Market Briefing: S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Dividends

Market Briefing: S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Dividends

Yardeni Research, Inc.

March 16, 2022

Dr. Edward Yardeni

516-972-7683 eyardeni@

Joe Abbott

732-497-5306 jabbott@

Debbie Johnson

480-664-1333 djohnson@

Mali Quintana

480-664-1333 aquintana@

Please visit our sites at blog.

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Table Of Contents Table Of Contents

S&P 500 Earnings & Revenue Growth

1

Revenues & Earnings

2

S&P 500 Revenues

3

S&P 500 Operating Earnings

4-6

S&P 500 Dividend Yield

7

S&P 500 Dividends

8

S&P 500 Write-Offs

9

March 16, 2022 / Market Briefing: S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Dividends

Yardeni Research, Inc.



S&P 500 Earnings & Revenue Growth

Figure 1.

120

S&P 500 EARNINGS PER SHARE GROWTH* 100 (yearly percent change)

120 Latest data thru 3/14/2022

100

80

80

Actual

60

y/y growth

60

Estimated

40

y/y growth**

40

20

20

Q4

0

0

-20

-20

-40

-40

-60

-60

-80

-80

-100

-100



-120

-120

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

* Yearly growth rates capped at +100% and -100% due to extreme values. ** Industry analysts' consensus expected earnings growth.

Source: Standard & Poor's.

Figure 2.

30

S&P 500 REVENUES PER SHARE

25

(yearly percent change)

30 Latest (15.6)

25

20

20

15

Q4

15

10

10

5

5

0

0

-5

-5

-10

-10

-15

-15

-20

-20



-25

-25

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Source: Standard & Poor's.

Page 1 / March 16, 2022 / Market Briefing: S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Dividends

Yardeni Research, Inc.



Revenues & Earnings

Figure 3.

1800

S&P 500 REVENUES PER SHARE: FORWARD & ACTUAL (dollars)

1600

1400

1800 3/3

1600 Q4

1400

1200

1200

Revenues Per Share

Forward Revenues*

Revenues**

1000

(4Q sum)

1000



800

800

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

* Time-weighted average of consensus estimates for current and next year. ** Actual 4Q sum from Standard & Poor's.

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv and Standard & Poor's.

Figure 4.

1600

S&P 500 EARNINGS & REVENUES

Revenues

1400

(trailing 4-quarter sum)

Earnings*

1200

(trailing 4-quarter sum)

QQ44

210

190

170

150

130

1000

110

90

800 70

50 600

30



400

10

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

* Operating earnings. Source: Standard & Poor's.

Page 2 / March 16, 2022 / Market Briefing: S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Dividends

Yardeni Research, Inc.



Figure 5.

450

S&P 500 REVENUES (dollars per share)

400

S&P 500 Revenues

450 Q4

400

350

350

300

300

250

250

200

200



150

150

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Source: Census Bureau and Standard & Poor's.

Figure 6.

25

S&P 500 REVENUES* (yearly percent change)

20

15

25

20

Q4

15

10

10

5

5

0

0

-5

-5

-10

-10

-15

-15

-20

-20



-25

-25

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

* Using dollars per share. Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

Page 3 / March 16, 2022 / Market Briefing: S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Dividends

Yardeni Research, Inc.



S&P 500 Operating Earnings

Figure 7.

60

S&P 500 OPERATING EARNINGS 55 (dollars per share)

50

60

Q4

55

50

45

45

40

Total (54.1)

40

35

35

30

30

25

25

20

20

15

15

10

10

5

5



0

0

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

Figure 8.

60

S&P 500 OPERATING EPS (yearly percent change)

40 Total (26.9)

20

Capped at 50

60

40 Q4

20

0

0

-20

-20

-40

-40

-60

-60



-80

-80

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

Page 4 / March 16, 2022 / Market Briefing: S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Dividends

Yardeni Research, Inc.



S&P 500 Operating Earnings

Figure 9.

500

S&P 500 AGGREGATE NET INCOME (billion dollars)

400

500 Q4

400

300

300

200

200

100

100

0

0

Operating (479.2)

-100

Reported (461.5)

-100

-200

-200



-300

-300

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation.

Figure 10.

60

S&P 500 OPERATING EPS: THOMSON REUTERS vs. S&P MEASURES 55 (dollars per share)

50

60

Q4

55

50

45

45

Thomson (54.06)

40

S&P (56.59)

40

35

35

30

30

25

25

20

20

15

15

10

10

5

5

0

0



-5

-5

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation and I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

Page 5 / March 16, 2022 / Market Briefing: S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Dividends

Yardeni Research, Inc.



S&P 500 Operating Earnings

Figure 11.

220

S&P 500 TRAILING 4-QUARTER OPERATING EPS I/B/E/S VS. S&P

200

220

QQ44 200

180

180

I/B/E/S (209.83)

160

S&P (208.07)

160

140

140

120

120

100

100

80

80

60

60

40

40



20

20

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Source: Standard & Poor's and I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

Figure 12.

30

30

S&P 500 TRAILING 4-QUARTER OPERATING EPS I/B/E/S VS S&P

25

25

20

Dollar Difference in 4-Quarter Operating EPS

20

15

I/B/E/S less S&P

15

10

10

5

5

Q4

0

0

-5

-5

40

40

35

35

30

30

Percent Difference in 4-Quarter Operating EPS

25

I/B/E/S divided by S&P

25

20

20

15

15

10

10

5

5

0

Q4

0

-5

-5



-10

-10

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Source: Standard & Poors and I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

Page 6 / March 16, 2022 / Market Briefing: S&P 500 Revenues, Earnings, & Dividends

Yardeni Research, Inc.



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