IR 404: INTERNATIONAL POLICY TASK FORCE



IR 404: INTERNATIONAL POLICY TASK FORCE

The New Triangle: China, the U.S. & Latin America

Prof. Carol Wise

Spring 2011

TH 5:00-7:50 p.m. SOSB40

School of International Relations

University of Southern California

Office hours: Tuesdays 3:30-5:30 pm (VKC 328)

Direct line: 213-740-2138

E-mail: cwise@usc.edu

COURSE OBJECTIVES:

The rapid rise of China in the international political economy raises any number of intriguing policy research questions. With a strong emphasis on the role of economic policy as a crucial part of this process, this seminar will explore historical, conceptual, and contemporary issues and trends as they relate to the new U.S.-Latin America-China triangle that has emerged in the Western Hemisphere over the past decade. First, we will explore China’s relations with the U.S. and with Latin America prior to its initiation of market reforms in the late 1970s; second, we will compare and contrast the reform record of China and Latin America, as well as the ways in which reform outcomes have affected U.S. relations with China and with Latin America. Finally, we will debate contemporary issues, including the impact of the 2008-09 financial crises on US-China relations and the global community, China’s strengthening economic ties with key Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico) and what this implies for US- Latin American relations, and the possibility for increased Chinese cooperation and leadership in vital global issue areas like energy, climate change, and natural resource management. The overriding goal of this course is to sharpen students’ analytical and writing skills, with a focus on policy analysis and problem-solving.

COURSE REQUIREMENTS:

• Two 8-page position papers that concisely analyze and discuss a major policy issue or decision and which offers alternative policy options and/scenarios. Each paper will be worth 15% of your grade.

• In-class mid-term exam, worth 30% or your grade.

• In-class final exam, worth 30% or your grade.

• Participation in ongoing weekly seminar discussions and small group exercises (specifically defined under a given week) (10%). Students who intend to miss more than two seminar sessions are advised not to take the course, as more than two unexcused absences will result in a grade reduction.

• Completion of all assigned readings prior to each meeting. The following books are required reading and can be purchased on-line at or at the USC campus bookstore. All remaining readings on the syllabus have been posted on Blackboard.

Evan Ellis, China in Latin America: The Whats and Wherefores (Lynne Rienner Books, 2009).

Rhys Jenkins and Enrique Dussel Peters, eds., China and Latin America: Economic Relations in the Twenty-first Century (Bonn: German Development Institute, 2009). PDF posted on blackboard

Riordan Roett and Guadalupe Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere: Implications for Latin America and the United States (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2008).

• For Disabled Students: Any student requesting academic accommodations based on a disability is required to register with Disability Services and Programs (DSP) each semester. A letter of verification for approved accommodations can be obtained from DSP. Please be sure the letter is delivered to me as early in the semester as possible. DSP is located in STU 301 and is open 8:30 a.m.-5:00 p.m., Monday through Friday. The phone number for DSP is (213) 740-0776.

Class Schedule and Assigned Readings

Week 1 (January 13): Introduction and Overview

Week 2 (January 20): The U.S.-China-Latin America Triangle

Rising Stakes?

Robert Devlin, “China’s Economic Rise,” in Riordan Roett and Guadalupe Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere: Implications for Latin America and the United States (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2008), pp. 111-147.

Evan Ellis, China in Latin America: The Whats and Wherefores (Lynne Rienner Books, 2009), pp. 1-22.

Divergent Views

Xiang Lanxin, “An Alternative Chinese View,” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 44-58.

Jiang Shixue, “The Chinese Foreign Policy Perspective,” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 27-43.

Barbara Stallings, “The U.S.-China-Latin America Triangle: Implications for the Future,” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 239-259.

Mixed Consequences

Francisco E. González, Latin America in the Economic Equation---Winners and Losers: What Can Losers Do? in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 148-169.

Juan Gabriel Tokatlian, “A View from Latin America,” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 59-89.

