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712763103358POWER RANKINGS00POWER RANKINGS08001001. Chip2. Andy3. Andre4. Grant5. Ridge6. Hedgehogs7. Nick8. Stephen9. Thad10. Jeffrey11. Urchins12. Connor001. Chip2. Andy3. Andre4. Grant5. Ridge6. Hedgehogs7. Nick8. Stephen9. Thad10. Jeffrey11. Urchins12. ConnorLetter from the CommissionerHuntingTen Homies!!!Ahh it is time. For most of us it’s time to be disappointed. Disappointed in what could have been our season to win. Disappointed that we didn’t make that trade. Disappointed we didn’t start that player on the bench that scored 50 by themselves. This year is crazy with 1 determined playoff team going into the final weeks of the regular season and only 2 teams officially eliminated. The last couple weeks is about to be crazy and I am excited to see how close it will be. This means it’s likely that a team that has won 6 games is likely not going to make the playoffs.I know this can get competitive to some, but I just want to thank you all for being friends. I know a lot of us aren’t best friends but it’s such a good group of guys and it’s likely that you are in this league with one of your best friends and that guy might be best friends with someone else in this league and so on. It’s a web of best friends and it is such a unique dynamic and I look forward to the texts on Sunday and Monday. I look forward to my phone buzzing and seeing one of the several Bengals fans discussing the wretchedness that is the Cincinnati Bengals (HOWEVER I like their odds this week). I really do care about all you guys and have your backs through whatever.I hope that you all have had a good year playing so far and here’s to the rest of the season. BOL everyone!Stephen Richbart (Big Steve)Strength of ScheduleRidge has faced the toughest schedule through 11 weeks while CONNOR has had the easiest schedule. That is crazy since Connor is 3-8!!!! Alternate SchedulesHere, as usual, you can see how many wins you would have with someone else’s schedule. There are quite a few interesting different scenarios here, but you have the record you have so deal with it.LuckinessNot many teams have a substantial amount of luck, it is really just Chip. Grant and Ridge do have significant misfortune though. EliminatedConnor – Connor was eliminated from playoff contention 2 weeks ago, but due to the lack of newsletter you all didn’t know about that. At this point it should be crystal clear that he isn’t making the playoffs.Jeffrey – Despite winning last week, Jeffrey was also eliminated from playoff contention two weeks ago. Jeffrey could find his way into a five way tie in fourth by finishing at 6-7, but when that happens I believe the tiebreaker goes to points, and Jeffrey just trails by too many points to make up for it in two weeks.Urchins – Alec’s best case scenario finds him in a seven way tie at 6-7, but his situation is worse than Jeffrey’s in relation to total points. Alec is out of playoff contention in the same way WVU is out of the bowl scenario. 5-7 teams sometimes go to bowls, but the tiebreaker is the teams GPA. ESPN would give Alec 99.9999999999% to lose. Chip Last WeekWeek 11?Hey guys. After a week’s hiatus from predicting, I’m back and still very middle of the road at picking these games. As it stand right now, my record is 9-15 thanks to an 0-6 week in Week 8. Yikes. But we’re set to turn it around this week. ?I’m going to keep it shorter this week, while hopefully providing some insight at the same time. I’m writing this before any games have been played this week, so we’re looking at a clean slate. ?Alvin and the Nose Rings (9-1 L) v. Daddy’s Darlings (6-4)ESPN Prediction – TieI would imagine most of you are surprised to see this isn’t Game of the Week. After all, it was last year’s championship, as well as the year before. Well, truth be told, Andy and I have both pretty much clinched playoff spots, so this is more for seeding than anything else. ?I come into this matchup with a fuller team than Andy, with his team not having Saquon for the week because of a bye week. But I don’t think that’s going to matter much because CMC is going to run all over the Falcons and give me my second loss in as many weeks. ?WINNER – Daddy’s Darlings?Melbourne Sea Urchins (4-6) v. Team Nolan (5-5)ESPN Prediction – Team Nolan (-8.6)This is what we call a ‘loser leaves town’ game, meaning that whoever loses this game is likely out of the playoff race. There’s a lot like that this week, but we’ll start with this one. ?Nick has been the hottest team in the league since he got Tyreek Hill back. He’s gone from calendar contender to playoff hopeful in a matter of weeks. Alec is also right on the verge of a breakthrough, but I don’t think it comes this week. I have Nick making it five in a row and making the playoff push a little more interesting. WINNER – Team Nolan?Master