Dow Jones Indexes Commodity Index Pre-Roll Analysis
Dow Jones Indexes Commodity Index Pre-Roll Analysis
Dow Jones Indexes Analytics & Research
Summary
Commodity Crude Oil Unleaded Gas Heating Oil Natural Gas Energy Subtotal Corn Soybeans Wheat Coffee Cotton Sugar Soybean Oil Agriculture Subtotal Aluminum Copper Nickel Zinc Industrial Metals Subtotal Gold Silver Precious Metals Subtotal Lean Hogs Live Cattle Livestock Subtotal Total
Current Index Weight
13.71% 3.80% 4.07% 9.95%
31.52% 8.02% 7.66% 4.16% 2.75% 1.40% 3.05% 2.79%
29.84% 4.74% 6.79% 1.87% 2.43%
15.83% 13.06%
4.40% 17.45%
2.00% 3.35% 5.35% 100.00%
Roll Yield Analysis
Roll
30-Day
Contract
Roll Yield
NO
N/A
NO
N/A
NO
N/A
NO
N/A
Post-Roll Contract
30-Day Average
Open
Trading Volume
Interest
121,512
186,308
41,067
41,965
35,514
43,118
65,393
193,442
NO NO NO NO NO YES NO
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.43% N/A
167,695 55,699 42,348 10,462 8,738 21,449 24,383
743,717 360,735 218,181
75,011 92,824 175,475 160,290
NO
N/A
21,896
48,071
NO
N/A
3,196
76,873
NO
N/A
2,802
7,267
NO
N/A
9,541
29,657
NO
N/A
30,252
340,586
NO
N/A
26,788
77,493
YES YES
1.57% -0.81%
2,379 3,441
88,989 103,798
Roll Yield Analysis
Current
Roll
30-Day
Commodity
Index Weight
Contract
Roll Yield
Brent Crude*
N/A
YES
-0.08%
Cocoa*
N/A
NO
N/A
Feeder Cattle*
N/A
YES
0.21%
Gas Oil*
N/A
NO
N/A
Lead*
N/A
NO
N/A
Orange Juice*
N/A
NO
N/A
Platinum*
N/A
YES
0.02%
Soybean Meal*
N/A
NO
N/A
Tin*
N/A
NO
N/A
*Maintained as a single subindex (e.g., not a direct subset of the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index)
Post-Roll Contract
30-Day Average
Open
Trading Volume
Interest
45,259
40,192
10,372
68,679
120
3,879
38,455
70,493
5,405
8,572
1,065
17,791
819
4,439
19,528
122,142
434
1,449
Data as of September 1, 2011. Sources: Dow Jones Indexes; Bloomberg.
Highlights for the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index as of September 1, 2011
This month's roll period will take place from Wednesday, September 7 to Tuesday, September 13. The next monthly roll period will take place from Friday, October 7 to Thursday, October 13.
This month, only Sugar, Lean Hogs and Live Cattle are rolling within the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index. All other commodities are currently positioned in Nov-2011 futures contracts or later.
The largest price increases in component futures contracts over the last 30 days come from Coffee (+18.1%), Gold (+12.8%), Corn (+7.7%), Silver (+5.6%), Wheat (+5.6%) and Soybeans (+5.3%).
The largest price decreases in component futures contracts over the last 30 days come from Nickel (-11.2%), Zinc (-8.4%), Crude Oil (-6.8%), Aluminum (6.4%), Lean Hogs (-6.4%) and Copper (-6.1%).
