200-Day Moving Averages - Yardeni Research
Stock Market Indicators: 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
October 5, 2022
Dr. Ed Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Joe Abbott
jabbott@
Debbie Johnson
480-664-1333 djohnson@
Mali Quintana
480-664-1333 aquintana@
Please visit our sites at blog.
thinking outside the box
Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
S&P 500 Moving Averages
1-5
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index & 200-dma
6
S&P 500 Sectors Stock Price Index Versus 200-dma 7
200-Day Moving Averages
8-15
October 5, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
Figure 1.
5500
5000 S&P 500 STOCK PRICE INDEX
4500
(ratio scale, daily)
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
S&P 500 (3790.9)
1500
50-dma (4002.6)
200-dma (4184.2)
1000
5500 5000 4500 4000 10/4 3500 3000 2500
2000
1500
1000
-16.0% (70)
-9.8% -7.7% (28) (62)
-5.8% (19)
-12.4% (96)
-10.2% (13)
-6.8% (34)
-9.6% (21)
-24.0% (267)
-56.8% (517)
-19.4% -9.9% -5.8% (157) (60) (34)
-7.4% -13.3% (27) (100)
-19.8% -33.9%
(95)
(32)
-5.2% (32)
500
500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Note: Corrections are declines of 10% or more, but less than 20%, while minor ones are 5%-10% (all in blue shades). Bear markets are declines of 20% or more (in red shades). Number of calendar days in parentheses. Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 2.
30
25
S&P 500 INDEX (as a percent of 200-day moving average)
20
30 Latest (-9.4)
25
20
15
15
10
10
5
5
0
0
-5
-5
-10
10/4
-10
-15
-15
-20
-20
-25
-25
-30
-30
-35
-16.0%
-9.8% -7.7% -5.8% -12.4%
-10.2% -6.8% -9.6% -18.0%
-35
(70)
(28) (62)
(19)
(96)
(13)
(34)
(21)
(128)
-40 -56.8%
-19.4% -9.9% -5.8%
-7.4% -13.3%
-19.8% -33.9%
-5.2%
-40
(517)
(157) (60) (34)
(27)
(100)
(95)
(33)
(32)
-45
-45
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Note: Corrections are declines of 10% or more, while minor ones are 5%-10% (all in blues shades). Bear markets are declines of 20% or more (in red shades). Number of calendar days in parentheses. Source: Standard & Poor's.
Page 1 / October 5, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
Figure 3.
5000
4500
S&P 500
4000 (ratio scale)
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
S&P 500 Moving Averages
5000 4500 4000 10/4 3500 3000 2500
2000
1500
1000
S&P 500 Index (3790.93)
1000
50-day moving average (4002.49)
200-day moving average (4203.49)
500
500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Standard & Poor's.
Figure 4.
1300
1100
S&P 500 TRANSPORATION INDEX (ratio scale)
900
700
500
1300 1100
10/4
900
700
500
300
300
S&P 500 Transportation (866.70) 50-dma (960.70) 200-dma (1009.78)
100
100
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation.
Page 2 / October 5, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
S&P 500 Moving Averages
38000 34000 30000
Figure 5.
DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS AVERAGE (ratio scale)
26000
22000
18000
14000
38000
34000
10/4
30000
26000
22000
18000
14000
10000
Dow Jones (30316.32) 50-day moving average (31840.04) 200-day moving average (33147.86)
10000
6000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Haver Analytics.
2012 2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021 2022
2023 2024
6000
18000 16000 14000
Figure 6.
DOW JONES TRANSPORTATION INDEX (ratio scale)
12000
10000
8000
6000
18000 16000 14000 10/4 12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
4000
Dow Jones Transporation Index (12918.37)
50-day moving average (13871.64)
200-day moving average (14614.47)
2000
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Haver Analytics.
2012 2013 2014
2015 2016
2017 2018
2019 2020
2021 2022
2023 2024
2000
Page 3 / October 5, 2022 / 200-Day Moving Averages
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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