Trends and Predictions in the Student Loan Market

Trends and Predictions in the Student Loan Market

JAMES PARTRIDGE, SENIOR ECONOMIST

NASFAA 2016

Agenda

? Recent trends in the economy ? Consumer credit ? Student loan outlook

2

# 1

Trennomy

Consumers Lead the Way

Annualized % change

8 Net exports

6

Inventories

4

2

0

-2

-4

12

13

14

Sources: BEA, Moody's Analytics

Government Fixed investment

15

16

4

Confidence Key to Spending...and the Economy

110

115

Univ. of Mich. 1966Q1=100 (L)

105

100

Conference Board, 1985=100 (R)

95

90

85

75 80

65

70

55

45 60

35

50

25

06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Sources: Conference Board, University of Michigan

5

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