Advanced Hedge Fund Strategies: On-site Syllabus



Advanced Hedge Fund Strategies 2 CreditsBU.232.790.XX [NOTE: Each section must have a separate syllabus.][Day & Time / ex: Monday, 6pm-9pm][Start & End Dates / ex: 8/20/18–10/15/18][Semester / ex: Fall 2018][Location / ex: Washington, DC]Instructor[Full Name]Contact Information[Email Address][Phone Number, ###- ###-#### (Optional)]Office Hours[Specify the day and time of the 2 hours that will be dedicated to office hours each week. For evening classes, faculty may wish to hold their office hours by phone or email. While faculty are permitted to state “and by appointment,” office hours should not be held exclusively by appointment.]Required Texts & Learning MaterialsAll readings will be provided for this course and made available on Blackboard. Course Description and OverviewThis course surveys a broad range of hedge fund and proprietary trading strategies with an emphasis on understanding their fundamental investment process. Students will gain practical knowledge in regards to creating, back-testing, and implementing these strategies. There will be particular focus on the theoretical justification for the existence of inefficiencies or risk premium, and the successful extraction of them. The course will cover the gambit of popular hedge funds strategies, such as Long/Short, Event-Driven (Distressed, Risk Arbitrage), Equity Market Neutral, Statistical Arbitrage, Dedicated Short-Bias, Convertible Arbitrage, Emerging Markets, Fixed Income Arbitrage, Global Macro, Managed Futures, and Multi-Strategy. Particular attention will be placed on understanding the mechanics of the alpha-extraction methodology. An example of the type of question that will be addressed in this course is: What do hedge fund managers strive to capture, and how do they do it? Hidden risks and limitations associated with the implementation of such strategies will be highlighted throughout this course. Upon successful completion of this course, students should gain a firm understanding of the popular hedge fund trading strategies currently employed in the industry. This course is presented from a practitioner’s perspective and will assume that students have knowledge of basic financial theory, portfolio construction, arbitrage concepts, return calculations, statistics, and financial instruments and derivative products. The class projects will be highly quantitative and will require that students be able to analyze and manipulate market data using statistical and mathematical modeling techniques.Examples of the type of questions that will be addressed in this course:What are hedge funds?What do hedge fund managers strive to capture and how do they do it?What are the hidden-risks and unique limitations associated with hedge fund investments?How important are hedge funds to investors, regulators, and the public? Prerequisite(s)(BU.231.620 OR BU.910.611) AND BU.232.701Statement about Finance and Social ResponsibilityThe effectiveness and perceived integrity of finance have been tested in recent years. Along with preventable excesses and regrettable distortions, financial innovation has, however, always been an effective means for society to achieve its goals, from insurance to consumption to saving. The power of financial innovation as a generator of inclusive prosperity and widespread well-being can (and should be) reclaimed. In this context, optimization of shareholder’s value – for instance – may not be the only metric along which financial success is measured and should be placed, along with other traditional finance metrics, in the broader context of its contribution to society. To this extent, Carey encourages technical, non-ideological, exchanges of ideas leading to a better understanding of the broader role of finance as a force for shared prosperity. We will incorporate a reading or an in-class discussion of current events that provides an initial opportunity for technical discussions of these issues as they relate to the topics covered in Advanced Hedge Fund Strategies.Learning ObjectivesBy the end of this course, students will: Be familiar with the hedge fund industry and current developments.Learn useful tools currently employed within the industry.Gain in-depth knowledge of mechanics of popular hedge fund trading strategies.Experience the hedge funds industry from an “active” participant vantage.To view the complete list of Carey Business School’s general learning goals and objectives, visit the Carey website.Attendance Attendance