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Schools & Colleges 2020Consequences of School DisruptionsWith the closure of most schools during mid-March 2020, a May 2020 report from Brown University concluded students would only have a 66% learning gain in reading and 44% in math relative to a typical school year when they returned for fall 2020 classes.Much like the US economy is expected to follow a K-shaped recovery, students of color and in low-income homes are more likely to lose learning gains at higher percentages, compared to students from higher-income homes.Another consequence is the approximately 57% of adolescents who receive most of their mental health support from school systems. Being more socially isolated and with family financial challenges, not only these adolescents, but also other students won’t receive help.Parents’ Perception of Their Children’s Happiness and Stress Levels Compared to Pre-Pandemic, May–June 2020PerceptionHappyStressedMuch more16%15%Somewhat more24%30%Approximately the same21%21%Somewhat less27%17%Much less11%17%EdChoice, July 2020The Pivot to Home SchoolingAccording to an EdChoice survey/report, only 26% of parents said they were extremely or very prepared for online/distance/e-learning prior to the pandemic. After the first few weeks of online schooling, however, 40% of parents said they were extremely or very prepared.Interestingly, 48% of African American parents said their children’s learning was “much better/somewhat better” during spring 2020 remote learning than prior to the pandemic, compared to 29% for Latinx American parents and 35% for Caucasian American parents.Of the parents surveyed, 22% said they were “not at all” comfortable with their children returning to school during fall 2020. Another 25% were “slightly” uncomfortable and 24% “moderately” uncomfortable.Parents’ Top 5 Challenges During the Early-Pandemic Period, May–June 2020ChallengePercent#1: Maintaining a schedule or routine18%#2: Financial stress, unemployment15%#3: Feeling overwhelmed, balancing work and schooling14%#4: Keeping my children engaged in activities12%#5: The school’s expectations and demands for my child’s learning10%EdChoice, July 2020Fall 2020 College Enrollments DeclineAlthough many four-year and community colleges and other postsecondary educational institutions tried to open for fall 2020 classes, many had to close or required students to switch to online learning, even as they remain in their dorms and apartments. The uncertainly of the school year and concerns for students’ health resulted in a 13% decrease in student enrollments as of 10/22/20, according to National Student Clearinghouse Research Center munity colleges were the hardest hit, with freshmen enrollments declining 18.9%. Public four-year colleges’ decrease was also double-digits (10.5%) and -8.5% at private, nonprofit, four-year colleges.Enrollment Changes at Primarily Online Institutions, Undergraduate and Graduate Students by Age, Fall 2020 vs. Fall 2019UndergraduateFall 2020Fall 2019GraduateFall 2020Fall 201018–2013.0%10.2%21–2425.9%9.5%21–2411.7%6.2%25–2910.6%3.4%25–294.1%0.6%30–398.4%3.0%30+3.3%1.0%40–997.8%1.5%Total4.9%2.0%50+10.1%0.9%Total9.7%2.5%National Student Clearinghouse Research Center, November 2020From College Students’ PerspectiveAccording to an August 2020 survey of college students for New America and Third Way, most students still view a higher education as valuable and important to their future, however, almost 50% thought the cost was too high compared to the return.Approximately 40% of students think the gap between cost and return has widened since they had to pivot to online classes. Remote learning required 41% of students to purchase laptops/computers, headphones/mics, printers and even desks, and most paid themselves.Because of the situation at colleges during fall 2020, 32% of high school seniors are unlikely to attend a college after graduation, 41% who do plan to enroll will choose a college closer to home and 22% will apply to schools with online 5 Challenges for African American and Latinx American College Students, August 2020African American StudentsPercentLatinx American StudentsPercentMore government student assistance 80%College isn’t worth the cost54%College isn’t worth the cost59%Unable to access labs, etc.52%Making purchases for online classes49%Insufficient resources to pay costs47%Purchases of significant cost to them78%Difficult