200-Day Moving Averages - Yardeni Research
Stock Market Indicators: 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
February 1, 2022
Dr. Ed Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
732-497-5306 jabbott@
Debbie Johnson
480-664-1333 djohnson@
Mali Quintana
480-664-1333 aquintana@
Please visit our sites at blog.
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Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
S&P 500 Moving Averages
1-5
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index & 200-dma
6
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index Versus 200-dma 7
200-Day Moving Averages
8-12
February 1, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
Figure 1.
5500
5000
S&P 500 BULL & BEAR MARKETS & CORRECTIONS: 2008-2021
4500
(ratio scale, daily)
4000
5500
5000
1/31
4500
4000
3500
3500
3000
3000
2500
2500
2000
2000
S&P 500 (4515.55)
1500
50-dma (4631.14)
1500
200-dma (4436.69)
1000
1000
-16.0% (70)
-9.8% -7.7% (28) (62)
-5.8% (19)
-12.4% (96)
-10.2% (13)
-6.8% (34)
-9.6% (21)
-9.8% (28)
-56.8% (517)
-19.4% -9.9% -5.8% (157) (60) (34)
-7.4% -13.3% (27) (100)
-19.8% -33.9%
(95)
(33)
-5.2% (32)
500
500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Note: Corrections are declines of 10% or more, but less than 20%, while minor ones are 5%-10% (all in blue shades). Bear markets are declines of 20% or more (in red shades). Number of calendar days in parentheses. Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 2.
30
25
S&P 500 INDEX (as a percent of 200-day moving average)
20
30 Latest (1.5)
25
20
15
15
10
10
5
5
0
1/31
0
-5
-5
-10
-10
-15
-15
-20
-20
-25
-25
-30
-30
-35
-16.0%
-9.8% -7.7%
-5.8%
-12.4%
-10.2%
-6.8%
-9.6%
-35
(70)
(28) (62)
(19)
(96)
(13)
(34)
(21)
-40 -56.8% (517)
-19.4% -9.9% -5.8%
(157) (60)
(34)
-7.4% (27)
-13.3% (100)
-19.8% -33.9%
-5.2%
-40
(95)
(33)
(32)
-45
-45
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Note: Corrections are declines of 10% or more, while minor ones are 5%-10% (all in blues shades). Bear markets are declines of 20% or more (in red shades). Number of calendar days in parentheses. Source: Standard & Poor's.
Page 1 / February 1, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
Figure 3.
5000
4500
S&P 500
4000 (ratio scale)
3500
5000
1/31
4500
4000
3500
3000
3000
2500
2500
2000
2000
1500
1500
1000
S&P 500 Index (4515.55)
1000
50-day moving average (4632.32)
200-day moving average (4436.69)
500
500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 4.
1300
1100
S&P 500 TRANSPORATION INDEX (ratio scale)
900
700
500
1300
1/31
1100
900
700
500
300
300
S&P 500 Transportation (1064.20) 50-dma (1091.20) 200-dma (1066.68)
100
100
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation.
Page 2 / February 1, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
38000 34000 30000
Figure 5.
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS AVERAGE (ratio scale)
38000
1/31
34000
30000
26000
26000
22000
22000
18000
18000
14000
14000
10000
Dow Jones (35131.86) 50-day moving average (35529.23) 200-day moving average (34981.09)
10000
6000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Haver Analytics.
2012 2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021 2022
2023 2024
6000
18000 16000 14000
Figure 6.
DOW JONES TRANSPORTATION INDEX (ratio scale)
12000
10000
8000
6000
18000
1/31
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
4000
Dow Jones Transporation Index (15282.83)
50-day moving average (16029.83)
200-day moving average (15335.60)
2000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Haver Analytics.
2012 2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021 2022
2023 2024
2000
Page 3 / February 1, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
17000 15000 13000
Figure 7.
NASDAQ (ratio scale)
17000
1/31
15000
13000
11000
11000
9000
9000
7000
7000
5000
5000
3000
3000
Nasdaq (14239.88) 50-dma (15148.07) 200-dma (14728.75)
1000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Haver Analytics.
2012 2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021 2022
2023 2024
1000
55000 45000
Figure 8.
WILSHIRE 5000 (ratio scale)
35000
25000
55000
1/31
45000
35000
25000
15000
15000
Wilshire 5000 (45416.47) 50-day moving average (47112.11) 200-day moving average (45951.67)
5000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Haver Analytics.
2012 2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021 2022
2023 2024
5000
Page 4 / February 1, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
Figure 9.
3200
2800 S&P 400 (ratio scale)
2400
3200
2800 1/26
2400
2000
2000
1600
1600
1200
1200
800
800
S&P 400 (2569.53)
50-day moving average (2705.44)
200-day moving average (2122.21)
400
400
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 10.
1550
1350 S&P 600 (ratio scale)
1150 950
750
550
1550 1350 1/26 1150 950
750
550
350
350
S&P 600 (1277.61) 50-day moving average (1354.50) 200-day moving average (1053.18)
150
150
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Standard & Poor's.
Page 5 / February 1, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index & 200-dma
Figure 11.
5400
4600 3800
S&P 500*
3000 (price indexes)
2200
1/31
HEALTH CARE
2225
1825
1/31
1425
1025
625 1400
600 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
325
275 COMMUNICATION SERVICES
1/31
225
175
125
225
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1125
INDUSTRIALS
1/31
925
725
525
325
75
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
2500
1900 1300
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
1/31
700
125
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
4175
1/31
3375 2575
1775
975
100
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
925
800 675
CONSUMER STAPLES
1/31
550
425
300
175 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
700
MATERIALS
1/31
500
300
175 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1150
950 ENERGY
750
550
1/31
350
100
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
390
REAL ESTATE
1/31
320
250
180
110
150
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1075
875 675
FINANCIALS
1/31
475
275
Includes Real Estate through September 2016
75 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
200-day moving average * S&P 500 sector price indexes on ratio scales.
Source: Haver Analytics and Standard & Poor's Corporation.
Page 6 / February 1, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
40
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
400
UTILITIES
1/31
325
250
175
100
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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