PDF GDP (Nominal & Real) - Yardeni Research
US Economic Indicators: GDP (Nominal & Real)
Yardeni Research, Inc.
October 27, 2022
Dr. Edward Yardeni
516-972-7683 eyardeni@
Debbie Johnson
480-664-1333 djohnson@
Mali Quintana
480-664-1333 aquintana@
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Table Of Contents Table Of Contents
GDP Levels: Nominal & Real GDP Growth Rates: Nominal & Real GDP ex-Government GDP & GNP GDP Components Equipment & Intellectual Property Real US Consumer Spending Real Capital Spending Net Exports Exports & Imports Real Government Contributions to GDP Growth Ratios
3 4 5 6-7 8 9 10 11-14 15 16-17 18 19-21 22-24
October 27, 2022 / GDP (Nominal & Real)
Yardeni Research, Inc.
GDP Levels: Nominal & Real
Figure 1.
36.2
30.2 US NOMINAL GDP 24.2 (trillions dollars, saar, ratio scale)
Latest (25.7)
36.2
30.2
Q3
24.2
18.2
18.2
12.2
12.2
6.2
6.2
.2
.2
48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Figure 2.
22.8
19.8
US REAL GDP
(trillion dollars, saar, ratio scale)
16.8
13.8
10.8
7.8
Latest (20.0)
22.8
Q3
19.8
16.8
13.8
10.8
7.8
4.8
4.8
11 45 10 39 8 2410
106 11 36 16 58 61216 92
8
120
8 73 18
113
1.8
1.8
48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26
Note: Shaded areas denote recessions according to the National Bureau of Economic Research. Numbers in red (black) are months of recessions (expansions). Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Page 3 / October 27, 2022 / GDP (Nominal & Real)
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GDP Growth Rates: Nominal & Real
Figure 3.
25
US NOMINAL GDP (yearly percent change)
25 Latest (9.0)
20
20
15
15
10
10
Q3
5
5
0
0
-5
-5
-10
-10
48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26
Note: Shaded areas are recessions according to the National Bureau of Economic Research. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Figure 4.
.5
.5
NET EXPORTS OF GOODS & SERVICES IN REAL GDP (trillion 2012 dollars, saar)
.0
.0
-.5
-.5
-1.0
-1.0
Q3
-1.5
-1.5
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Note: Shaded areas are recessions according to the National Bureau of Economic Research. Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Page 4 / October 27, 2022 / GDP (Nominal & Real)
Yardeni Research, Inc.
GDP ex-Government
Figure 5.
22.5
REAL GDP WITH & WITHOUT GOVERNMENT SPENDING (trillion 2012 dollars, saar)
20.0
22.5
Q3
20.0
17.5
17.5
15.0
Real GDP
15.0
Real GDP excluding
12.5
Total Government Spending
12.5
10.0
10.0
7.5
7.5
5.0
5.0
2.5
2.5
.0
.0
48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26
Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Figure 6.
US REAL GDP WITH & WITHOUT GOVERNMENT SPENDING
16 (yearly percent change)
16
13
13
10
10
7
7
4
4
Q3
1
1
-2
-2
-5
Real GDP (1.8)
-5
Real GDP excluding
-8
Total Government Spending (2.3)
-8
-11
-14 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis.
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
-11
-14
2022 2023
Page 5 / October 27, 2022 / GDP (Nominal & Real)
Yardeni Research, Inc.
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