Tropical Hot Spot Research



HYPERLINK "" HOUSE BILLClaims are made in this bill made that they say requires action to control emissions and favor a rapid transition to a fossil fuel free environment. A summary, leaving out redundancy:Climate science and observations of climate change impacts, including ocean warming, ocean acidification, floods, droughts, wildfires, and extreme weather, demonstrate that a global rise in temperature of 1.5 degree Celsius above preindustrial levels is already having dangerous impacts on human populations and the environment. According to the 2018 National Climate Assessment, climate change due to global warming has caused, and is expected to continue to cause, substantial interference with and growing losses to human health and safety, infrastructure, property, industry, recreation, natural resources, agricultural systems, and quality of life in the United States.Climate change is already increasing the frequency of extreme weather and other climate-related disasters, including drought, wildfire, and storms that include precipitation Climate-related natural disasters have increased exponentially over the past decade, costing the United States more than double the long-term average during the period of 2014 through 2018, with total costs of natural disasters during that period of approximately $100,000,000,000 per year. . According to climate scientists, addressing the climate emergency will require an economically just phase-out of the use of oil, gas, and coal in order to keep the carbon that is the primary constituent of fossil fuels in the ground and out of the atmosphere. FACT CHECKING:That list of changes and extremes and many others can be shown in an unbiased analyses to actually not be changing in any abnormal way. Most actually are running opposite to the projections and expectations. The actions proposed are based on failed assumptions. A rigorous analysis failed to find that the steadily rising Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations have had a statistically significant impact on any of the 14 temperature data sets that were analyzed. This analysis invalidates each of the Three Lines of Evidence in its CO2 Endangerment Finding. Once EPA’s assumption is invalidated, it is obvious why the climate models EPA claims can be relied upon for policy analysis purposes, are also invalid. And, these results clearly demonstrate—14 separate and distinct times in fact--that once just the Natural Factor impacts on temperature data are accounted for, there is no “record setting” warming to be concerned about. In fact, there is no Natural Factor Adjusted Warming at all. Moreover, over the time period analyzed, these natural factors have involved historically quite normal solar, volcanic and ENSO activity. At this point, there is no statistically valid proof that past increases in atmospheric CO2 concentrations have caused the officially reported rising, even claimed record setting temperatures or any of the claimed other extremes including:Heat Waves – have been decreasing since the 1930s in the U.S. and globally. The 1930s was the warmest decade for the United States and globe. Hurricanes – this decade just ended (2010-2019) was the second quietest for landfalling hurricanes and landfalling major hurricanes in the U.S since the 1850s. Active seasons like 2020 relate to La Ninas in the warm Atlantic phase with low solar activity. This season ranked 13th highest Accumulate Cyclone Energy level (An index that measure the true strength of a season) despite a record number of named Atlantic storms. All hurricane forecasters predicted a very active to record Atlantic season. These same conditions that lead to more Atlantic storms, usually lead to a quiet Pacific hurricane season. Indeed that was the case this year and the northern hemisphere ended 23% below the normal.Tornadoes – the number of strong tornadoes has declined over the last half century. 2018 was the quietest year for strong and violent tornadoes in the record. More active months occur when unseasonable cold spring patterns are present common from the 1950s to 1970s.Droughts and Floods – NOAA has shown there has no statistically significant trends. In testimony before Congress Professor Roger Pielke, Jr. said: “It is misleading, and just plain incorrect, to claim that disasters associated with hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, or droughts have increased on climate timescales either in the United States or globally. Droughts have, for the most part, become shorter, less frequent, and cover a smaller portion of the U.S. over the last century.” Wildfires – have been decreasing since the very active 1800s. The increase in damage in recent years is due to population growth in vulnerable areas and poor forest managementSnowfall – defying warnings that it is disappearing, snow has been increasing in the fall and winter in the Northern Hemisphere and North America with many records being set.Sea level – the rate of global sea level rise on average has fallen by 40% the last century. It is increasing at 4 inches/century versus 7 inches last century. Where today, it is increasing – local factors such as land subsidence are to blame.Arctic, Antarctic and Greenland Ice – the polar ice varies with multidecadal cycles in ocean temperatures. Current levels are comparable to or above historical low levels. Arctic ice returned to higher levels with a very cold winter in 2019/20. Ice was highest level since 2013. For Alaska Bering sea ice extent was at all-time record levels with record cold in 2012. 