200-Day Moving Averages - Yardeni Research
Stock Market Indicators: 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
December 9, 2022
Dr. Ed Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
jabbott@
Debbie Johnson
480-664-1333 djohnson@
Mali Quintana
480-664-1333 aquintana@
Please visit our sites at blog.
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Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
S&P 500 Moving Averages
1-5
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index & 200-dma
6
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index Versus 200-dma 7
200-Day Moving Averages
8-15
December 9, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
Figure 1.
5500
5000 S&P 500 STOCK PRICE INDEX
4500
(ratio scale, daily)
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
S&P 500 (3934.4)
1500
50-dma (3849.2)
200-dma (4026.7)
1000
5500 5000 4500
12/9
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
-16.0% (70)
-9.8% -7.7% (28) (62)
-5.8% (19)
-12.4% (96)
-10.2% (13)
-6.8% (34)
-9.6% (21)
-25.4% (282)
-56.8% (517)
-19.4% -9.9% -5.8% (157) (60) (34)
-7.4% -13.3% (27) (100)
-19.8% -33.9%
(95)
(32)
-5.2% (32)
500
500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Note: Corrections are declines of 10% or more, but less than 20%, while minor ones are 5%-10% (all in blue shades). Bear markets are declines of 20% or more (in red shades). Number of calendar days in parentheses. Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 2.
30
25
S&P 500 INDEX (as a percent of 200-day moving average)
20
30 Latest (-2.3)
25
20
15
15
10
10
5
5
0
0
12/9
-5
-5
-10
-10
-15
-15
-20
-20
-25
-25
-30
-30
-35
-16.0%
-9.8% -7.7% -5.8% -12.4%
-10.2% -6.8% -9.6% -18.0%
-35
(70)
(28) (62)
(19)
(96)
(13)
(34)
(21)
(128)
-40 -56.8%
-19.4% -9.9% -5.8%
-7.4% -13.3%
-19.8% -33.9%
-5.2%
-40
(517)
(157) (60) (34)
(27)
(100)
(95)
(33)
(32)
-45
-45
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Note: Corrections are declines of 10% or more, while minor ones are 5%-10% (all in blues shades). Bear markets are declines of 20% or more (in red shades). Number of calendar days in parentheses. Source: Standard & Poor's.
Page 1 / December 9, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Figure 3.
5000
4500
S&P 500
4000 (ratio scale)
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
S&P 500 Moving Averages
5000
4500
12/9
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
S&P 500 Index (3934.38)
1000
50-day moving average (3840.40)
200-day moving average (4037.43)
500
500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 4.
1300
1100
S&P 500 TRANSPORATION INDEX (ratio scale)
900
700
500
1300
1100
12/9
900
700
500
300
300
S&P 500 Transportation (928.15) 50-dma (890.97) 200-dma (963.65)
100
100
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation.
Page 2 / December 9, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
38000 34000 30000
Figure 5.
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS AVERAGE (ratio scale)
26000
22000
18000
14000
38000
12/9
34000
30000
26000
22000
18000
14000
10000
Dow Jones (33476.46) 50-day moving average (32194.22) 200-day moving average (32459.19)
10000
6000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Haver Analytics.
2012 2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021 2022
2023 2024
6000
18000 16000 14000
Figure 6.
DOW JONES TRANSPORTATION INDEX (ratio scale)
12000
10000
8000
6000
18000 16000
12/9
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
4000
Dow Jones Transporation Index (13762.82)
50-day moving average (13489.98)
200-day moving average (14140.19)
2000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Haver Analytics.
2012 2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021 2022
2023 2024
2000
Page 3 / December 9, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
17000 15000 13000
11000
Figure 7.
NASDAQ (ratio scale)
9000
7000
5000
S&P 500 Moving Averages
17000 15000 13000
12/9
11000
9000
7000
5000
3000
3000
Nasdaq (11004.62) 50-dma (10921.95) 200-dma (11967.18)
1000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Haver Analytics.
2012 2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021 2022
2023 2024
1000
55000 45000
Figure 8.
WILSHIRE 5000 (ratio scale)
35000
25000
55000 45000 12/8 35000
25000
15000
15000
Wilshire 5000 (39313.43) 50-day moving average (38233.57) 200-day moving average (40380.08)
5000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Haver Analytics.
2012 2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021 2022
2023 2024
5000
Page 4 / December 9, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Figure 9.
3200
2800 S&P 400 (ratio scale)
2400 2000
1600
1200
S&P 500 Moving Averages
3200
2800
12/9
2400
2000
1600
1200
800
800
S&P 400 (2469.58)
50-day moving average (2415.29)
200-day moving average (2465.97)
400
400
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 10.
1550
1350 S&P 600 (ratio scale)
1150 950
750
550
1550
1350
12/9
1150
950
750
550
350
350
S&P 600 (1186.62) 50-day moving average (1171.32) 200-day moving average (1206.82)
150
150
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Standard & Poor's.
Page 5 / December 9, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index & 200-dma
Figure 11.
7000
6000
S&P 500*
5000 (price indexes)
4000
12/9
3000
2000
HEALTH CARE
1800
12/9
1600
1400
1200
1000
2000
2020 425
2021
2022
2023
2024
375 COMMUNICATION SERVICES
325
275
225
175
12/9
125
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2400
2100 CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
1800
1500
1200 12/9
900
2020
2021
INDUSTRIALS
2022
2023
12/9
2020
2021
2022
2023
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
12/9
2024
800 1200 1000 800
600
2024
400 5000 4000 3000
2000
600 1000
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
900 CONSUMER STAPLES
800
12/9
700
600
500
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
1150
950 ENERGY
750
12/9 550
350
2020
2021
MATERIALS
2020
2021
REAL ESTATE
2022
2023
12/9
2022
2023
12/9
2024 2024
1000 800 700 600 500 400
300
200 400 350 300 250
200
150
2020
2021
950
850 750
FINANCIALS
650
550
450
350
2022
2023
12/9
250 2020
2021
2022
2023
200-day moving average * S&P 500 sector price indexes on ratio scales.
Source: Haver Analytics and Standard & Poor's.
2024 2024
2020
2021
UTILITIES
2020
2021
2022
2023
12/9
150 2024
475 425
375
325
2022
2023
275
225
2024
Page 6 / December 9, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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