David Krein | Senior Director, Product Development & Analytics | (609) 520-4107 | david.krein@ Jeffrey Fernandez | Project Manager | (609) 520-5630 | jeffrey.fernandez@
Dow Jones Indexes Commodity Index Pre-Roll Analysis
Dow Jones Indexes Analytics & Research
Crude Oil
30-Day Average Trading Volume 105.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 400,000
100.0
350,000 300,000
Price
95.0
250,000
200,000
90.0
150,000
100,000 85.0
50,000
80.0
0
Volume / Open Interest
Crude Oil
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 #N/A 88.93 89.24 89.62 89.94 90.22 90.48 90.71 90.92 91.13 91.21 91.37
30-Day Average Trading Volume
#N/A 338,268 121,512
59,815 59,305 12,335
8,395 7,846 5,268 8,746 13,719 2,608
Open Interest #N/A
285,769 186,308 210,088
91,741 32,477 40,595 27,191 26,646 78,470 34,522 16,235
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
9 99 99
Pre-Roll Future: Nov-2011 Post-Roll Future: Nov-2011
Current Weight: 13.71% Contract Size: 1,000 barrels
Contract Value: $89,240 Next Future: Jan-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: USD/barrel
Next Roll Date: Nov-2011
Price
Unleaded Gas
30-Day Average Trading Volume 320.0 300.0 280.0 260.0 240.0 220.0 200.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0
Volume / Open Interest
Unleaded Gas
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 #N/A 289.27 283.72 280.60 279.86 280.52 281.21 291.86 291.10 288.42 287.28 285.02
30-Day Average Trading Volume
#N/A 40,394 41,067 17,351 12,845
4,490 1,327 1,060
571 386 1,087 210
Open Interest #N/A
81,367 41,965 44,516 26,326
8,582 12,147
6,659 3,604 12,420 1,012
413
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
9 99 99
Pre-Roll Future: Nov-2011 Post-Roll Future: Nov-2011
Current Weight: 3.80% Contract Size: 42,000 gal
Contract Value: $119,162 Next Future: Jan-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: U.S. cents/gallon
Next Roll Date: Nov-2011
Heating Oil
30-Day Average Trading Volume 320.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 120,000
Price
310.0 300.0 290.0 280.0 270.0 260.0
100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000
250.0
0
Sources: Dow Jones Indexes; Bloomberg.
Volume / Open Interest
Heating Oil
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 #N/A 305.18 306.08 306.93 307.84 307.43 306.11 303.69 303.52 300.49 302.72 303.27
30-Day Average Trading Volume
#N/A 42,520 35,514 13,322 13,603
6,713 2,007 1,444
695 635 1,781 335
Open Interest #N/A
95,937 43,118 52,718 32,253 11,589 10,102
5,617 5,609 27,710 2,589 1,302
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
9 99 99
Pre-Roll Future: Nov-2011 Post-Roll Future: Nov-2011
Current Weight: 4.07% Contract Size: 42,000 gallons
Contract Value: $128,554 Next Future: Jan-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: U.S. cents/gallon
Next Roll Date: Nov-2011
David Krein | Senior Director, Product Development & Analytics | (609) 520-4107 | david.krein@ Jeffrey Fernandez | Project Manager | (609) 520-5630 | jeffrey.fernandez@
Dow Jones Indexes Commodity Index Pre-Roll Analysis
Dow Jones Indexes Analytics & Research
Price
Natural Gas
30-Day Average Trading Volume 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0
Volume / Open Interest
Natural Gas
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 #N/A 4.05 4.17 4.38 4.50 4.50 4.47 4.44 4.47 4.51 4.56 4.58
30-Day Average Trading Volume
#N/A 104,948
65,393 41,175 21,821 18,453
7,095 6,864 7,663 1,643
931 815
Open Interest #N/A
186,351 193,442
83,686 157,056
36,253 44,707 75,733 17,168 13,409 10,716 10,000
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
9 99 99
Pre-Roll Future: Nov-2011 Post-Roll Future: Nov-2011
Current Weight: 9.95% Contract Size: 10,000 mmbtu
Contract Value: $41,660 Next Future: Jan-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: USD/mmbtu
Next Roll Date: Nov-2011
Corn
30-Day Average Trading Volume 800.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 800,000
750.0 700.0
700,000 600,000 500,000
Price
650.0
400,000
600.0 550.0
300,000 200,000 100,000
500.0
0
Volume / Open Interest
Corn
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 728.75 #N/A #N/A 738.50 #N/A #N/A 750.75 #N/A 756.50 #N/A 760.00 #N/A
30-Day Average Trading Volume
73,304 #N/A #N/A
167,695 #N/A #N/A
22,178 #N/A 5,453 #N/A 7,802 #N/A
Open Interest 12,208 #N/A #N/A
743,717 #N/A #N/A
203,812 #N/A
45,473 #N/A
83,449 #N/A
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
99 999
Pre-Roll Future: Dec-2011 Post-Roll Future: Dec-2011
Current Weight: 8.02% Contract Size: 5,000 bushels
Contract Value: $36,925 Next Future: Mar-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: U.S. cents/bushel
Next Roll Date: Dec-2011
Soybeans
30-Day Average Trading Volume 1,500.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 400,000
1,450.0 1,400.0
350,000 300,000 250,000
Price
1,350.0
200,000
1,300.0 1,250.0
150,000 100,000 50,000
1,200.0
0
Sources: Dow Jones Indexes; Bloomberg.
