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1. SITUATION UPDATE – 23 MARCH 2017You are the Commander of 1 SBCT/25 ID and you are returning from a planning conference with theCFLCC staff. The planning conference was related to an alert notification you received on 3MARCH 2017 that identified 1/25 ID (Stryker) for possible deployment with CFLCC’s [II Corps’]Early Entry Command Post (EECP) into the JTF-CASPIAN JOA as early as June 2017. Based on theresults of the planning conference and guidance you received from the CFLCC Commander, you havedecided to implement a MDMP planning drill with your staff once you return to Ft. Wainwright.Your reasons for the MDMP planning drill are twofold. First, you want to start training your staff onMDMP. But second, and more importantly, you need to respond to a request from the CFLCCcommander which is explained below.At the CFLCC planning conference you received an update on the evolving situation betweenAzerbaijan and Ahurastan. Of particular importance to you is the following information:a. In February 2017, the United States European Command (USEUCOM) initiated a review ofCONPLAN 4567-15 based on the developing situation in the Caspian Sea region and the perceived,emerging regional threat from Ahurastan. The EUCOM Joint Planning Group (JPG) updated theCONPLAN and established a Joint Task Force [JTF-CASPIAN] for potential combat operations inthe designated Joint Operations Area (JOA) which encompasses the countries of Georgia, Armenia,Azerbaijan and Turkey (on order includes Ahurastan). In addition, II (US) Corps has been designatedas the Combined Forces Land Component Command (CFLCC) for operations in the JTF-CASPIANJOA.CASPIAN GUARD OPERATIONAL PHASES0 Shape (ongoing IAW EUCOM OPORD 2348-12; TSC for Caucuses – not developed)I DeterII Seize the InitiativeIII DominateIV StabilizeV Enable Civil Authoritiesb. Upon receipt of a WARNO from EUCOM, the CFLCC J5 [II (US) Corps G5] initiated a militarydecisionmaking process (MDMP) focused on Phase I (Deter) through Phase IV (Stabilize). ArrivingCFLCC forces will conduct reception, staging, onward movement, and integration (RSO&I) in theRepublic of Georgia and occupy tactical assembly areas vicinity Tbilisi, Georgia [TAA TBILISI].Arriving units will prepare for transition to Phase II (Seize) should sequential flexible deterrentoptions (FDOs) fail to prevent an attack by Ahurastan into Azerbaijan.c. The CFLCC MDMP process was initiated to support a review of CFLCC OPLAN 59991-17. Anextract of CFLCC OPLAN 59991-17 is included in enclosure 5 for your review.d. Based on CFLCC’s [II (US) Corps’] COA Analysis, the CFLCC Commander, C5, and C3recognized that the terrain vicinity of Ganja (Kirovabad) will be critical during CFLCC’s movementfrom Tbilisi to the Kura River basin in order to conduct Phase III (Dominate). The mobility corridorvicinity of Ganja (Kirovabad) is canalized by urban terrain in the north and mountainous terrain in thesouth. With recent South Azeri Peoples’ Army (SAPA) activity in the area, the CFLCC Commanderjudged that there is a significant threat to the CFLCC’s ability to rapidly move through this areaduring the transition from Phase II (Seize) to Phase III (Dominate).e. The CFLCC Commander addressed these concerns at the planning conference and directed 1/25ID (Stryker) to plan for operations vicinity Ganja (Kirovabad) as part of the JTF and CFLCC’s PhaseI (Deter) concept of operation. The CFLCC Commander acknowledged that the potential executionof this mission was still several months away and that the situation would most likely change as well.Nevertheless, he has asked you to develop a plan and brief him in 2 weeks. In addition, the CFLCCCommander also acknowledged that his staff was continuing to revise their OPLAN and beyond theextract (enclosure 5) and a draft of the OPLAN briefing (enclosure 6 – issued separately and alsoposted to Blackboard) there would not be any other CFLCC planning products finalized within thenext 2 weeks (you are in fact conducting parallel planning with the CFLCC staff). However, theCFLCC Commander did provide you with his intent, guidance, and additional comments:2. CFLCC CG INITIAL INTENT FOR PHASE IPURPOSE: Support the government of Azerbaijan in maintaining sovereignty and creating capacitiesto provide a stable, safe, and secure environment.End State: I&W indicate imminent attack and JTF-CASPIAN declares unambiguous warning (WDay)or AH complies with UNSCR to refrain from offensive operations along the AZ-AH border.CFLCC postured to support AZ defense or transition directly to Phase IV. CFLCC and the AZgovernment/military have developed plans to either control the movement of civilians or to containthem within specific areas. If transition to Phase IV, deliberate transition to Phase IV lines ofoperation and engagement of population to neutralize SAPA influence.General Planning Guidance for this phase includes:-Complete RSOI in TAA TBILISI and prepare for transition to Phase II (Seize).