Year-to-date and Q3 2019 results - AstraZeneca

[Pages:35]Year-to-date and Q3 2019 results

Conference call and webcast for investors and analysts

24 October 2019

Forward-looking statements

In order, among other things, to utilise the 'safe harbour' provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act 1995, we are providing the following cautionary statement: this document contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the operations, performance and financial condition of the Group, including, among other things, statements about expected revenues, margins, earnings per share or other financial or other measures. Although we believe our expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, any forwardlooking statements, by their very nature, involve risks and uncertainties and may be influenced by factors that could cause actual outcomes and results to be materially different from those predicted. The forward-looking statements reflect knowledge and information available at the date of preparation of this document and AstraZeneca undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. We identify the forward-looking statements by using the words 'anticipates', 'believes', 'expects', 'intends' and similar expressions in such statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements, certain of which are beyond our control, include, among other things: the loss or expiration of, or limitations to, patents, marketing exclusivity or trademarks, or the risk of failure to obtain and enforce patent protection; effects of patent litigation in respect of IP rights; the impact of any delays in the manufacturing, distribution and sale of any of our products; the impact of any failure by third parties to supply materials or services; the risk of failure of outsourcing; the risks associated with manufacturing biologics; the risk that R&D will not yield new products that achieve commercial success; the risk of delay to new product launches; the risk that new products do not perform as we expect; the risk that strategic alliances and acquisitions, including licensing and collaborations, will be unsuccessful; the risks from pressures resulting from generic competition; the impact of competition, price controls and price reductions; the risks associated with developing our business in emerging markets; the risk of illegal trade in our products; the difficulties of obtaining and maintaining regulatory approvals for products; the risk that regulatory approval processes for biosimilars could have an adverse effect on future commercial prospects; the risk of failure to successfully implement planned cost reduction measures through productivity initiatives and restructuring programmes; the risk of failure of critical processes affecting business continuity; economic, regulatory and political pressures to limit or reduce the cost of our products; failure to achieve strategic priorities or to meet targets or expectations; the risk of substantial adverse litigation/government investigation claims and insufficient insurance coverage; the risk of substantial product liability claims; the risk of failure to adhere to applicable laws, rules and regulations; the risk of failure to adhere to applicable laws, rules and regulations relating to anti-competitive behaviour; the impact of increasing implementation and enforcement of more stringent antibribery and anti-corruption legislation; taxation risks; exchange rate fluctuations; the risk of an adverse impact of a sustained economic downturn; political and socio-economic conditions; the risk of environmental liabilities; the risk of occupational health and safety liabilities; the risk associated with pensions liabilities; the impact of failing to attract and retain key personnel and to successfully engage with our employees; the risk of misuse of social medial platforms and new technology; and the risk of failure of information technology and cybercrime. Nothing in this presentation / webcast should be construed as a profit forecast.

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Presenters

Pascal Soriot

Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer

Marc Dunoyer

Executive Director and Chief Financial Officer

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Dave Fredrickson

Executive Vice President, Oncology Business Unit

Jos? Baselga

Executive Vice President, Oncology R&D

Ruud Dobber

Executive Vice President, BioPharmaceuticals Business Unit

Mene Pangalos

Executive Vice President, BioPharmaceuticals R&D

Agenda

Overview Oncology BioPharmaceuticals, Emerging markets Finance Pipeline update, news flow Closing and Q&A

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YTD and Q3 2019: repeated strong sales growth

Investing in sustainable growth continued in R&D, SG&A

Business and financials

Product sales up by 17%; 18% in the third quarter ? Strong performance of new medicines1 (+72%); $3.0bn incremental sales vs. YTD 2018 ? Oncology (+54%), New CVRM2 (+14%) and Respiratory (+13%) ? Emerging markets (+26%); broad-based performance across EMs

Total revenue up by 17%; broadly stable collaboration revenue Core operating costs up by 6%; investing in sustainable growth Core operating profit up by 42%; continuing operating leverage. Core EPS $2.61, including 22% tax rate

Guidance increased again for product sales; unchanged for core EPS3 (due to accelerating strategic transition, resulting in anticipated lower total of collaboration revenue and other operating income)

Focus on cash-flow generation whilst continuing to invest in high-growth opportunities and rich pipeline

Pipeline with unprecedented recent positive news flow; busy 2021 pipeline plans unveiled

1. Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Lynparza, Calquence, Farxiga, Brilinta, Lokelma, roxadustat, Fasenra, Bevespi and Breztri; absolute value at constant exchange rates (CER) and compared to YTD 2018 2. New Cardiovascular, Renal and Metabolism incorporating Diabetes, Brilinta, Lokelma and roxadustat 3. Earnings per share. Absolute values and changes at CER (except core EPS) and for YTD 2019, unless otherwise stated. Guidance at CER.