Volume / Open Interest
Soybeans
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 1,424.75 #N/A 1,434.50 #N/A 1,445.25 #N/A 1,449.75 #N/A 1,446.25 #N/A 1,450.25 1,449.00
30-Day Average Trading Volume
11,993 #N/A
55,699 #N/A
56,754 #N/A 9,608 #N/A 5,795 #N/A 4,753 1,486
Open Interest 5,673 #N/A
360,735 #N/A
73,761 #N/A
48,638 #N/A
49,451 #N/A
29,995 696
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
9 99 99
Pre-Roll Future: Nov-2011 Post-Roll Future: Nov-2011
Current Weight: 7.66% Contract Size: 5000 bu
Contract Value: $71,725 Next Future: Jan-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: U.S. cents/bushel
Next Roll Date: Nov-2011
David Krein | Senior Director, Product Development & Analytics | (609) 520-4107 | david.krein@ Jeffrey Fernandez | Project Manager | (609) 520-5630 | jeffrey.fernandez@
Dow Jones Indexes Commodity Index Pre-Roll Analysis
Dow Jones Indexes Analytics & Research
Wheat
30-Day Average Trading Volume 850.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 250,000
800.0 750.0 700.0
200,000 150,000
Price
650.0 600.0 550.0
100,000 50,000
500.0
0
Volume / Open Interest
Wheat
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 715.50 #N/A #N/A 761.00 #N/A #N/A 797.50 #N/A 812.00 #N/A 814.50 #N/A
30-Day Average Trading Volume
39,081 #N/A #N/A
42,348 #N/A #N/A 7,549 #N/A 1,550 #N/A 2,946 #N/A
Open Interest 2,090 #N/A #N/A
218,181 #N/A #N/A
79,971 #N/A
16,658 #N/A
53,947 #N/A
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
99 999
Pre-Roll Future: Dec-2011 Post-Roll Future: Dec-2011
Current Weight: 4.16% Contract Size: 5,000 bushel
Contract Value: $38,050 Next Future: Mar-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: U.S. cents/bushel
Next Roll Date: Dec-2011
Price
Coffee
30-Day Average Trading Volume 300.0 290.0 280.0 270.0 260.0 250.0 240.0 230.0 220.0 210.0 200.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0
Volume / Open Interest
Coffee
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 290.70 #N/A #N/A 289.75 #N/A #N/A 292.05 #N/A 291.85 #N/A 290.05 #N/A
30-Day Average Trading Volume
8,807 #N/A #N/A 10,462 #N/A #N/A 2,003 #N/A
518 #N/A
163 #N/A
Open Interest 341
#N/A #N/A 75,011 #N/A #N/A 19,473 #N/A 8,577 #N/A 2,678 #N/A
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
99 999
Pre-Roll Future: Dec-2011 Post-Roll Future: Dec-2011
Current Weight: 2.75% Contract Size: 37,500 lbs
Contract Value: $108,656 Next Future: Mar-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: U.S. cents/pound
Next Roll Date: Dec-2011
Price
Cotton
30-Day Average Trading Volume 107.0 106.0 105.0 104.0 103.0 102.0 101.0 100.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0
Sources: Dow Jones Indexes; Bloomberg.