Ki-Thadi-Mundi (5-5) v. Tanking for Tua (3-7)ESPN Prediction – Tanking for Tua (-8.4)Two of the tallest gentlemen in the league go head to head in this matchup. I’ve had to guard both of them in the post in basketball, and frankly, it’s the closest I have ever come to being bullied.?This game is basically a must win for Thad. At .500, he’s on the cusp of a playoff birth. Jeffrey is likely not going to make it (sorry Jeff, at least your basketball team is national champs and didn’t lose to Evansville), so this feels like it could be a trap game. I’m going to go with Thad because it feels like his team is going to ride the hot hand, having beaten me last week.?WINNER – Master Ki-Thadi-Mundi?Richard Sherman (3-7) v. Ruffles Have Ridges (4-6)ESPN Prediction – Ruffles Have Ridges (-6.6)This matchup is difficult to call. Both of these teams haven’t necessarily had luck on their sides throughout the season, and if you look at their rosters, you’d think they were closer to the tops of their respective divisions.?I’m going to give Ridge the edge here because I know how unlucky he has been, according to Thad’s graphs, and it doesn’t seem like that should continue much longer. I’m still a bit confused on how that’s calculated, but I trust Thad and his numbers. Shoutout Thad.WINNER – Ruffles Have RidgesNukTown OBJYNs (4-6) v. Davante’s Inferno (7-3) ESPN Prediction – NukTown OBJYNs (-32.8)At first glance, I had to doublecheck to see that line was right. But seeing as Andre’s best players are all on bye this week, it checks out.I have to go with Stephen just because of the misfortune of Andre’s bye situation. Starting QB, both RBs and WR1 on bye? That’s never a great sign.?WINNER – NukTown OBJYNs?GAME OF LAST WEEKDalvin and the Chipmunks (4-6) v. Huntington Hedgehogs (6-4)ESPN Prediction – Dalvin and the Chipmunks (-23.6)Here we are. The Game of the Week. The Battle of the Furry Forest Creatures. The game we’ve all circled on the calendars.?Not really, but this game has probably the biggest playoff implications of the week. If Grant wins, he puts himself in a good position going forward to make the playoffs or to at least make things interesting. If Matt wins, he potentially puts himself in a tie for second place in the division with Andre, which puts him in a great position going into the last two weeks.?I’m giving Grant the edge for the sole reason that George Kittle likely not playing hurts Matt pretty badly. I like the look of Grant’s receivers compared to Matt’s, and Dalvin Cook is always primed for a big game. I like Grant this week to alter the playoff picture. ?WINNER – Dalvin and the Chipmunks?Alright, that’s everything from me. Today marks a month until I’m back in the States, which is good because the whole not-watching-football thing has been a real kick in the balls. Also, if you don’t watch Brooklyn Nine-Nine, I would recommend doing that. Hilarious.?Apologies to Chip and everyone for no newsletter last week. I didn’t want Chip’s work to go to waste so that was all from last week just to be crystal clear. He also has some predictions for this week that you’ll wee later.DK Awards00KILLER KONG – Chip wins the award given to the highest scoring DK each week since he put up 28 DK points. That is about double the average score.3600450204470DIDDY KONG – I’m going to give this one to Stephen this week since he scored 8 points, which is about 7 points below a target score, but he still won. Diddy win? Indeed.01905HAIRLESS KONG – For a week, let’s let hairless kong be the hairless kong. Every week I give this insulting award to one of the twelve of us, but I don’t want to humiliate the beautiful skin body of this ape this week.114935025400CHIPREDICTIONS00CHIPREDICTIONSWEEK 12?Hey hey everyone. We’re in Week 12 now, which is crazy to me. I remember the draft like it was yesterday, when one of the player’s names that we drafted got stuck to Thad’s cat’s butt. Fun times. ?We only have two weeks left in the regular season, and the playoff picture still looks relatively murky from what I can see. It’s like panning through the Ohio River. If the season ended today, the four playoff teams would be myself, Andy, Andre and surprisingly Matt. I don’t know exactly what the tiebreakers are, but from what I’ve gathered, I’m not the only one. ?But enough speculation. I went 4-2 last week, bringing my season total up to 13-17. That number would be better, but I put up an 0-6 a few weeks back, so that was cool. This week will be a little shorter than what you’re used to, but hopefully will still be insightful.?Master Ki-Thadi-Mundi (5-6) v. Team Nolan (6-5)ESPN Prediction – Master Ki-Thadi-Mundi (-7.0)What a turnaround Nick’s team has had. From 1-5 and facing a surely medical-themed calendar shoot to closing in on a playoff spot in a matter of weeks, Nick’s team is not to be truffled with right now. Five wins in a row