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Q3 2019: unprecedented, positive updates

News-flow highlights from the late-stage pipeline

Pipeline news

Oncology

? Tagrisso ? Imfinzi + treme ? Lynparza

? trastuzumab deruxtecan

? Calquence

NSCLC1 (1st line, EGFRm2) NSCLC (1st line) (NEPTUNE) pancreatic cancer (1st line, BRCAm4) ovarian cancer (1st line) (PAOLA-1) prostate cancer (2nd line, castration-resistant) breast cancer (3rd line, HER2+5)

CLL6

regulatory approval (CN); met Phase III key secondary endpoint (OS3) did not meet Phase III primary endpoint regulatory submission acceptance (US, EU) met Phase III primary endpoint met Phase III primary endpoint regulatory submission acceptance (US, JP) Priority Review designation (US) regulatory submission under review (US) Breakthrough Therapy Designation (US)

BioPharmaceuticals

? Farxiga/Forxiga

? Qtrilmet ? Brilinta/Brilique ? roxadustat

T2D7 CVOT8 HF9 CVOT

CKD10 T2D CAD11/T2D CVOT anaemia of CKD; NDD12

regulatory approval (US, EU) met Phase III primary endpoint Fast Track designation (US) Fast Track designation (US) positive opinion (EU) regulatory submission acceptance (US, EU) regulatory approval (CN)

? PT010

COPD13 (ETHOS)

met Phase III primary endpoint

COPD

complete response letter (US)

? Fasenra Pen

severe eosinophilic asthma;

auto-injector and self-administration

regulatory approval (US)

? Fasenra

eosinophilic oesophagitis

Orphan Drug Designation (US)

? anifrolumab

lupus (SLE14) (TULIP 2)

met Phase III primary endpoint

1. Non-small cell lung cancer 2. Substitution of threonine (T) with methionine (M) at position 790 of exon 20 mutation 3. Overall survival 4. Breast cancer susceptibility genes 1/2 mutation 5. Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive 6. Chronic lympho-

cytic leukaemia 7. Type-2 diabetes 8. Cardiovascular (CV) outcomes trial 9. Heart failure 10. Chronic kidney disease 11. Coronary artery disease 12. Non dialysis-dependent patients 13. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease 14. Systemic lupus erythematosus.

Status since the latest results announcement on 25 July 2019.

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YTD and Q3 2019: continued strong sales growth

17% sales growth YTD with new medicines growing at 72%

Strong sales growth continued

19% 18% 14%

9%

8%

Product sales growth, percent BM S

Diabetes Alliance

FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019

Changes (product sales growth) at CER.

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New medicines remain

the key sales drivers

$m

YTD 2019:

1,200

+$3.0bn

1,000

incremental sales of new medicines

800

compared to YTD 2018

600

400

200

Calquence

Farxiga

Brilinta

Fasenra

Lynparza

Imfinzi

0 Tagrisso

Oncology New CVRM Respiratory Absolute values at CER.

YTD 2019: sales growth across all main therapy areas

Double-digit growth across all therapy areas, Emerging markets

Product sales Oncology New CVRM Respiratory Other medicines Emerging markets - EMs ex China - China

Absolute values at actual exchange rates; changes at CER.

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Q3 2019 $m

6,132 2,334 1,113 1,319 1,366 2,123 839 1,283

% change

18 48 11 18 (7) 29 15 40

% product sales

100 38 18 22 22 35 14 21

YTD 2019 $m

17,315 6,393 3,207 3,854 3,861 6,074 2,382 3,691

% change

17 54 14 13 (12) 26 12 37

% product sales

100 37 19 22 22 35 14 21

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