NCAR Research Applications Laboratory | RAL
Figure 1: Previous day’s temperature (persistence) used as a forecast of 24hr temperature, Salt Lake City airport data, 1979 to 2001. Red line is the fit for the central tendency (mean) using standard linear linear regression; middle black line is the fit of the median (0.5 quantile); upper black 0.9 quantile; lower black 0.1 quantile. ................
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