2019/20 has been the third coldest winter in Fairbanks since the Great Pacific Climate Shift in the late 1970s.“Ocean Acidification” – when?life?is considered, ocean acidification (really slightly reduced alkalinity) is a?non-problem, or even a?benefit.All forms of marine life have the inherent genetic capacity to adapt and evolve. The few studies that have explored this aspect of the debate confirm that transgenerational plasticity, adaptation and even evolution can and do take place, and on very short timescales, thus allowing marine organisms to not only withstand and cope with declining oceanic pH, but to benefit and take advantage of it. When all the above facts are considered, there is no scientific basis to support claims of impending marine life catastrophe due to ocean acidification. Rather, the predicted decline in oceanic pH (if it occurs) will have little to no lasting negative impacts on the bulk of marine life.Carbon Pollution as a health hazard – carbon dioxide (CO2) is an odorless invisible trace gas that is plant food and it is essential to life on the planet. CO2?is not a pollutant.The term “carbon pollution” is a deliberate, ambiguous, disingenuous term, designed to mislead people into thinking carbon dioxide is pollution. It is used by the environmentalists s to confuse the environmental impacts of CO2 emissions with the impact of the emissions of unwanted waste products of combustion. The ambient air pollutant concentrations have been decreasing for decades and are going to keep decreasing for the foreseeable future because of existing non-GHG-related regulations.Climate change is endangering food supply – the vitality of global vegetation in both managed and unmanaged ecosystems is better off now than it was a hundred years ago, 50 years ago, or even a mere two-to-three decades ago thanks in large part to CO2.Currently prosperity has flourished in a CO2 enriched environment.And global death rate is at a long term low. The death rate curve will reverse direction due to wrong decisions/bad policies. THE REAL THREATThe real danger is actually your prescribed solutions. It will cause financial disasters for many. This death curve will reverse direction due to wrong decisions/bad policies. Already, the states that have aggressively gone after carbon reduction are paying more- RGGI states in the northeast and California.Note where in the world they have gone down the green path, prices have skyrocketed. Wind and solar are unreliable. The wind does not always blow or sun shine. Solar panels can be covered in snow as we saw in Germany and the U.S. this winter and wind turbines frozen and damaged by ice. Many countries like Germany has experienced is rushing to arrange for natural gas from Russia to provide the base load support. France has chosen nuclear power. The American Action Forum estimates here that, between 2020 and 2029, the energy and environmental components of the Democrat’s Green New Deal would cost $8.3 trillion to $12.3 trillion, or $52,000 to $72,000 per household. The total GND program, including the jobs and “social justice” policies, would cost $51.1 trillion to $92.9 trillion, or $316,010 to $419,010 per household.The Chamber of Commerce’s Global Energy Institute concludes “simply put, a ban on fracking in the United States would be catastrophic for our economy”. “Our analysis shows that if such a ban were imposed in 2021, by 2025 it would eliminate 19 million jobs and reduce U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by $7.1 trillion. Job losses in major energy producing states would be immediate and severe; in Texas alone, more than three million jobs would be lost. Tax revenue at the local, state, and federal levels would decline by nearly a combined $1.9 trillion, as the ban cuts off a critical source of funding for schools, first responders, infrastructure, and other critical public services.Energy prices would also skyrocket under a fracking ban. Natural gas prices would leap by 324 percent, causing household energy bills to more than quadruple. By 2025, motorists would pay twice as much at the pump ($5/gallon +).” The cost due to the new policy driven increases for electricity, heating fuels and gasoline - families will see losses as high as $10,000/year by 2024.?This affects those who can least afford it the most. Families earning less than $20,000/year have 40% of their income spent on energy. ................
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