Option Analysis Templates
Option Analysis Templates
Establish Criteria
The sum of all the criteria must add up to 1, and for criteria that are broken down into sub-criteria, the sub-criteria also need to add up to 1.
|Criteria |Overall assigned weight of criterion|Sub criteria |Assigned Weight of each |Justification |
| | | |sub-criterion |(Why is this criterion important? Why are the subcriteria |
| | | | |important to evaluating this criterion? Why did you give this |
| | | | |criterion the weight you did?) |
|Effective solution to the Ug99 problem |0.3 | | |A proposal must produce a variety of wheat resistant to Ug99. |
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|A lasting solution to the Ug99 problem |0.2 | | |Resistance should be effective year after year, While experts |
| | | | |acknowledge that any solution will ultimately fail, a project |
| | | | |that yields a longer lasting solution is a better project. |
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|Feasible |0.3 |Uses established techniques |0.4 |It is important to consider whether this project can even be |
| | | | |done. Projects that rely on established scientific techniques, |
| | | | |have the necessary tools and are not unreasonably expensive are |
| | | | |favored. If a project faces too many obstacles it is less likely |
| | | | |to produce successful results. |
| | |Uses available tools (genes, |0.4 | |
| | |equipment, chemicals, facilities, | | |
| | |etc) | | |
| | |Cost |0.2 | |
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|Simplicity of overall plan |0.2 | | |Too many things needing to happen at the same time in one plan |
| | | | |will dramatically reduce the likelihood of success. A plan that |
| | | | |is overly complex will be more likely to fail. |
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Rate Options
Rate each of your options on the criteria/sub-criteria you have identified on a scale of 1 to 5, 1 being the worst and 5 being the best.
|Proposal 1: Emmer |
|Criteria |Sub criteria with weights |Rating for each|Justification for each sub-criterion rating |Total Rating |Total Criteria weight |Total Score |
| | |sub criterion | | | |(multiply total |
| | | | | | |rating by total |
| | | | | | |weight. |
|Effective solution to the | | | |5 |0.3 |1.5 |
|Ug99 problem | | | | | | |
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|A lasting solution to the | | | |3 |0.2 |0.6 |
|Ug99 problem | | | | | | |
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|Feasible |Uses established techniques 0.4 |5 |Standard breeding and selection techniques |(5 x 0.4) + (3 x 0.4) + |0.3 |1.26 |
| | | | |(5 x 0.2) = 4.2 | | |
| |Uses available tools (genes, |3 |Current unavailability of suitable marker | | | |
| |equipment, chemicals, | |genes in emmer | | | |
| |facilities, etc) 0.4 | | | | | |
| |Cost 0.2 |5 |Appropriate | | | |
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|Simplicity of overall plan| | | |4 |0.2 |0.8 |
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|Total Option Score: (Add Total Scores for each criterion) |4.16 |
Summarize Findings:
|The chief obstacle to the proposed research is the (current) unavailability of suitable marker genes in the emmer wheat genome. The breeding program is rational and could in principle succeed, |
|especially if the workers manage to find candidate marker genes. It is possible that emmer may not contain a suitable resistance gene. Success would not last forever. As the fungus evolves |
|greater pathogenicity, the crop could eventually face a “boom and bust” problem. Overall, the proposal is a reasonable one. |
Rate Options
Rate each of your options on the criteria/sub-criteria you have identified on a scale of 1 to 5, 1 being the worst and 5 being the best.
|Proposal 2: Polygene |
|Criteria |Sub criteria with weights |Rating for each|Justification for each sub-criterion rating |Total Rating |Total Criteria weight |Total Score |
| | |sub criterion | | | |(multiply total |
| | | | | | |rating by total |
| | | | | | |weight. |
|Effective solution to the | | | |5 |0.3 |1.5 |
|Ug99 problem | | | | | | |
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|A lasting solution to the | | | |5 |0.2 |1.0 |
|Ug99 problem | | | | | | |
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|Feasible |Uses established techniques 0.4|4 |Polygene approaches are not new—but don’t |(4 x 0.4) + (3 x 0.4) + |0.3 |1.14 |
| | | |always work |(5 x 0.2) = 3.8 | | |
| |Uses available tools (genes, |3 |Current lack of marker genes because desired | | | |
| |equipment, chemicals, | |genes unknown | | | |
| |facilities, etc) 0.4 | | | | | |
| |Cost 0.2 |5 |Appropriate | | | |
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|Simplicity of overall plan| | | |1 |0.2 |0.2 |
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|Total Option Score: (Add Total Scores for each criterion) |3.84 |
Summarize Findings:
|This proposal faces the greatest hurdles. The difficulty of successfully finding and tracking a single resistance gene (as in the Emmer proposal) is considerable; a polygene approach |
|dramatically increases the difficulty as multiple genes must be tracked. In addition, this proposal faces a greater likelihood of introducing undesirable genes that will decrease the quality of |
|the wheat crop. However, the project, if successful, will yield a much longer-lasting solution. Polygene breeding programs do not face the “boom and bust” cycle as would the Emmer project. |
|Although it’s a long shot, this type of program is worth trying. |
Rate Options
Rate each of your options on the criteria/sub-criteria you have identified on a scale of 1 to 5, 1 being the worst and 5 being the best.
|Proposal 3: Leaf Surface |
|Criteria |Sub criteria with weights |Rating for each|Justification for each sub-criterion rating |Total Rating |Total Criteria weight |Total Score |
| | |sub criterion | | | |(multiply total |
| | | | | | |rating by total |
| | | | | | |weight. |
|Effective solution to the | | | |1 |0.3 |0.3 |
|Ug99 problem | | | | | | |
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|A lasting solution to the | | | |1 |0.2 |0.2 |
|Ug99 problem | | | | | | |
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|Feasible |Uses established techniques 0.4|5 |Nothing new here |(5 x 0.4) + (5 x 0.4) + |0.3 |1.5 |
| | | | |(5 x 0.2) = 5 | | |
| |Uses available tools (genes, |5 |Everything is either at hand or included in | | | |
| |equipment, chemicals, | |budget | | | |
| |facilities, etc) 0.4 | | | | | |
| |Cost 0.2 |5 |Appropriate | | | |
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|Simplicity of overall plan| | | |3 |0.2 |0.6 |
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|Total Option Score: (Add Total Scores for each criterion) |2.6 |
Summarize Findings:
|This is by far the weakest of the three proposals. The most obvious problem is that it does not lead to an inherited resistance. At best, it could, if successful, provide a chemical spray |
|treatment that would retard or even prevent infection of the crop from a particular batch of seed. Farmers would have to pretreat seeds or seedlings each year. In the meantime, Ug99 could |
|evolve, becoming a new strain(s) able to grow on wheat with the modified epidermis. There is no guarantee that the workers can succeed in modifying the epidermis. The proposal does have merit |
|in that the work could contribute to our understanding of plant development. |
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