200-Day Moving Averages - Yardeni Research
Stock Market Indicators: 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
May 22, 2020
Dr. Ed Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
732-497-5306 jabbott@
Debbie Johnson
480-664-1333 djohnson@
Mali Quintana
480-664-1333 aquintana@
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Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
S&P 500 Moving Averages
1-2
Dow & Nasdaq Moving Averages
3
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index & 200-dma
4
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index Versus 200-dma 5
200-Day Moving Averages
6-7
52-Day Moving Averages
8-9
May 22, 2020 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
Figure 1.
3750
3500 3250 3000
S&P 500 BULL & BEAR MARKETS & CORRECTIONS: 2008-2020 (daily ratio scale)
2750
2500
2250
3750 3500
3250
5/22
3000
2750
2500
2250
2000
2000
1750
1750
1500
1500
1250
1250
1000
1000
750
750
-16.0% (70)
-9.8% -7.7% (28) (62)
-5.8% (19)
-12.4% (96)
-10.2% (13)
-6.8% (34)
-56.8% (517)
-19.4% -9.9% -5.8%
(157) (60)
(34)
-7.4% (27)
-13.3% (100)
-19.8% (95)
-33.9% (33)
500
500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Note: Corrections are declines of 10% or more, but less than 20%, while minor ones are 5%-10% (all in blue shades). Bear markets are declines of 20% or more (in red shades). Number of calendar days in parentheses. Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 2.
30
S&P 500 INDEX 25 (as a percent of 200-day moving average)
20
15
30
25
Latest (-1.8)
20
15
10
10
5
5
0
0
5/22
-5
-5
-10
-10
-15
-15
-20
-20
-25
-25
-30
-30
-35
-35
-40
-40
-45
-45
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: Standard & Poor's.
Page 1 / May 22, 2020 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
Figure 3.
900
S&P 500 TRANSPORTATION INDEX 800 (ratio scale)
700 600 500
400
300
900 800 700 5/22 600 500
400
300
200
200
S&P 500 Transportation Index (630.61)
50-day moving average (589.42)
200-day moving average (716.99)
100
100
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation.
34000 30000
Figure 4.
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS AVERAGE (ratio scale)
26000
22000
18000
14000
34000 30000 26000 5/22 22000
18000
14000
10000
Dow Jones (24465.16) 50-day moving average (22919.36) 200-day moving average (26312.50)
10000
6000
2008 2009
2010
Source: Haver Analytics.
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
6000
Page 2 / May 22, 2020 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Dow & Nasdaq Moving Averages
12000 10000
Figure 5.
DOW JONES TRANSPORTATION INDEX (ratio scale)
12000 10000
8000
5/22 8000
6000
6000
4000
4000
Dow Jones Transporation Index (8470.09) 50-day moving average (7894.95) 200-day moving average (9840.67)
2000
2008 2009
2010
Source: Haver Analytics.
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2000
10000 9000 8000 7000
6000
Figure 6.
NASDAQ (ratio scale)
5000
4000
3000
10000
5/22
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
Nasdaq (9324.59)
2000
50-day moving average (8284.27)
200-day moving average (8496.36)
1000
2008 2009
2010
Source: Haver Analytics.
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
1000
Page 3 / May 22, 2020 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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