HOW PRO-POOR IS ETHIOPIA'S EDUCATION EXPANSION? A benefit ...

W O R K I N G P A P E R no . 2 3

HOW PRO-POOR IS ETHIOPIA'S EDUCATION EXPANSION? A benefit incident analysis of education since 1995/96

Tassew Woldehanna Nicola Jones

WOR K IN G PA P E R n o. 2 3 How Pro-Poor is Ethiopia's Education Expansion? A ben efit incident analysis of e duc ation s i n ce 1 9 9 5 / 9 6

How Pro-Poor is Ethiopia's Education Expansion?: A benefit incident analysis of education since 1995/96

Tassew Woldehanna Nicola Jones

How P ro - P o or is Et hio p ia's Educ ation Expans ion? A be n e f i t i ncid ent analysis of e duc ation s ince 1995/96

Preface

This paper is one of a series of working papers published by the Young Lives Project, an innovative longitudinal study of childhood poverty in Ethiopia, India (Andhra Pradesh State), Peru and Vietnam. Between 2002 and 2015, some 2,000 children in each country are being tracked and surveyed at three to four year intervals from the age of one to fourteen. In addition, 1,000 older children in each country are being followed from the age of eight. Young Lives is a joint research and policy initiative co-ordinated by an academic consortium ? led by the University of Oxford ? and Save the Children UK, incorporating both inter-disciplinary and North-South collaboration. In Ethiopia, the research component of the project is led by the Ethiopian Development Research Institute, while the policy analysis and advocacy components are led by Save the Children UK, Ethiopia. Young Lives seeks to:

? produce long-term data on children and poverty in the four research countries ? draw on this data to develop a nuanced and comparative understanding of childhood

poverty dynamics to inform national policy agendas ? trace associations between key macro policy trends and child outcomes and use these

findings as a basis to advocate for policy choices at macro and meso levels that facilitate the reduction of childhood poverty ? actively engage with ongoing work on poverty alleviation and reduction, involving stakeholders who may use or be impacted by the research throughout the research design, data collection and analysis and dissemination stages ? foster public concern about, and encourage political motivation to act on, childhood poverty issues through national and international advocacy. In Ethiopia, the project has received financial support from the UK Department for International Development and Canada's International Development Research Centre. This support is gratefully acknowledged. For further information, and to download all our publications, visit .uk

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How Pro-Poor is Ethiopia's Educ ation E xpa n s i o n ? A ben efit incident analysis of e duc ation s i n ce 1 9 9 5 / 9 6

Contents

Preface

ii

Authors

iv

Acknowledgements

iv

Abstract

1

1. Introduction

2

2. Literature on benefit incidence analysis

4

2.1 Definition and measurement issues

4

2.2 International findings on BIA of education

5

3. Benefit incidence analysis

7

3.1 Trends in public expenditure on education

7

3.2 BIA data and methods

9

3.3 Patterns of education spending incidence

10

4. Conclusions and policy implications

25

References

28

Appendix A: Sectoral expenditure

31

Appendix B: Statistical tests

32

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