-Successful integration of and coordination with coalition forces.-Neutralization of SAPA threat and protection of LOCs.-Complete and thorough coordination with other components for synchronized operational fires.-Conduct shaping operations that prepare the AO for offensive operations; these include protectingkey coalition C2, political and economic areas.3. CFLCC CG INITIAL PLANNING GUIDANCE FOR 1/25 ID (STRYKER)I must retain the flexibility to rapidly generate forces out of TAA TBILISI and be able to posturecombat power forward in central Azerbaijan if the situation requires early transition to Phase III(Dominate). I want you to plan a shaping operation to secure freedom of movement (FOM) forC603ASAD 3CFLCC forces through the Ganja-Kirovabad corridor until the Phase III (Dominate) forces clear thearea. The primary threat to FOM is from SAPA ambushes along the Ganja-Baku highway. TheAzerbaijanis have done well keeping SAPA out of Ganja proper, and seem to be limiting their supportand operations bases to the countryside. Obviously, you cannot defend every foot of the highway orhunt down every SAPA guerilla; therefore, you must develop a plan that balances offensive anddefensive operations focused on the purpose of your mission. One other critical consideration thatcould impact CFLCC forces FOM is flow of refugees and displaced civilians. You must also plan formovement of refugees competing for the same route and critical support areas. As an economy offorce operation, expect limited additional assets from CFLCC forces. However, if you identify theneed for additional capabilities in order to accomplish your assigned mission, let me know and we’llsee how we can provide you the resources. Expected duration of this SBCT operation is 7 days tosecure the area and pass the CFLCC Phase III (Dominate) forces. If required, be prepared to conducta hasty defense south of Ganja–Kirovabad corridor along Phase Line Brown in AO 4 in order stopany penetration of AH forces of AZ’s defenses. BPT continue as the CFLCC operational reserve ortask organize in support of the Phase III (Dominate) Decisive Operation [estimated to be 4ID (US)].4. CFLCC CG’S ADDITIONAL COMMENTSa. 1/25 ID (Stryker) may or may not be the optimum organization to deal with this mission, theterrain and the threat; however, the SBCT offers the best balance of protection and mobility for earlycommitment.b. This is an economy of force operation. From the CFLCC’s perspective, it is a temporary missionthat ends when the CFLCC Phase III forces are clear of Ganja. 1/25 ID (Stryker) is not the CFLCC’smain effort during execution; the CFLCC’s focus remains on generating combat power forward inAzerbaijan in order to transition to Phase III (Dominate).c. This is not the entire war; 1/25 ID (Stryker) will still have to execute its role during Phases III andIV.d. The movement from TAA TBILISI to ATK PSN LION is approximately 150 km. I do not see1/25 SBCT securing the entire 150 kilometers. However, I expect the 1/25 SBCT to review thecurrent template of AO3 and tell me if it supports the mission requirements as you understand them.e. Terrain – restrictive, canalized, urbanized corridor.f. Maintaining our single ground line of communications (LOC) is essential to the success ofCFLCC’s approach march.g. The numerous small towns along the LOC as well as the potential disruption of our movement bythe local population and refugees are areas of risk that we need to mitigate.h. Host nation (HN) forces can maintain security within Ganja, but not along the CFLCC’s routeoutside of Ganja.i. Refugee movement and protection from crime challenges HN security capabilities.j. SAPA is capable of threatening division convoys along the LOC and disrupting HN securityefforts.k. Partner with the AZ units within your AO.5. TASK ORGANIZATION1SBCT/25INHQ 1/25 ID1-5 IN1-24 IN3-21 IN5/1 CAVD/52 IN2-8 FA (155T)25 BSB73 EN CO184 MI CO176 SIG COAdditional Phase I forces provided by CFLCC489 EN BN (TACON)72 EN CO (Sapper)306 EN CO (Equipment Support)597 EN CO (Mobility Augmentation)6-27 FA (MLRS)143 EN CO (Construction) (TACON)A/5-52 ADA (Patriot) (TACON)19 CSSB (TACON)261 MED BN (Multifunctional) (TACON)1 SQUADRON 17 CAV (3X10 ARH) (TACON)6. LIST OF ENCLOSURESa. Enclosure 1: 1/25 ID (Stryker) Operations Summary.b. Enclosure 2: Current Intelligence Estimate: Update to Annex B (Intelligence) to CFLCC OPLAN59991-17.c. Enclosure 3: 1/25 ID (Stryker) Logistics Summary.d. Enclosure 4: 1/25 ID (Stryker) Area of Operations Map and Nesting Diagram.e. Enclosure 5: Extract of CFLCC OPLAN 59991-17 with Annex A (Task Organization), Annex B(Intelligence), and Appendix 20 (Azeri Defense Force General Defense Plan) to Annex C.f. Enclosure 6: Extract of CFLCC OPLAN 59991-17 Briefing. (Issued separately and also postedon Blackboard.)g. Enclosure 7: Stryker Brigade Combat Team Organization Overview. ................
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