200-Day Moving Averages
Stock Market Indicators: 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
December 8, 2023
Dr. Ed Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
jabbott@
Debbie Johnson
480-664-1333 djohnson@
Mali Quintana
480-664-1333 aquintana@
Please visit our sites at blog.
thinking outside the box
Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
S&P 500 Moving Averages
1-5
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index & 200-dma
6
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index Versus 200-dma 7
200-Day Moving Averages
8-19
December 8, 2023 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
Figure 1.
5500
5000 S&P 500 STOCK PRICE INDEX
4500
(ratio scale, daily)
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
S&P 500 (4604.4)
1500
50-dma (4392.3)
200-dma (4311.2)
1000
5500
5000
12/8
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
-16.0% (70)
-9.8% -7.7% (28) (62)
-5.8% (19)
-12.4% (96)
-10.2% (13)
-6.8% (34)
-9.6% (21)
-25.4% (282)
-56.8% (517)
-19.4% -9.9% -5.8% (157) (60) (34)
-7.4% -13.3% (27) (100)
-19.8% -33.9%
(95)
(32)
-5.2% (32)
500
500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Note: Corrections are declines of 10% or more, but less than 20%, while minor ones are 5%-10% (all in blue shades). Bear markets are declines of 20% or more (in red shades). Number of calendar days in parentheses. Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 2.
30
25
S&P 500 INDEX (as a percent of 200-day moving average)
20
30 Latest (6.8)
25
20
15
15
10
10
12/8
5
5
0
0
-5
-5
-10
-10
-15
-15
-20
-20
-25
-25
-30
-30
-35
-16.0%
-9.8% -7.7% -5.8% -12.4%
-10.2% -6.8% -9.6%
-25.4%
-35
(70)
(28) (62)
(19)
(96)
(13)
(34)
(21)
(282)
-40 -56.8%
-19.4% -9.9% -5.8%
-7.4% -13.3%
-19.8% -33.9%
-5.2%
-40
(517)
(157) (60) (34)
(27)
(100)
(95)
(33)
(32)
-45
-45
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Note: Corrections are declines of 10% or more, while minor ones are 5%-10% (all in blues shades). Bear markets are declines of 20% or more (in red shades). Number of calendar days in parentheses. Source: Standard & Poor's.
Page 1 / December 8, 2023 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Figure 3.
5000
4500
S&P 500
4000 (ratio scale)
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
S&P 500 Moving Averages
5000
12/8
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
S&P 500 Index (4604.37)
1000
50-day moving average (4386.94)
200-day moving average (4299.49)
500
500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 4.
1300
1100
S&P 500 TRANSPORATION INDEX (ratio scale)
900
700
500
1300 1100 12/7 900
700
500
300
300
S&P 500 Transportation (971.92) 50-dma (907.82) 200-dma (942.56)
100
100
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation.
Page 2 / December 8, 2023 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
38000 34000 30000
Figure 5.
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS AVERAGE (ratio scale)
26000
22000
18000
14000
38000 12/8
34000 30000 26000 22000
18000
14000
10000
Dow Jones (36247.87) 50-day moving average (34246.50) 200-day moving average (33971.73)
10000
6000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Source: Haver Analytics.
6000
18000 16000 14000
Figure 6.
DOW JONES TRANSPORTATION AVERAGE (ratio scale)
12000
10000
8000
6000
18000
12/7
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
4000
Dow Jones Transportation Average (15299.29)
50-day moving average (14686.64)
200-day moving average (14827.61)
2000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Source: Haver Analytics.
2000
Page 3 / December 8, 2023 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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