S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500/400/600
Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
February 22, 2022
Dr. Edward Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
732-497-5306 jabbott@
Please visit our sites at blog.
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Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Earnings
3
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Revenues
4
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Margins
5
S&P 500 Annual & Quarterly Earnings
6
S&P 400 Annual & Quarterly Earnings
7
S&P 600 Annual & Quarterly Earnings
8
S&P 500/400/600 2021 Quarterly Earnings
9
S&P 500/400/600 2021 Quarterly Y/Y Earnings Growth 10
S&P 500/400/600 Indexes & Forward Earnings 11-12
S&P 500/400/600 P/Es
13
S&P 500/400/600 P/Sales
14
S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Margins
15-16
S&P 400 Revenues, Earnings, & Margins
17
S&P 600 Revenues, Earnings, & Margins
18
S&P 500/400/600 Blue Angels
19
S&P 500 Forward Revenues & Earnings
20-21
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Earnings Squiggles
22
S&P 500/400/600 Sectors Forward Earnings
23
S&P 500 Earnings, Revenues, Margins
24
February 22, 2022 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Earnings
Figure 1.
250
S&P 500 OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE (consensus analysts' estimates in dollars, weekly, ratio scale)
200
Consensus Forecasts
Annual Earnings
150
Forward Earnings*
250 2/17
20 21 22
200
150
100
100
2021 2022 Frwd
Feb 10 208.12 224.69 227.31 Feb 17 208.30 225.13 228.16
50
50
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
205
S&P 400
175
145
Consensus Forecasts
115
Annual Earnings
Forward Earnings*
85
205
2/17
175
20 21
145
22
115
85
55
55
2021 2022 Frwd
Feb 10 165.44 179.00 180.87 Feb 17 166.11 180.65 182.83
25
25
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
110
S&P 600
90
110
2/17
90
70
Consensus Forecasts
Annual Earnings
50
Forward Earnings*
20 21 22
70
50
30
30
2021 2022 Frwd
Feb 10 82.48 93.45 94.75
Feb 17 82.56 93.00 94.65
10
10
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
* Time-weighted average of consensus estimates for current and next year. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Page 3 / February 22, 2022 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Revenues
Figure 2.
1800
S&P 500 REVENUES PER SHARE 1650 (consensus analysts estimates in dollars, weekly, ratio scale)
1800
2/17 1650
1500
21 22 20
1500
1350
1350
1200
1200
Consensus Forecasts
Annual Revenues
1050
Forward Revenues*
1050
900
900
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
2250
S&P 400 REVENUES PER SHARE 2000 (consensus analysts estimates in dollars, weekly, ratio scale)
2250
2/17
2000
1750
21
1750
1500
20
22
1500
1250
1250
1000
1000
Consensus Forecasts
750
Annual Revenues
750
Forward Revenues*
500
1400 1250 1100 950
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
S&P 600
2/17
21
20
22
500
1400 1250 1100 950
800
800
650
650
Consensus Forecasts
500
Annual Revenues
500
Forward Revenues*
350
350
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
* Time-weighted average of consensus revenue estimates for current and next year. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Page 4 / February 22, 2022 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500/400/600 Annual Margins
Figure 3.
14
S&P 500 PROFIT MARGIN 13 (using analysts average earnings and sales forecasts, percent)
20 21
14
2/17 13
22
12
12
11
11
10
10
9
Consensus Forecasts
9
8
Annual Margins Forward Margins* (13.3)
8
7
7
6
6
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
9
S&P 400
9
20
2/17
8
8
22 21
7
7
6
6
Consensus Forecasts
Annual Margins
5
Forward Margins* (8.6)
5
4
4
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
8
8
S&P 600
7
2/17
7
20
6
6
21 22
5
5
4
4
Consensus Forecasts
3
Annual Margins
3
Forward Margins* (7.0)
2
2
1
1
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
* Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv and Standard & Poor's.
Page 5 / February 22, 2022 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Annual & Quarterly Earnings
Figure 4.
300
S&P 500 OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE 250 (analysts' consensus estimates, dollars, weekly, ratio scale)
300
250 23 2/17
200
Consensus Forecasts
21 22
200
Annual
Forward*
150
Lehman
150
Collapse
COVID-19
100
100
2022 2023 Frwd
Feb 10 224.69 247.37 227.31
Feb 17 225.13 247.61 228.16
50
50
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
* Time-weighted average of consensus estimates for current year and next year. Note: Lehman collapsed 9/15/2008. COVID-19 = WHO declares global pandemic on 3/11/2020. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Figure 5.
55
S&P 500 OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE: QUARTERLY CONSENSUS FORECASTS 2021 (analysts' consensus estimates, dollars, weekly)
55 Q34 Q2
50
50
Q1
45
45
2021 By Quarter as of 02/17/22
40
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40
Feb 10 49.13 52.76 53.89 53.63 Feb 17 49.13 52.76 53.89 53.88
35
35
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
2020
2021
2022
Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Page 6 / February 22, 2022 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 400 Annual & Quarterly Earnings
Figure 6.
200
S&P 400 MIDCAP OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE* 175 (consensus analysts' estimates in dollars, weekly)
200 2/17
175
150
Consensus Forecasts
125
Annual
52-Week Forward*
100
150 20 21
22
125
100
75
75
50
50
2021 2022 Frwd
Feb 10 165.44 179.00 180.87 Feb 17 166.11 180.65 182.83
25
25
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
* Time-weighted average of the current year's and next year's consensus earnings estimates. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Figure 7.
50
50
S&P 400 MIDCAP EARNINGS PER SHARE: CONSENSUS QUARTERLY ESTIMATES 2021
(consensus analysts' estimates in dollars, weekly)
45
45
40
40
35 Q4 Q3 Q2
30 Q1
25
35
2021 By Quarter as of 02/17/22
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30
Feb 10 36.02 42.40 44.20 43.02 Feb 17 36.02 42.40 44.20 43.51
25
20
20
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
2020
2021
2022
Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Page 7 / February 22, 2022 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 600 Annual & Quarterly Earnings
Figure 8.
100
S&P 600 SMALLCAP OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE 85 (consensus analysts estimates in dollars, weekly)
100 2/17
85
70
Consensus Forecasts
Annual 55
52-Week Forward*
20
70
21
22
55
40
40
25
25
2021 2022 Frwd
Feb 10 82.48 93.45 94.75 Feb 17 82.56 93.00 94.65
10
10
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
* Time-weighted average of consensus operating earnings estimates for current and next year. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Figure 9.
24
24
S&P 600 SMALLCAP EARNINGS PER SHARE: CONSENSUS QUARTERLY ESTIMATES 2021
(consensus analysts' estimates in dollars, weekly)
22
22
20
20
18
Q4 16
Q3
14
Q2
18 2021 By Quarter as of 02/17/22
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16
Feb 10 17.75 22.19 21.38 21.51 Feb 17 17.75 22.19 21.38 22.01
14
12
Q1
12
10
10
8
8
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
2020
2021
2022
Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.
Page 8 / February 22, 2022 / S&P 500/400/600 Weekly Fundamentals
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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