and class participation are part of each student’s course grade. Students are expected to attend all scheduled class sessions. Each class will include opportunities for teams to work together. Failure to attend class will result in an inability to achieve the objectives of the course. Excessive absence will result in loss of points for team participation. Regular attendance and active participation are required for students to successfully complete the course.Guest lecturers will be invited to provide in-depth analysis of current strategies throughout the class sessions. These guests will be seasoned professionals currently working in the hedge fund industry. They will provide insight on the current development of the industry, as well as current best-practices on strategy implementation.Assignments AssignmentLearning ObjectivesWeightHomework #11–410%Homework #21–410%Homework #31–410%Group Project1–450%Class Participation20%Total100%Students will form groups of 5–8 members and create a hedge fund strategy presentation. The hedge fund strategy presentation must:Have supporting investment documentation: the investment thesis/ideaback-tested data results/support (if possible)survey of investment opportunity, and a summary of any prior academic works Several ideas for strategies are below, but students are highly encouraged to come up with their own ideas. Be submitted in a PowerPoint and be presented to the class (20-minute time limit) on the last day of class.Groups must study the economic rationale behind the strategy (e.g., what property of the market makes it inefficient in a way that you can exploit?), weigh and criticize the relevant evidence from the academic literature (if any), include the strategy’s past returns using historical data, estimate the associated transactions costs and use of capital (margin), and describe its success (or failure) using several performance measures. The group project is due at the last class and will be presented to an “Investment Committee.”GradingThe grade of A is reserved for those who demonstrate extraordinarily excellent performance as determined by the instructor. The grade of A- is awarded only for excellent performance. The grades of B+, B, and B- are awarded for good performance. The grades of C+, C, and C- are awarded for adequate but substandard performance.?The grades of D+, D, and D- are not awarded at the graduate level (undergraduate only). The grade of F indicates the student’s failure to satisfactorily complete the course work.Please note that for Core and Foundation courses, a maximum of 25% of students may be awarded an A or A-; the grade point average of the class should not exceed 3.3. For Elective courses, a maximum of 35% of students may be awarded an A or A-; the grade point average of the class should not exceed 3.4. (For classes with 15 students or fewer, the class GPA cap is waived.)Tentative Course Calendar**The instructors reserve the right to alter course content and/or adjust the pace to accommodate class progress. Students are responsible for keeping up with all adjustments to the course calendar.Week 1: Introduction to the Hedge Fund IndustryGeneral background on origins of hedge funds and fund of fundsReview taxonomy of strategiesConvertible Arbitrage: long converts, hedge equity, credit, fixed income; gamma, busted, high-moneyDedicated Short-bias: identifying frauds, forensic accounting, e.g. Fraud Discovery Institute, Emerging Markets: emerging stock selection, country selection, currenciesEquity Market Neutral: Fama-French factors, B/M, size, P/E, momentum, reversals, accrualsStatistical Arbitrage: convergence trades, pairs trading, high frequency trading, index arbitrage, etf arb, co-integration, OU process Event Driven: mergers (cash, stock for stock, cash and/or stock, collars); distressed; carve outs; spinoffs, split-offs, when-issued; IPOs, SPACs Fixed Income Arb: swap spread, yield curve, butterfly, mortgage; CDS-bond basis, on-the-run/off-the-run, duration neutral Global Macro: real economy, carry trade (uncovered interest parity), devaluation, thematic, yield curve, country selection, tactical asset allocationLong/Short Equity: bottom-ups Buffet-style, value, growth, earnings quality, management quality, industry rotations, sector specialistsManaged Futures: trends, countertrends, overextended trendsMulti-Strategy: several different styles in one fund?Required Readings:Edwards and Liew (1999), “Hedge Funds versus Managed Futures as Asset Classes,” The Journal of Derivatives, Summer. Fung