INVESTMENT BANKING Q1 2020 EDUCATION
[Pages:19]INVESTMENT BANKING
EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY INSIGHT
Early Childhood // K-12 // Higher Education // Corporate // B2C
Q4 2021
IN THIS ISSUE
Market Update
2
About Us
15
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY
EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY INSIGHT
Education Technology M&A & Capital Raising Activity
Number of U.S. Deals by Quarter(1)
Dollar Volume of U.S. Deals by Quarter(1)(2)
Q4 2021
450
400
350
300
250
200
174
150
100
154
50
10
0
10
Q2 '20
411 357
290 269
310
261 195
207 201
153
16 26 Q3 '20
32 36 Q4 '20
39 44 Q1 '21
46 50 Q2 '21
46 55 Q3 '21
Strategic PE - Majority / Sale PE - Minority
387
289
45 53 Q4 '21
387 transactions were announced in Q4 2021, approximately 75% of which were minority PE deals
$20,000 ($ in millions)
$19,480
$18,000 $16,000
$5,430
$14,000 $12,000 $10,000 $8,000
$12,420 $4,810
$13,000
$11,080
$4,960
$6,000
$4,000
$2,000 $0
$1,207 $713 $356 Q2 '20
$3,925
$2,680 $892 $353 Q3 '20
$5,220
$2,390 Q4 '20
$4,691
$3,030 $491 $1,170 Q1 '21
$2,970 Q2 '21
$5,150
$2,880 Q3 '21
Strategic PE - Majority / Sale PE - Minority
$5,510
$3,150 $450 $1,910 Q4 '21
Over $5.5 billion in Q4 2021 in announced transaction value, approximately 65% of which were PE deals
1. Source: PitchBook for the period April 1st 2020 to December 31st 2021. 2. Comprised of deals where the $ amount of investment was disclosed
RAYMOND JAMES INVESTMENT BANKING 2
EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY INSIGHT
Education Technology M&A & Capital Raising Activity
Q4 2021 U.S. Deals by Sector
B2C 2%
Q4 2021 U.S. Deals by Domain
LMS, Classroom & Other Learning Tech
5%
Other 5%
Payments, Tuition Mgmt. &
Commerce 2%
Early Childhood 15%
K-12 45% Corporate 19%
Higher Ed 19%
Admissions & Enrollment
7%
Corporate Learning, Certification & Recruiting
9%
Online Learning 35%
Data Analytics, Assessments & Student
Success 19%
Administrative / School Operations
19%
Q4 2021
Companies focused on the K-12 and Higher Ed markets which comprised ~63% of the transactions announced in Q4 2021
The industry witnessed a focus on Online Learning and Administrative / School Operations domains in Q4 2021, which comprised ~54% of total transactions
Source: Mergermarket; Selected Recent Strategic M&A Activity and Selected Recent Private Equity Activity from the period October 1st to December 31st 2021.
RAYMOND JAMES INVESTMENT BANKING 3
EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY INSIGHT
Q4 2021
Market Valuation Metrics
Education Technology TEV / Revenue(1)(3)
24.0x 20.0x 16.0x 12.0x 8.0x 4.0x 0.0x
20.0x 14.1x
16.6x 12.8x
13.5x 13.0x
13.2x 11.0x
9.0x 8.1x
7.9x 6.7x
7.4x 5.9x
7.2x 5.3x
7.1x 6.8x
7.1x 5.5x
6.8x 6.1x
5.8x 5.3x
2.9x 2.7x
5.1x 4.3x
Docebo Inc. Duolingo, Inc. Tyler Workday, Inc. Instructure Constellation Coursera, Inc. Sylogist Ltd. Oracle
Technologies,
Holdings, Inc. Software Inc.
Corporation
Inc.
2021 2022
ReadyTech PowerSchool Chegg, Inc. Learning
Holdings Holdings, Inc.
Technologies
Limited
Group plc
D2L Inc.
4.6x 4.5x
Blackbaud, Inc.
1.5x 1.3x 2U, Inc.
Education Technology TEV / EBITDA(2)(3)
30.0x 20.0x
26.5x 23.3x
10.0x
25.7x 22.9x
23.4x 21.2x
15.2x 13.6x
21.9x 16.0x
19.1x 15.1x
17.8x 15.1x
17.6x 17.3x
17.3x 15.7x
14.0x 13.8x
0.0x
Constellation Software Instructure Holdings,
Inc.
Inc.
PowerSchool Holdings, Inc.
Learning Technologies Group plc
2U, Inc. 2021
ReadyTech Holdings Limited
2022
Sylogist Ltd.
Blackbaud, Inc.
Chegg, Inc.
