/2020

Transportation Emissions

MARCH 04, 2020

PRESENTATION TO THE SENATE ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY COMMITTEE AND SENATE TRANSPORTATION COMMITTEE

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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Air Quality Successes ? Criteria Pollutants

? NOx emissions have steadily declined since 1970s ? Reductions are due to improvements in vehicle efficiency and

advancements in stationary source engine and stack emission control technologies

NOx Statewide Emissions Trend (tons/day)

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0 STATIONARY AREAWIDE ON-ROAD MOBILE OTHER MOBILE

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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3/3/2020

Health Impacts

Reducing NOX emissions is important because NOX is a precursor to ozone, a smog-forming pollutant.

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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Ozone Progress

2006

2019

San Joaquin Valley

South Coast

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

Ozone (ppm)

8-hr

0.070

2037

0.075

2031

0.08

2023

Attainment years

0.110 4

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3/3/2020

Greenhouse Gas Emission Trends

Change Since 2000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

60% 40% 20%

0% -20% -40% -60%

Source: 2019 Edition, California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000-2017

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

GDP Population GHG Emissions GHG Emissions per Capita GHG Emissions per GDP

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Transportation Sector: Largest source of GHG and NOx Emissions

Source: 2019 Edition, California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000-2017

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

Source: CARB Emission Inventory

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Transportation Sector: Targets for Pathway to Zero-Carbon

Widespread Electrification

? By 2035: 100% new car sales are ZEVs; All school buses, marine port & airport equipment are ZEVs

? By 2045: All passenger vehicles on the road are ZEVs

Increased Transportation Options to Reduce VMT

? By 2035: Reduce vehicle miles traveled per capita by 25% ? By 2045: High-quality, efficient travel options for all Californians

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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Light-Duty Vehicle Regulations that Impact ZEVs

Advanced Clean Cars II

? Goal:

Reduce GHG emissions and increase ZEVs from automakers beyond 2025

Reduce NOx emissions to help attain Ozone Standards in 2031 in South Coast

? Method: Increased requirements for ZEVs, and lowered GHG and criteria fleet requirements

Clean Miles Standard

? Goal:

Reduce emissions, promote ZEVs, and reduce VMT within ride-hailing fleets

? Method: Set annual GHG targets and minimum required electric VMT

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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4

GHG and NOx Emissions from Light-Duty Vehicles

3/3/2020

Source: 2019 Edition, California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000-2017

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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GHG and NOx Emissions from Heavy-Duty Vehicles

Source: 2019 Edition, California Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory: 2000-2017

CALIFORNIA AIR RESOURCES BOARD

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