and Hsieh (1999), “A primer on hedge funds,” Journal of Empirical Finance, vol. 6, pp. 309–331.Kao, Duen-Li (2001), “Risk Analysis of Hedge Funds versus Long-Only Portfolios,” General Motors Asset Management. Optional Background Readings:Malkiel and Saha (2005), “Hedge Funds: Risk and Return,” Financial Analysts Journal, vol. 61, no. 6, 80–88.Brown and Goetzmann (2001), “Hedge Funds with Style,” Working Paper Yale. Lo (2001), “Risk Management for Hedge Funds: Introduction and Overview,” Working Paper MIT.Harding et al (2003), “Efficient Diversification: Managed Futures in Portfolios of Hedge Funds,” Winton Capital Management. Assign Homework #1: “Hedge Fund Strategy Construction”Case Study: The Hedge Fund Industry, HBS 9-208-126, April 2010Week 2: Performance Measures, Replicators, and Hidden RisksRisk exposure decomposition for hedge fundsPerformance Measures (Sharpe Ratio, Sortino, Calmar, Jensen’s Alpha, Omega, etc.) Data BiasesStrategy Development Components (data requirement, alpha design, portfolio construction, execution, diagnostic tests)Back-Testing (inadvertent cheat, abusive execution assumptions)Common Mistakes in the Search for AlphaInvestment Process – Case StudyRequired Readings:Liew (2003), “Hedge Fund Index Investing Examined,” Journal of Portfolio Management, Winter. Liew and French (2005), “Quantitative Topics in Hedge Fund Investing,” Journal of Portfolio Management, Summer.Keating, Con, and William F. Shadwick, (2002), “An Introduction to Omega,” The Finance Development Centre, February. Jensen, Michael C. (1967), “The Performance of Mutual Funds In the Period 1945–1964,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 23, No. 2, pg. 389–416.Week 3: Global Futures Strategies / CTAs / MomentumLandscape/Players (Turtles, medium-long term trends vs Intra-day strategies)Global liquid futures marketsTrend-following vs Momentum“The trend is your friend,” how to a build simple model? (MA, MACD)Micro-structure issues, t-costs, the forward curve, open interest and volumeIndices: GSCI, CRB, RogersHistorical PerformanceRequired Readings:Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2009), “Value and Momentum Everywhere,” working paper. Ribeiro and Loeys (2006), “Exploiting Cross-Market Momentum,” JPMorgan Investment Strategy.Ribeiro and Loeys (2009), “Markowitz in Tactical Asset Allocation,” JPMorgan Investment Strategy. Wilcox, Cole and Eric Crittenden (2005), “Does Trend Following Work on Stocks?,” Working Paper Blackstar FundsLiew (2012) CAIA Level II Book: Chapter 37 Hedge Fund Strategies Trends on Know Factors. Assign Homework #1 due before classAssign Homework #2: “Hedge Fund Manager Selection”Week 4: Currency / Discretionary Global MacroLandscape/Players/ProductsTheoretical background (PPP, covered/uncovered parity)Portfolio construction“Carry-Me-Out”, which short-term interest rates to employ?Majors and minors/historical performanceIntra-day mean reversionHow to create a FX-Carry Index?Required Readings:Pojarliev and Levich (2010),”Detecting Crowded Trades in Currency Funds,” Financial Analysts Journal, Jan/Feb, 2011, 26–39.Jurek (2009), “Crash-Neutral Currency Carry Trades,” working paper Princeton University. Optional Background Readings:Burnside, Eichenbaum, Kleshchelski, and Rebelo (2006), “The Returns to Currency Speculation,” working paper.Brunnermeier, Nagel, and Pedersen (2008) “Carry Trades and Currency Crashes,” NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 23, 313–348.Week 5: Event Driven / Convert Arb / DistressedLandscape/Players/ProductsMerger Deal Space Merger Arbitrage (cash, stock for stock, etc.)How to create a Merger Arb Index with 13Fs?Convert Bond Arb BasicsDistressedHistorical Performance and Risk ProfileRequired Readings:Mitchell and Pulvino (2001), “Characteristics of Risk and Return in Risk Arbitrage,” The Journal of Finance, vol. 56; no. 6, pp. 2135–2176Loncarski, Igor, Jenke ter Horst, and Chris Veld (2009),”The Rise and Demise of the Convertible Arbitrage Strategy,” SSRN: , Pulvino, and Stafford (2002), “Limited Arbitrage in Equity Markets,” The Journal of Finance, vol. 57, pp. 551–584.Assign Homework #2 due before classAssign Homework #3: “Extracting CTA Momentum”Week 6 – Week 7: Equity Long/Short Strategies / Mean-Reversion Part I & Part IILandscape/Players (Long/Short vs EMN vs Stat Arb)Valuable-Investor Insights: 13-F insight into portfolio holdings ()Common Alpha sources, extraction procedures, constructionEMN: building factors for investment and risk management Barra, Northfield, APTThe Killer-Quants: basic Stat Arb strategies mean-reversion, pairs, co-integrationExecution Challenges and RealitiesQuant Melt DownRequired Readings:Liew and Vassalou (2000), “Can Book-to-Market, Size, and Momentum be Risk Factors that Predict Economic Growth?,” The Journal of Financial Economics 57, pp. 221–245.Fama and French (2007), “Dissecting Anomalies,” working paper.Avellaneda and Lee (2009), “Statistical Arbitrage in the U.S. Equity Market,” NYU Courant.De Bondt and Thaler (1985), “Does the Stock Market Overreact?,” vol. 49, no. 3, pp. 793–805.Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), “Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency,” The Journal of Finance, vol. 48, no.1, pp. 65–91. Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2008), “Value and Momentum Everywhere”.Fama and French (1992), “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns,” The Journal of Finance, vol. 47, no. 2, pp. 427–465. Fama and French (1993), “Common Risk Factors in the Return on Stocks and Bonds,” Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 33, pp. 3–56. Lakonishok, Shleifer, and Vishny (1994), “Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk,” The Journal of Finance, vol. 49, no. 5, pp. 1541–1578.Assign Homework #3 due before classWeek 7: cont’d Equity Long / Short Strategies / Mean-Reversion Part II Meet individually with each group.Week 8: Final Presentation of Group ProjectsIdeas for Group ProjectMomentum vs Mean-Reversion / Trend vs Counter-Trend:Study the profits of momentum (trend) or reversals (counter-trend) in equity, industries, commodities, FX, or other markets. See papers in class 2. There are many others, e.g. Chan, Jegadeesh, and Lakonishok (1996), “Momentum Strategies,” The Journal of Finance, vol. 51, no. 5, pp. 1681–1713.Value investing or HML, size investing SMB:Quantitative Strategies based on well-known factors:A valuation ratio (B/M, P/E, etc.)Analysts expectations, changes in earnings, growth, ratingsNet stock issues, corporate actions, spin-offs, split-offsAccruals, re-statements, fraud, new jetsConvertible bond arbitrage:Get data on convertible bond prices and stock prices of the same companies and implement a back-test of the strategy. See also?Agarwal, Fung, Loon, and Naik, “Risk and Return in Convertible Arbitrage: Evidence from the Convertible Bond Market,” working paper.Carry-trade:Get data on interest rates (BBG-BBA) and exchange rates () for a number of countries and consider the return on the carry trade. Is the risk symmetric, i.e., equal size of upside and downside returns? Pairs-trading:Some securities “should” follow each other, but sometimes diverge. How to define pairs? Look e.g. at Royal Dutch / Shell and similar pairs and see also Gatev, Goetzmann, and Rouwenhorst (2006), “Pairs Trading: Performance of a Relative-Value Arbitrage Rule,” The Review of Financial Studies, vol. 19, no. 3, pp. 797–827. Swap spread arbitrage:Profit from the difference between two virtually risk free rates, the Treasury rate and the swap rate. See Duarte, Longstaff, and Yu (2005), “Risk and Return in Fixed Income Arbitrage: Nickels in Front of a Steamroller?,” working paper.Yield curve arbitrage:Make a strategy of risk free securities of various maturities. See Duarte, Longstaff, and Yu (2005) as above.Excess volatility:If traders trade “too much” and “push prices around excessively”, then how do you profit from this? Get inspiration from, e.g., Greenwood (2006), “Excess Comovement of Stock Returns: Evidence from Cross-Sectional Variation in Nikkei 225 Weights,” forthcoming Review of Financial Studies. (Shorting) Index options:Consider index option strategies, such as selling at the money straddles. When is the strategy most profitable? See, e.g., Amin, Coval, and Seyhun (2004), “Demand for Portfolio Insurance and Index Option Prices,” Journal of Business 77, no. 4.Earnings announcement drift:Is it profitable to buy companies with good earnings news and short those with bad news, after the news is released? See, e.g., Bernard and Thomas (1989), “Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift: Delayed Price Response or Risk Premium?” Journal of Accounting Research, vol. 27, pp. 1–36.?Distressed investing:How do you identify opportunities among distressed bonds? How to evaluate default risk and recovery in case of default? Can bond holders be active investors? What is return to a diversified portfolio of distressed bonds (i.e. with no attempt of security selection) and does this capture most of