Oracle Corporation
Source: CapIQ and Equity Research as of December 31, 2021. 1. Revenue multiples 20.0x are considered Not Meaningful (NM) 2. EBITDA multiples 35.0x are considered Not Meaningful (NM) 3. Omits companies where multiples for both FY2021 and FY2022 are either not available or not meaningful
RAYMOND JAMES INVESTMENT BANKING 4
EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY INSIGHT
Market Valuation Metrics
Education Services TEV / Revenue(1)(3)
4.5x
3.0x
2.8x
2.7x
1.5x
0.0x Tribal Group
2.0x
1.9x
Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
2.1x
2.0x
1.6x
1.5x
John Wiley & Sons 2021 2022
Pearson
1.1x
1.1x
Stride
Q4 2021
0.9x
0.8x
Aspen Group
Education Services TEV / EBITDA(2)(3)
16.0x 8.0x
13.8x
13.4x
9.9x
9.5x
9.1x
8.4x
8.4x
7.9x
7.5x 6.5x
0.0x Tribal Group
John Wiley & Sons
Pearson 2021 2022
Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
Stride
Source: CapIQ and Equity Research as of December 31, 2021. 1. Revenue multiples 20.0x are considered Not Meaningful (NM) 2. EBITDA multiples 35.0x are considered Not Meaningful (NM) 3. Omits companies where multiples for both FY2021 and FY2022 are either not available or not meaningful
RAYMOND JAMES INVESTMENT BANKING 5
EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY INSIGHT
Q4 2021
Public Comparables
Education Technology
Company
Oracle Workday Constellation Software Tyler Technologies Chegg Blackbaud Duolingo PowerSchool Holdings Instructure Coursera Docebo Learning Technologies Group 2U D2L ReadyTech Sylogist
Stock Price 12/31/21
Market Cap
Enterprise Value(1)
$87.21 $237,926 $293,962
273.18
68,905
67,478
1,854.57
39,301
40,092
537.95
22,872
24,064
30.70
4,480
4,419
78.98
3,704
4,225
106.11
4,638
4,098
16.47
2,601
3,741
23.98
3,367
3,689
24.44
3,836
3,041
67.06
2,290
2,078
2.41
1,945
1,924
20.07
1,513
1,425
10.87
606
766
2.84
303
319
10.19
247
238
Mean
Education Technology Median
Revenue(2)
TEV EBITDA(3)
2021E
7.1x 13.2x 7.9x 13.5x 5.8x 4.6x 16.6x 6.8x 9.0x 7.4x 20.0x 2.9x 1.5x 5.1x 7.1x 7.2x 8.5x 7.2x
2022E
6.8x 11.0x 6.7x 13.0x 5.3x 4.5x 12.8x 6.1x 8.1x 5.9x 14.1x 2.7x 1.3x 4.3x 5.5x 5.3x 7.1x 6.0x
2021E
14.0x NM
26.5x NM
17.3x 17.6x
NM 23.4x 25.7x
NM NM 15.2x 21.9x NM 19.1x 17.8x 19.8x 18.5x
2022E
13.8x NM
23.3x NM
15.7x 17.3x
NM 21.2x 22.9x
NM NM 13.6x 16.0x NM 15.1x 15.1x 17.4x 15.8x
Revenue Growth
20A / 21E 21E / 22E
5%
5%
19%
19%
28%
17%
13%
4%
19%
10%
1%
3%
52%
30%
27%
11%
35%
12%
40%
25%
65%
42%
39%
10%
22%
18%
20%
20%
39%
28%
9%
35%
27%
18%
25%
17%
EBITDA Margin(2)
2021E
51% 29% 30% 26% 33% 26% NM 29% 35% NM NM 19% 7% NM 37% 40% 30% 29%
2022E
49% 25% 29% 27% 33% 26% NM 29% 35% NM NM 20% 8% NM 37% 35% 29% 29%
Education Services
Company Pearson John Wiley & Sons Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Stride Tribal Group Aspen Group
Stock Price 12/31/2021
Market Cap
Enterprise Value(1)
$8.30
$6,255
$7,363
57.27
3,178
4,290
16.10
2,062
2,101
33.33
1,381
1,751
1.37
298
296
2.36
59
72
Mean
Education Services Median
TEV
Revenue(2)
EBITDA(3)
2021E
1.6x 2.1x 2.0x 1.1x 2.8x 0.9x 1.8x 1.8x
2022E
1.5x 2.0x 1.9x 1.1x 2.7x 0.8x 1.7x 1.7x
2021E
9.1x 9.9x 8.4x 7.5x 13.8x NM 9.7x 9.1x
2022E
8.4x 9.5x 7.9x 6.5x 13.4x NM 9.1x 8.4x
Revenue Growth
20A / 21E 21E / 22E
1%
4%
10%
6%
0%
5%
24%
3%
7%
3%
22%
12%
11%
5%
8%
4%
EBITDA Margin(2)
2021E
17% 21% 24% 15% 20% NM 20% 20%
2022E
18% 21% 25% 16% 20% 2% 17% 19%
Overall Median
*EBITDA excludes stock-based compensation Source: CapIQ and Equity Research 1. Sorted by Enterprise Value 2. Revenue multiples 20.0x are considered Not Meaningful (NM) 3. EBITDA multiples 35.0x, and EBITDA margins ................
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