The of Online Higher Education - Wiley Education Services
The Future of
Online Higher Education
Online education is one of the fastest growing forms of education today ? but will it stay that way? See the forecast for overall online enrollment growth across all levels of higher education based on current trends.
External Influences
Despite outpacing overall enrollment in U.S. higher education, online education's growth trajectory may be impacted by the following factors:
Risks to Online Growth
Boosts to Online Growth
? Declining number of high school graduates
? Improving national economy
? Increasing competition as more institutions seek market share
? Decreasing impact of "conveniencedriven" value proposition
? Rising interest in micro-credentials
? Spreading adoption of "free college" options
? Declining flow of international students to the U.S.
? Increasing professional adoption
? Rising focus on upskilling to meet workforce gaps
? Improving technologies, like virtual reality and artificial intelligence
Online Higher Education Forecasts by Level
By the 2020/21 school year, online programs are expected to account for 26% of all higher education market share. See how this growth breaks down by level:
Bachelor's
Key Online Trends
Online bachelor's programs are still gaining market share, but the growth forecast is slowing in most fields except nursing.
By 2021, online programs
are expected to account for
18.6%
of all bachelor's level market share.
Forecasted Online Market Share by Degree in 2021:
Business
32%
Nursing
53%
22%
Computer Science
25%
Public Health
39%
Criminal Justice
Human Services
62%
12%
Education
12%
Psychology
Emergency Management
82%
47%
Public Administration
27%
Healthcare
11%
Social Work
Master's
Key Online Trends
Momentum for online master's programs is still strong due to professional adoption and the convenient format for the target audience, but slowdown is expected as fields become saturated.
By 2021, online programs
are expected to account for
39%
of all master's level market share.
Forecasted Online Market Share by Degree in 2021:
Business
44%
Nursing
46%
Computer Science
Public Health
48% 52%
21%
Counseling
Human Services
58%
Criminal Justice
61%
28%
Psychology
31%
Education
41%
Public Administration
Emergency Management
72%
19%
Social Work
22%
Healthcare
Doctoral
Key Online Trends
Online programs are already well established in several fields, such as human services, emergency management, and criminal justice, however limited-residency programs may prove popular as non-profit institutions enter the space.
By 2021, online programs
are expected to account for
21%
of all doctoral level market share.
Forecasted Online Market Share by Degree in 2021:
Business
43%
Nursing
55%
24%
Computer Science
33%
Public Health
33%
Counseling
Human Services
94%
Criminal Justice
75%
16%
Psychology
Education
42%
50%
Public Administration
Emergency Management
84%
32%
Social Work
11%
Healthcare
Expand Your Online Presence
Overall, forecasts show that online higher education will gain market share in the future. However, competition is increasing and overall student enrollment is declining. Wiley Education Services can help your institution identify which programs can be most successful and differentiate you in the market.
Sources: National Research Center for College & University Admissions, 2018 Eduventures, 2018
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