MARKET IN CHARLOTTE MINUTES .co.uk
MARKET IN
MINUTES
Savills Research
Q1 2021
CHARLOTTE
Sublease supply surges ? up over 25% from
Q4 ? pushing availability up to record high
rate
In Q1, Charlotte's overall availability hit the highest rate on record at 16.1%, up 420 basis points year over year. The jump in availability was bolstered by the 1.9 million square feet (msf) of sublease space on the market. This is the most sublease space that Charlotte has had on record and is a significant increase from the 1.4 msf seen a quarter prior. Tenants active in the market will find plentiful options and discounted sublet space competing heavily with direct space. Tenants are taking advantage of current circumstances with several sizeable leases completed, Chicago Mortgage Solutions LLC subleased 44,269 sf at LakePointe Corporate Center, Grant Thornton LLP downsized from 56,000 sf and relocated to the new Vantage South End West Tower where they took 31,600 sf and Child Care Resources signed on for 21,038 sf at 200 Regency Executive Park Drive.
Leasing activity still down, yet rental rates seemingly rise and are not reflective of the weakened market Just 371,831 square feet (sf) were leased in the first quarter, down 57.4% year over year and up 1.3% over the quarter. Many transactions that were active prior to the pandemic, that were put on hold, are now resurfacing. However, it will take several quarters for significant demand shifts to be seen. Even with demand tight, asking rents saw a moderate increase of 2.7 % year over year to $30.66 per square foot (psf). This is due to landlords hoping to keep building valuations high and choosing to offer other incentives rather than reprice their listings, as well as confidence in Charlotte's market to make it through the tail-end of the pandemic in better shape than many office markets. If sublease supply remains elevated, over time landlords may need to reduce asking rents in order to keep tenants from changing their focus to the financially friendly alternative.
Large number of developments still in the works, adaptive reuse account for a big portion of them With about 4.6 msf of development in the pipeline across the Charlotte market, progress on active construction projects continues as planned and leasing continues to be in line with what was seen in 2020. New developments that are still proposed will struggle to move forward until a significant pre-leasing percentage has been met, as lenders are being more reserved with dealing out loans. Developers in Charlotte are taking large bets on the adaptive reuse projects, with old warehouse and industrial parks being at the heart of these projects. Some recent successes in this category such as the booming Camp North End and the long-awaited Station West project, set to open late 2021, are a potential catalyst to the resurgence. Some notable new deliveries that hit the market in Q1 are Ally Charlotte Center (717,000 sf) in the Charlotte CBD and 13146 Ballantyne Corporate Place (328,000 sf) in the Ballantyne submarket.
Outlook
? An abundance of opportunities are present in the market, most notably in the form of sublet space, which is offered a discounted rate and already built-out.
? As the vaccine continues to be administered, occupiers may start to return to the office sooner than they originally reported and leasing activity may start to pick up as a result.
? Charlotte remains weakened from the pandemic's effects and the market will be tenant-favorable for the near- to mid-term.
$ / SF
KEY STATISTICS
Inventory Availability Rate Asking Rental Rate Class A Asking Rental Rate Quarterly Leasing Activity
Q1 2020 64.4 MSF 11.9% $29.84 $32.76 0.9 MSF
Q1 2021 65.3 MSF 16.1% $30.66 $33.56 0.4 MSF
y-o-y Change
ASKING RENT TRENDS
$40.00
$30.00
Overall Asking Rent Class A Asking Rent $33.56 $30.66
$20.00
$10.00
$0.00 Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q1 2019 Q1 2020 Q1 2021
AVAILABILITY TRENDS
30.0%
Overall Availability Class A Availability
20.0% 10.0%
17.7% 16.1%
0.0% Q1 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q1 2019 Q1 2020 Q1 2021
LEASING ACTIVITY
Quarterly Leasing Activity 3.0
5-Year Quarterly Average
2.5
Square feet (millions)
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0 Q1 2016
Q1 2017
Q1 2018
Q1 2019
Q1 2020
Q1 2021
Charlotte Market in Minutes - Q1 2021
MAJOR TRANSACTIONS
54.5%
of major transactions were new
locations by square footage
56.2%
of large transactions occurred in
the West submarket by square footage
34.7%
Financial services sector tenants represented 34.7% of major
transactions by square footage
Tenant
Square feet Address
Chicago Mortgage Solutions LLC
44,269 3730 Glen Lake Drive
Transaction type New Location
Submarket West
Industry Financial Services
Grant Thornton LLP
31,600 1415 Vantage Park Drive
Relocation
Midtown/ South End
Professional Services
Child Care Resources, Inc.
21,038
200 Regency Executive Park Drive
New Location
West
Education
Sherwin-Williams
17,000 721 Jetton Street
Renewal
University / Northeast Retail
Advanced Barrier Extrusions (ABX)
14,363 3525 Whitehall Park Drive
Relocation
West
Manufacturing
Humana
11,533 8520 Cliff Cameron Drive
New Location
University / Northeast Financial Services
Vesuvius, plc.
10,692 5510 77 Center Drive
New Location
West
Construction
ColeJenest & Stone
10,220 200 S Tryon Street
Renewal
CBD
Construction
Source Savills Research
AVAILABILITY RATE COMPARISON
Charlotte Submarkets
Randolph Rd / Cotswold Park Road
5.9% 6.7%
Midtown / South End
12.6%
Ballantyne / Highway 51
14.2%
South Carolina
15.0%
University / Northeast
15.6%
Charlotte Overall
16.1%
East Charlotte
16.1%
SouthPark
17.0%
CBD
17.4%
West 0.0%
18.2%
10.0%
20.0%
RENTAL RATE COMPARISON ($/SF)
Charlotte Submarkets
Midtown / South End
$37.25
CBD
$36.85
SouthPark
$33.66
Ballantyne / Highway 51
$31.80
Charlotte Overall
$30.66
Randolph Rd / Cotswold
$29.48
South Carolina
$27.05
University / Northeast
$26.02
West
$25.07
Park Road
$24.31
East Charlotte
$21.96
$0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00
Unless otherwise noted, all rents quoted throughout this report are average asking gross (full service) rents per square foot (psf). Statistics are calculated using both direct and sublease information. Current and historical availability and rent data are subject to change due to changes in inventory. The information in this report is obtained from sources deemed reliable, but no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Unless otherwise noted, source for data is Savills research. Copyright ? 2021 Savills
savills.us
For more information, please contact us:
Savills 227 West Trade Street Suite 305 Charlotte, NC 28202 +1 704 831 3488
Mark Ayers Executive Vice President Market Leader mayers@savills.us
About Savills Inc. Savills helps organizations find the right solutions that ensure employee success. Sharply skilled and fiercely dedicated, the firm's integrated teams of consultants and brokers are experts in better real estate. With services in tenant representation, workforce and incentives strategy, workplace strategy and occupant experience, project management, and capital markets, Savills has elevated the potential of workplaces around the corner, and around the world, for 160 years and counting.
For more information, please visit Savills.us and follow us on LinkedIn, Twitter, Instagram and Facebook.
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