to find a quiet place to study39%Balancing work and online study43%Will take more time to complete degree22%Third Way, September 2020Parents and Students’ Tuition ChallengesAccording to an April 2020 survey for Sallie Mae, 66% of surveyed parents said, “College is still worth the cost even if courses are only online,” compared to 48% of surveyed students.The report stated the average total cost to attend any postsecondary institution was $30,017 for the 2019–2020 academic year, with the average at 2-year public schools $15,795, 4-year public schools $25,094 and 4-year private schools $47,010.For the 2019–2020 academic year, 30% of students received federal student loans to pay for college, while 13% of students acquired private loans. The average loans in these categories were $8,295 and $8,986, respectively.Average Amount of College Funds and Sources’ Share for the 2019–2020 Academic Year, April 2020SourceAmountShareScholarships and grants$7,62625%Relatives and friends$4361%Parents’ income and savings$13,07244%Parents’ borrowing$2,5388%Students’ income and savings$2,3038%Students’ borrowing$4,04313%Sallie Mae, June 2020The Impact on Colleges’ FutureThe pandemic largest impact on colleges is their financial condition, especially cash flow. Not only are they collecting less tuition with declining enrollments, but also receiving fewer dollars for parking, dining and other fees and having to refund various student fees.Smaller colleges are most vulnerable, and were prior to the pandemic. According to analysis from Robert Zemsky, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s graduate school of education, approximately 20%, or 200, of private liberal-arts colleges are likely to close.Scott Galloway, a New York University professor, predicted during summer 2020 10% to 20% of colleges could close during the next year. He estimated 129 schools will struggle because of expensive tuition and few endowments.Selected Colleges Expected to Thrive, Struggle, Survive and Be Challenged Based on Multiple Criteria, August 2020Thrive(92 schools)Struggle(129 schools)Survive(128 schools)Challenged (92 schools)Amherst CollegeUniversity of DaytonAuburn UniversityWheaton CollegeCreighton UniversitySeattle UniversityColorado School of MinesSarah Lawrence CollegeTexas Tech UniversityPresbyterian CollegeGeorge Mason UniversityPacific UniversityOregon State UniversityMorehouse CollegeSanta Clara UniversityEarlham CollegeUniversity of South DakotaKalamazoo CollegeUniversity of KentuckyAugustana CollegeScott Galloway, August 2020More Valuable InsightsIn its latest report, Projections of Education Statistics to 2028, the National Center for Education Statistics forecasted a 2% increase in total public and private elementary and secondary school enrollments from fall 2016 to fall 2028, or 57.4 million students.Private school enrollment is projected to increase 3 percent during the period to al total of 6.0 million.The report added 22 states will have fewer students enrolled in public elementary and secondary schools during fall 2028, with 9 states 5% or more and 13 states less than 5 percent fewer. The other 28 states and the District of Columbia are forecast to have more enrolled students during fall 2028 than fall 2016. Fifteen states and the District of Columbia will have 5% or more and 13% will have less than 5% more.Public School Enrollment Trend for Fall 2028, Compared to Fall 2016, by Ethnicity, 2020EthnicityPercent ChangeCaucasian Americans-7%African Americans+1%Latinx Americans+8%Asian/Pacific Islanders+20%American Indian/Alaska Native-7%Two or more races+51%The National Center for Education Statistics, May 2020High School Graduates Trend for 2028–2029 School Year, Compared to 2012–2013 School Year, by Ethnicity, 2020EthnicityPercentChangeCaucasian Americans-15%African Americans-3%Latinx Americans+49%Asian/Pacific Islanders+23%American Indian/Alaska Native-11%Two or more races+199The National Center for Education Statistics, May 2020Sources: Edutopia Website, 11/20; EdChoice Website, 11/20; National Student Clearinghouse Research Center Website, 11/20; Third Way Website, 11/20; Sallie Mae Website, 11/20; Deloitte Website, 11/20; Marketplace Website, 11/20; The College Post Website, 11/20; Professor Scott Galloway Blogsite, 11/20; National Center for Education Statistics Website, 11/20.Updated: November 2020? 2020 Media Group Online, Inc. 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