A BRIEF HISTORICAL BACKDROP

Week 3 (January 27): Rapprochements with China

The U.S. Rapprochement

Margaret MacMillan, “Nixon, Kissinger, and the Opening to China,” in Fredrik Logevall and Andrew Preston, eds., Nixon in the World: American Foreign Relations 1969-1977 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008) pp. 107-125. PDF posted on blackboard

Joseph Camilleri, Chinese Foreign Policy: The Maoist Era and its Aftermath (Seatlle: University of Washington Press, 1980), pp. 3-46, 178-195. PDF posted on blackboard

Latin America’s Rapprochement

Cecil Johnson, Communist China & Latin America, 1959-1967 (New York: Columbia University Press, 1970), pp. 1-52, 286-304. PDF posted on blackboard

Robert North, Belmont, The Foreign Relations of China (CA: Wadsworth, 1978, third edition), pp. 179-222. PDF posted on blackboard

Week 4 (February 3): U.S.-Latin American Relations Post-1945

Ongoing Misunderstandings

Mark Atwood Lawrence, “History from Below: The United States and Latin America in the Nixon Years,” in Fredrik Logevall and Andrew Preston, eds., Nixon in the World: American Foreign Relations 1969-1977 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008) pp. 269-288. PDF posted on blackboard

Michael Kryzanek, U.S.-Latin American Relations (Westport, CT: Praeger, 2008, fourth edition), pp. 1-60. PDF posted on blackboard

Jeffrey Taffet, Foreign Aid as Foreign Policy: The Alliance for Progress in Latin America (New York: Routledge, 2007), pp. 11-46. PDF posted on blackboard

Periodic Disappointments

Michael Kryzanek, U.S.-Latin American Relations (Westport, CT: Praeger, 2008, fourth edition), pp. 61-124. PDF posted on blackboard

Jeffrey Taffet, Foreign Aid as Foreign Policy: The Alliance for Progress in Latin America (New York: Routledge, 2007), pp. 47-94. PDF posted on blackboard

Week 5 (February 10): The Impetus for Economic Reform in both Regions

China in the Late 1970s

Barry Naughton, Growing Out of the Plan: Chinese Economic Reform 1978-1993 (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1995), pp. 27-96. PDF posted on blackboard

Latin America---Prelude to the 1982 Debt Crisis

Rosemary Thorp, Progress, Poverty and Exclusion: An Economic History of Latin America in the 20th Century (Washington, DC: Inter-American Development Bank, 1998), pp. 159-199. PDF posted on blackboard

A FORK IN THE REFORM ROAD

Week 6 (February 17): Bumpy Starts

POSITION PAPER NO. 1 DUE

China---Reformulation and Debate

Barry Naughton, Growing Out of the Plan: Chinese Economic Reform 1978-1993 (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1995), pp. 173-243. PDF posted on blackboard

Latin America’s ‘Lost Decade’ of the 1980s

Rosemary Thorp, Progress, Poverty and Exclusion: An Economic History of Latin America in the 20th Century, pp. 201-239. PDF posted on blackboard

Week 7 (February 24): Washington Dogmatism versus Beijing Pragmatism

Beijing Pragmatism

Dilip K. Das, The Chinese Economic Renaissance: Apocalypse or Cornucopia? (New York: Palgrave MacMillan, 2008), pp. 1-89. PDF posted on blackboard

Yingyi Qian, “How Reform Worked in China,” in Dani Rodrik, ed., In Search of Prosperity (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2003), pp. 297-333. PDF posted on blackboard

Washington Dogmatism

Nancy Birdsall and Augusto de la Torre, Washington Contentious (Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2001), skim all. PDF posted on blackboard

Rosemary Thorp, Progress, Poverty and Exclusion: An Economic History of Latin America in the 20th Century, pp.243-273. PDF posted on blackboard

Week 8 (March 3): Rising Tensions across the Pacific

Growing Economic Conflict between China and the U.S.

Fred Bergsten, “The Global Crisis and the International Economic Position of the United States,” in Fred Bergsten, ed., The Long-term International Economic Position of the United States (Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Development, 2009), pp. 1-9. PDF posted on blackboard

Catherine Mann, “International Capital Flows and the Sustainability of the US Current Account Deficit,” in Bergsten, ed., The Long-term International Economic Position of the United States, pp. 35-62. PDF posted on blackboard

Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Yee Wong, and Ketki Sheth, US-China Trade Disputes: Rising Tide, Rising Stakes (Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2006), pp. 1-54. PDF posted on blackboard

A Diverse Response in Latin America

Ray Jenkins, “The Latin American Case,” in Rhys Jenkins and Enrique Dussel Peters, eds., China and Latin America: Economic Relations in the Twenty-first Century (Bonn: German Development Institute, 2009), pp. 21-63. PDF posted on blackboard

Daniel Lederman, Marcelo Olarreaga, and Guillermo E. Perry, “Latin America’s Response to China and India,” in Daniel Lederman, Marcelo Olarreaga, and Guillermo E. Perry, eds., China's and India's Challenge to Latin America: Opportunity or Threat? (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2008), pp. 3-35. PDF posted on blackboard

Arturo Porzecanski, “Latin America: The Missing Financial Crisis” (Washington, DC: ECLAC Studies and Perspectives Series No. 6, 2009). PDF posted on blackboard

Week 9 (March 10): Mid-term Exam

Week 10 (March 17): SPRING BREAK

CHINA’S ENTRY INTO THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE IN THE 2000s

Week 11 (March 24): Competitive Disadvantage

Mexico’s China Conundrum

Evan Ellis, China in Latin America: The Whats and Wherefores, pp. 200-214.