have him nipping at Matt’s heels for the last playoff spot. Thad’s team has also been sneaky good the past few weeks. I didn’t realize it until the other day, but apparently Jameis Winston is a top 10 fantasy QB???????? I was, and still am shocked by that. But anyway, Thad sits a game back of first place in his division, so he could still make some noise. This week, I’m going with Nick. His team has been the hottest in the league as of late, and he could very easily sneak into a playoff spot. Despite needing to change his team name, I’m rolling with Dr. Nolan this week.WINNER – Team Nolan?Daddy’s Darlings (6-5) v. Tanking for Tua (4-7)ESPN Prediction – Daddy’s Darlings (-2.1)These teams are interesting to me because they somewhat parallel one another. Two headlining players who carry the team and a decent supporting cast whose performances come and go. Obviously Andy has Saquon and CMC, while Jeffrey has Michael Thomas and Zeke. ?Andy’s team looked like the Panthers last week, with McCaffrey carrying the load and the rest of the team faltering to an extent. Jeffrey’s team was carried by strong WR and RB play, a la Saints. So basically, this week is Saints v. Panthers. Loose, broken logic, but we’re going to ride with it. What makes it even better is the Saints play the Panthers this week. Life imitates art. ?I’m taking Jeffrey this week. I think Thomas goes off against the Panthers and the Saints manage to *contain* McCaffrey.?WINNER – Tanking for TuaRichard Sherman (3-8) v. Alvin and the Nose Rings (10-1)ESPN Prediction – Alvin and the Nose Rings (-16)First v. last. That’s the matchup we’re looking at this week. ?Connor has gotten unlucky with injuries and such this year. Adam Thielen going down hurt, as did Will Fuller and Evan Engram. He would likely be in a different position if his team had stayed healthy all year. Also, Todd Gurley has looked like a shell of himself.?My team is weird to me. Very boom or bust. This week, I’m without Kelce and Ekeler, which were my two big scorers last week, I think. So that could make this matchup interesting.But I’m going to pick myself. Kamara seemed to get his act together last week, so hopefully that keeps up this week. ?WINNER – Alvin and the Nose Rings ?Dalvin and the Chipmunks (5-6) v. Ruffles Have Ridges (5-6)ESPN Prediction – Ruffles Have Ridges (-34.3)Oh boy. Grant is this week’s Andre from last week. All of his good players are on bye, and his best starting RB this week is questionable to play (James Conner).?I’m going to keep this prediction pretty short because I think it’ll be tough for Grant to overcome the odds this week. Which is a shame, because this game is a pretty important one for playoff implications. But that’s all good, because Grant had a video go viral on Twitter this week.?If I even need to say it, I’m taking Ridge this week. His team is just more full.WINNER – Ruffles Have Ridges?Melbourne Sea Urchins (4-7) v. Davante’s Inferno (7-4)ESPN Predictions – Davante’s Inferno (-11.5)Before I start my analysis and predictions, I want to first congratulate Alec on getting into med school. Job well done, sir. ?Now, onto the important stuff. Alec’s team is odd to me because it has really high highs and really low lows. It’s the Jekyll and Hyde of this league, and I’m sure I’ve made that comparison before. It’s interesting to me. Andre’s team is just consistently good when healthy. It’s a nightmare matchup for just about anyone. ?I think I’m going to go with Andre this week. Despite Nick Chubb and Jarvis Landry playing Miami, I think Andre bounces back from a loss last week to get the win. ?WINNER – Davante’s Inferno?GAME OF THE WEEKNukTown OBJYNs (5-6) v. Huntington Hedgehogs (6-5)ESPN Predictions – NukTown OBJYNs (-14.4)Marshall’s favorite sons do battle this week, with a likely spot in the playoffs on the line. It doesn’t get any bigger than this. ?Health concerns make this contest a bit questionable. Each team has a couple of guys listed as questionable which could sway the contest either way. Stephen has Robert Woods, Sterling Shepard, Josh Jacobs and Odell with Qs by their names, whereas Matt has Alshon Jeffrey, Chris Thompson, George Kittle, Auden Tate and Emmanuel Sanders with Qs. So those are all injuries to look out for. Stephen picked up a win last week, but Matt outscored him and still lost his contest. This matchup is about as close a call as they get. But I think I’m going with Stephen. I think his team rocks up enough to make this playoff chase really interesting.WINNER – NukTown OBJYNs?Alright gents, that’s all I have for now. It’s exciting that I likely only have one or two more of these to write from London, then I’m back home. The people here kinda suck, which makes me miss my pals. Anyway, enjoy the Turkey Bowl for me, and I’ll see you guys soon. ................
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