AUTOMOBILES - IBEF
[Pages:31]AUTOMOBILES
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January 2018
Table of Content
Executive Summary........................3 Advantage India.............................4 Market Overview ............................5 Recent Trends & Strategies............11 Growth Drivers and Opportunities......15 Investment Scenario........................18 Policies and Initiatives.....................19 Key Players...................................20 Case Studies.................................21 Key Industry Organizations..............26 Useful Information..........................28
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
3rd largest automobile industry
Segmented Market
Positive growth prospects
Presence of established domestic and international original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Strong market in terms of both, the domestic demand and exports. 7th largest manufacturer of commercial vehicles The only country among top seven car markets globally to achieve double digit growth rate of 11 per cent
during Jan-May 2017. Automobile exports to grow at a CAGR of 3.05 per cent during 2016-2026. Indian automotive industry (including component manufacturing) is expected to reach Rs 16.16-18.18
trillion (US$ 251.4-282.8 billion) by 2026.
Automobile sector split into four segments , each having few market leaders. Two-wheelers and passenger vehicles dominate the domestic demand. Two-wheelers account for 80 per cent of domestic demand. Commercial vehicle segment expected to grow at 11.07 per cent between 2016-26.
Exports grew at 4.3 per cent CAGR between FY12-17. Two-wheeler production estimated to grow at 16 per cent CAGR between FY17-20. Domestic sales of passenger vehicles expected to increase at a CAGR of 12.87 per cent between 2017-26 Strong policy support from government.
Sources: SIAM, OICA, Aranca research, Business Standard
3 Automobiles
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ADVANTAGE INDIA
Strong growth in demand due to rising income, middle class, and a young population.
Domestics ales of passenger vehicles expected to increase at a CAGR of 12.87 per cent between 2016-26.
Utility vehicle sales increased 19.95 per cent year-on-year in April-November 2017.
India has significant cost advantages; auto firms save 10-25 per cent on operations vis-?-vis Europe & Latin America.
Cumulative FDI inflow of around US$ 17.91 billion in the sector between April 2000 ? September 2017.
ADVANTAGE INDIA
Focus shifting on electric cars to reduce emissions.
Innovation is likely to intensify among engine technology & alternative fuels.
Government aims to build India into an R&D hub.
Automotive Mission Plan : 2016-26 shows clear vision of government.
The government aims to develop India as a global manufacturing centre.
Reforms like GST to help boost the sector's growth.
Sources: Automotive Mission Plan (2016?2026), Make in India, SIAM
4 Automobiles
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Automobiles
MARKET OVERVIEW
MARKET OVERVIEW
Indian government & Suzuki formed Maruti Udyog and commenced production in 1983
Component manufacturers entered the market via JV
Buyer's market
More than 35 market players
GST to support lower raw material cost
Launch of Automotive Mission Plan 2016-26 in 2015
Before 1982
1983-1992
1992-2007
2008 onwards
Closed market 5 players Long waiting periods & outdated models Seller's market
Sector de-licensed in 1993 Major Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) started
assembly operations in India Imports permitted from April 2001 Introduction of value- added tax in 2005
Sources: Tata Motors, Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), Aranca Research
6 Automobiles
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MARKET OVERVIEW
Automobile Sector
Two-wheelers
Mopeds and electric scooters
Scooters
Motorcycles
Passenger vehicles
Passenger cars
Utility Vehicles Multi-purpose
vehicles
Commercial Vehicles
Light commercial vehicles
Medium & heavy commercial vehicles
Three-wheelers Passenger carriers
Goods carriers
Source: Aranca Research, Annual Report
7 Automobiles
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MARKET OVERVIEW
Number of automobiles produced in India (in millions)
30 CAGR 5.5%
25
25
23
24
20 20
21
22
19
15
10
5
0 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18*
Number of automobiles sold in India (in millions)
25 CAGR 5.9%
20
22
20
20
15
17
18
18
10
5
0 FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
The automotive manufacturing industry comprises the production of commercial vehicles, passenger cars, three & two-wheelers.
Two-wheelers are by far the most popular form of vehicle in India, taking an 80 per cent share in 2015-16. India became the largest two-wheeler market in the world after selling 17.7 million two-wheelers in 2016.
25 million automobiles produced in FY17.
Total production volume grew at a CAGR of 5.56 per cent between FY12-17 and increased 9.36 per cent year-on-year in April-November 2017.
Automobile exports from India increased 11.94 per cent year-on-year in April-November 2017. During the same period, two and three-wheelers exports increased 17.48 per cent and 21.29 per cent, respectively.
Note: FY18* - up to November 2017 Source: Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM)
8 Automobiles
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