Enrique Dussel Peters, “The Mexican Case,” in Jenkins and Dussel Peters, eds., China and Latin America: Economic Relations in the Twenty-first Century, pp. 279-385. PDF posted on blackboard

China’s Incursions into NAFTA

Kevin Gallagher, Juan Carlos Moreno Brid, and Roberto Porzecanski, “The Dynamism of Mexican Exports: Lost in (Chinese) Translation,” World Development 32 (2008): 1365-1380. PDF posted on blackboard

Week 12 (March 31): Comparative Edge

Chile and Peru: China’s Voracious Appetite for Mineral Imports

Jonathan Barton, “The Chilean Case,” in Jenkins and Dussel Peters, eds., China and Latin America: Economic Relations in the Twenty-first Century, pp. 227-277. PDF posted on blackboard

Evan Ellis, China in Latin America: The Whats and Wherefores, pp. 34-48, 147-157.

Carol Wise, “Playing Both Sides of the Pacific: Latin America’s Free Trade Agreements with China and the U.S.” PDF posted on blackboard

Brazil, Argentina and China’s Feeding Frenzy

Evan Ellis, China in Latin America: The Whats and Wherefores, pp. 49-75.

Andrés López and Daniela Ramos, “The Argentine Case,” in Jenkins and Dussel Peters, eds., China and Latin America: Economic Relations in the Twenty-first Century, pp. 65-157. PDF posted on blackboard

Daniel Saslavsky and Ricardo Rozemburg, ‘The Brazilian Case,” in Jenkins and Dussel Peters, eds., China and Latin America: Economic Relations in the Twenty-first Century, pp. 159-226. PDF posted on blackboard

Week 13 (April 7): The 2008-09 Financial Crisis and China-US Disequilibria

POSITION PAPER NO. 2 DUE

China the New ‘Lender of Last Resort’?

Gregory Chin and Eric Helleiner, “China as a Creditor: A Rising Financial Power?” Journal of International Affairs 62 (Fall/Winter 2008): 87-102. PDF posted on blackboard

Max Corden, “The World Credit Crisis: Understanding It, and What to Do,” World Economy 32 (2009):385-400. PDF posted on blackboard

China-US as the New “G-2”?

Elizabeth Economy and Adam Segal, “The G-2 Mirage,” Foreign Affairs 88 (May/June 2009). PDF posted on blackboard

THE CHINESE CENTURY: ADDITIONAL CONSIDERATIONS

Week 14 (April 14): Patterns of Regionalism in Comparison

Latin American Angle

Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), Bridging Regional Trade Agreements in the Americas (Washington, DC: IDB, 2009), pp. 1-45. PDF posted on blackboard

China/Asia

Mireya Solis, “Japan’s Competitive FTA Strategy: Commercial Opportunity versus Political Rivalry,” Mireya Solis, Barbara Stallings, and Saori Katada, eds., in Competitive Regionalism (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2009), pp. 198-215. PDF posted on blackboard

Jiang Yang, “China’s Competitive FTA Strategy: Realism on a Liberal Slide,” in Solis, Stallings, and Katada, eds., Competitive Regionalism, pp. 216-235. PDF posted on blackboard

Week 15 (April 21): Environment & Energy Issues

Environment

Elizabeth Economy, “The Great Leap Backward?” Foreign Affairs (September/October 2007). PDF posted on blackboard

James Roumasset, Kimberly Burness, and Hua Wang, “Environmental Resources and Economic Growth,” in Lauren Brandt and Thomas G. Rawski, eds, China’s Great Economic Transformation (New York, NY: Cambridge University Press, 2008), pp. 250-285. PDF posted on blackboard

Energy

Wenran Jiang, “China and India Come to Latin America for Energy,” in Sidney Weintraub, ed., Energy Cooperation in the Western Hemisphere (Washington, DC: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2007), pp. 476-494. PDF posted on blackboard

Luisa Palacios, “Latin America as China’s Energy Supplier,” in Roett and Paz, eds., China's Expansion into the Western Hemisphere, pp. 170-192.

Week 16 (April 28): Study Day/Breaking Bread Dinner

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