Volume / Open Interest
Cotton
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 #N/A 106.08 #N/A 105.78 #N/A #N/A 103.13 #N/A 102.23 #N/A 101.48 #N/A
30-Day Average Trading Volume
#N/A 53
#N/A 8,738 #N/A #N/A 2,282 #N/A
490 #N/A
290 #N/A
Open Interest #N/A 433 #N/A
92,824 #N/A #N/A
35,032 #N/A 6,424 #N/A 9,387 #N/A
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
99 999
Pre-Roll Future: Dec-2011 Post-Roll Future: Dec-2011
Current Weight: 1.40% Contract Size: 50,000 lbs
Contract Value: $52,890 Next Future: Mar-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: U.S. cents/pound
Next Roll Date: Dec-2011
David Krein | Senior Director, Product Development & Analytics | (609) 520-4107 | david.krein@ Jeffrey Fernandez | Project Manager | (609) 520-5630 | jeffrey.fernandez@
Dow Jones Indexes Commodity Index Pre-Roll Analysis
Dow Jones Indexes Analytics & Research
Sugar
30-Day Average Trading Volume 32.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 300,000
30.0
250,000
28.0
200,000
Price
26.0
150,000
24.0
100,000
22.0
50,000
20.0
0
Volume / Open Interest
Sugar
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 #N/A 29.59 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 28.73 #N/A 27.25 #N/A 26.00 #N/A
30-Day Average Trading Volume
#N/A 44,453
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 21,449 #N/A 6,696 #N/A 4,458 #N/A
Open Interest #N/A
239,666 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
175,475 #N/A
45,366 #N/A
64,889 #N/A
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
99999
Pre-Roll Future: Oct-2011 Post-Roll Future: Mar-2012
Current Weight: 3.05% Contract Size: 112,000 lbs
Contract Value: $32,178 Next Future: Mar-2012
Roll Contract: YES 30-Day Roll Yield: -0.43%
Price Quote: U.S. cents/pound
Next Roll Date: Oct-2011
Price
Soybean Oil
30-Day Average Trading Volume 60.0 59.0 58.0 57.0 56.0 55.0 54.0 53.0 52.0 51.0 50.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0
Volume / Open Interest
Soybean Oil
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 57.71 57.85 #N/A 58.23 58.42 #N/A 58.53 #N/A 58.52 #N/A 58.63 59.28
30-Day Average Trading Volume
11,330 14,717
#N/A 24,383 28,663
#N/A 2,784 #N/A 1,703 #N/A 1,148
403
Open Interest 3,864
38,325 #N/A
160,290 30,570 #N/A 24,513 #N/A 16,110 #N/A 8,744 697
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
9 99 99
Pre-Roll Future: Dec-2011 Post-Roll Future: Dec-2011
Current Weight: 2.79% Contract Size: 60,000 lbs
Contract Value: $34,938 Next Future: Jan-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: U.S. cents/pound
Next Roll Date: Nov-2011
Price
Aluminum
30-Day Average Trading Volume 2,750.0 2,700.0 2,650.0 2,600.0 2,550.0 2,500.0 2,450.0 2,400.0
Open Interest
Price as of 9/1/2011
Price as of 8/1/2011 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0
Sources: Dow Jones Indexes; Bloomberg.
Volume / Open Interest
Aluminum
Contract Month Sep-2011 Oct-2011 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 Mar-2012 Apr-2012 May-2012 Jun-2012 Jul-2012 Aug-2012
Price as of 9/1/2011 2,439.75 2,452.25 2,464.00 2,477.25 2,486.25 2,494.25 2,499.25 2,504.50 2,512.50 2,520.00 2,526.25 2,532.25
30-Day Average Trading Volume
25,752 26,279 21,896 21,005 15,405
4,679 4,771 3,222
569 2,055 1,200
725
Open Interest 49,882 43,211 48,071 94,791 40,341 39,345 33,209 11,602 9,636 24,859 5,801 7,869
Pre-Roll Contract for Forward Months
F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
9 99 99
Pre-Roll Future: Nov-2011 Post-Roll Future: Nov-2011
Current Weight: 4.74% Contract Size: 25 metric tons
Contract Value: $61,600 Next Future: Jan-2012
Roll Contract: NO 30-Day Roll Yield: N/A
Price Quote: USD/metric ton
Next Roll Date: Nov-2011
David Krein | Senior Director, Product Development & Analytics | (609) 520-4107 | david.krein@ Jeffrey Fernandez | Project Manager | (609) 520-5630 | jeffrey.fernandez@
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