the risk premium? (Altman)Dedicated short bias:How can you identify short-selling ideas? Are there ways of identifying frauds or does forensic accounting help? Is certain behavior of management a tell-tale sign of trouble?Emerging markets:How do some of the investment strategies mentioned above work in emerging markets? What special considerations (e.g. costs, barriers, and risks) must be taken into account when investing in emerging markets? What are the special opportunities? How much of emerging market hedge fund returns can be explained by simply being long emerging market equity indices? Selecting hedge funds building a FOFs:How do you select hedge funds? How should you analyze return data, and what other data is available (e.g. 13F, 13D, etc.), and how can this be used to cross-validate managers? How do you combine hedge funds into a portfolio? What is the best way to allocate capital across styles?Dual-listed companies (DLCs):Securities that have their listings on two separate exchanges should not have excess co-movement, right? Bedi, Richards, and Tennant, “The Characteristics and Trading Behavior of Dual-listed Companies,” Reserve Bank of Australia working paper. Business School Policies and General InformationBlackboard SiteA Blackboard course site is set up for this course. Each student is expected to check the site throughout the semester as Blackboard will be the primary venue for outside classroom communications between the instructors and the students. Students can access the course site at . Support for Blackboard is available at 1-866-669-6138.Disability Support ServicesAll students with disabilities who require accommodations for this course should contact Disability Support Services at their earliest convenience to discuss their specific needs. If you have a documented disability, you must be registered with Disability Support Services (carey.disability@jhu.edu or 410-234-9243) to receive accommodations. For more information, please visit the Disability Support Services webpage.Academic Ethics PolicyCarey expects graduates to be innovative business leaders and exemplary global citizens. The Carey community believes that honesty, integrity, and community responsibility are qualities inherent in an exemplary citizen. The objective of the Academic Ethics Policy (AEP) is to create an environment of trust and respect among all members of the Carey academic community and hold Carey students accountable to the highest standards of academic integrity and excellence.It is the responsibility of every Carey student, faculty member, and staff member to familiarize themselves with the AEP and its procedures. Failure to become acquainted with this information will not excuse any student, faculty, or staff from the responsibility to abide by the AEP. Please contact the Student Services office if you have any questions. For the full policy, please visit the Academic Ethics Policy webpage.Student Conduct CodeThe fundamental purpose of the Johns Hopkins University’s regulation of student conduct is to promote and to protect the health, safety, welfare, property, and rights of all members of the University community as well as to promote the orderly operation of the University and to safeguard its property and facilities. As members of the University community, students accept certain responsibilities which support the educational mission and create an environment in which all students are afforded the same opportunity to succeed academically. Please contact the Student Services office if you have any questions. For the full policy, please visit the Student Conduct Code webpage.Student Success CenterThe Student Success Center offers free online and in-person one-on-one and group coaching in writing, presenting, and quantitative courses. For more information on these services and others, or to book an appointment, please visit the Student Success Center website.Other Important Policies and ServicesStudents are encouraged to consult the Student Handbook and Academic Catalog and Student Services and Resources for information regarding other policies and services.Copyright StatementUnless explicitly allowed by the instructor, course materials, class discussions, and examinations are created for and expected to be used by class participants only.?The recording and rebroadcasting of such material, by any means, is forbidden. Violations are subject to sanctions under the Academic Ethics Policy. ................
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