National Weather Service Dec 2021 February 2022
National Weather Service August 2024 ? October 2024
Central Region Climate Outlook
Monday, July 22, 2024 6:23 AM
Important Messages:
August 2024 Temperature &
Transition to La Ni?a likely
Precipitation Outlooks
High probabilities remain (from Above normal temps are
both the statistical and
favored from nearly coast to
dynamical models) for La Ni?a coast with the highest
conditions to develop over the probabilities where the largest
coming months.
soil moisture deficits exist.
The monthly outlook for August is largely based on soil moisture, model data, trends and recent variability.
Some uncertainty across the middle of the country due to trends and recent variability. Below normal precipitation is favored across the western
The seasonal outlook supports portions of the region where
drought development and
highest chances for warmth
persistence of drought from the exist with above normal precip
central plains into Wyoming. favored across the SE due to
Seasonal Drought Outlook
potential tropical activity, trends and guidance.
One Month Temperature Outlook One Month Precipitation Outlook Three Month Temperature Outlook
Aug-Sep-Oct 2024 Temperature &
Precipitation Outlooks
Tools are in good agreement
favoring above normal temps
across the majority of the
CONUS with uncertainty across
There have been major improvements in drought
northern plains into center of Three Month Precipitation Outlook country where possible early La
conditions nationwide as we have Ni?a impacts, weakness in
come out of El Ni?o.
model data, weaker trends and
Despite improvements, drought persistence lowered probs.
development or persistence is
Broad model consensus
forecast across parts of the central favoring below normal precip
and high plains over the coming extending from the Rockies into
months - which is consistent with the Plains with mixed signals
the lean of the seasonal outlooks. favoring EC elsewhere in CR.
Building a Weather-Ready Nation
For more info, contact: shawn.rossi@
Click to evaluate this product
National Weather Service August 2024 ? October 2024
Central Region Climate Outlook
Monday, July 22, 2024 6:23 AM
ENSO Status:
IRI/CPC Probabilistic ENSO
La Ni?a Watch
Forecast/Plumes
Average SST anomalies show pockets of below normal temperatures in the eastern Pacific that will get pushed westward over time by the trade winds (not shown). Subsurface heat content anomalies (0-300m) are also negative along the equator, although they area not quite as cool as a month ago (see above). This is part of the reason that chances for La Ni?a have decreased slightly from the prior month (although they are still heavily
Dfaisvcouresds)i.oLna oNfi?wahcaotndyiotiuondsetecniddetod htoaviencthlueidr egraeabtoevste. Cimoupaldctbdeurfirnogmwitnhteer cmaolnl,thosr ajunsdtwsioll mlikeltyhpinlagyoaf interest thsiagtnpifiecartnatirnosletoin tuhpiscommoinngtshesaosountlaolookustlo. oSktsre-tacnhdbaoLxato mNai?kaewitatlcahrgreemifayinosuinweoffuecldt. like to include more text.
Useful Links/Info:
News from Latest ENSO Blog from Sea Surface Temperatures from the Climate Prediction Center Latest ENSO Discussion from the Climate Prediction Center Drought Information from the US Drought Monitor Interactive GIS Mapping from NCEI (Anomalies/Rankings) Local Climate Analysis Tool (LCAT) ? Account registration required NWS Forecast Maps from Western Region
? Both statistical and dynamical models have SSTs diving to between -0.5?C and -1.0?C (a weaker La Ni?a) over the coming months.
? There is about a 70% chance for La Ni?a conditions being established by fall (ASO), reaching 79% by winter-time (NDJ). This is down slightly from the previous forecast due to subsurface waters not being quite as cold.
Other Teleconnection Effects
? There is currently enhanced convection across the maritime continent and portions of the western Pacific with suppressed convection across the Americas into the Atlantic and parts of Africa/Europe.
? After a largely disorganized period of outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) across the global tropics, there is some structure emerging in the OLR that is consistent with ENSO neutral conditions changing towards La Ni?a.
Building a Weather-Ready Nation
For more info, contact: shawn.rossi@
Click to evaluate this product
................
................
In order to avoid copyright disputes, this page is only a partial summary.
To fulfill the demand for quickly locating and searching documents.
It is intelligent file search solution for home and business.
Related download
- 2021 kansas severe weather awareness information packet
- forecasting weekly outpatient demands at
- news from ksu animal sciences
- 2020 2045 kansas long range transportation plan
- national weather service dec 2021 february 2022
- economic forecast for kansas summary
- usda national retail report turkey fri dec 10 2021
- crop production 07 12 2021
- a synoptic dynamic model of subseasonal atmospheric
- recommended landscape trees for metropolitan kansas city
Related searches
- national weather service ottumwa iowa
- national weather service mosaic radar loop
- national weather service radar maps
- national weather service radar doppler mosaic
- national weather service severe outlook
- national weather service noaa weather radio
- national weather service weather forecast
- noaa national weather service doppler
- national weather service tornado map
- national weather service noaa radar
- national weather service plano texas
- national weather service seven day forecast