The of Online Higher Education - Wiley Education Services

The Future of

Online Higher Education

Online education is one of the fastest growing forms of education today ? but will it stay that way? See the forecast for overall online enrollment growth across all levels of higher education based on current trends.

External Influences

Despite outpacing overall enrollment in U.S. higher education, online education's growth trajectory may be impacted by the following factors:

Risks to Online Growth

Boosts to Online Growth

? Declining number of high school graduates

? Improving national economy

? Increasing competition as more institutions seek market share

? Decreasing impact of "conveniencedriven" value proposition

? Rising interest in micro-credentials

? Spreading adoption of "free college" options

? Declining flow of international students to the U.S.

? Increasing professional adoption

? Rising focus on upskilling to meet workforce gaps

? Improving technologies, like virtual reality and artificial intelligence

Online Higher Education Forecasts by Level

By the 2020/21 school year, online programs are expected to account for 26% of all higher education market share. See how this growth breaks down by level:

Bachelor's

Key Online Trends

Online bachelor's programs are still gaining market share, but the growth forecast is slowing in most fields except nursing.

By 2021, online programs

are expected to account for

18.6%

of all bachelor's level market share.

Forecasted Online Market Share by Degree in 2021:

Business

32%

Nursing

53%

22%

Computer Science

25%

Public Health

39%

Criminal Justice

Human Services

62%

12%

Education

12%

Psychology

Emergency Management

82%

47%

Public Administration

27%

Healthcare

11%

Social Work

Master's

Key Online Trends

Momentum for online master's programs is still strong due to professional adoption and the convenient format for the target audience, but slowdown is expected as fields become saturated.

By 2021, online programs

are expected to account for

39%

of all master's level market share.

Forecasted Online Market Share by Degree in 2021:

Business

44%

Nursing

46%

Computer Science

Public Health

48% 52%

21%

Counseling

Human Services

58%

Criminal Justice

61%

28%

Psychology

31%

Education

41%

Public Administration

Emergency Management

72%

19%

Social Work

22%

Healthcare

Doctoral

Key Online Trends

Online programs are already well established in several fields, such as human services, emergency management, and criminal justice, however limited-residency programs may prove popular as non-profit institutions enter the space.

By 2021, online programs

are expected to account for

21%

of all doctoral level market share.

Forecasted Online Market Share by Degree in 2021:

Business

43%

Nursing

55%

24%

Computer Science

33%

Public Health

33%

Counseling

Human Services

94%

Criminal Justice

75%

16%

Psychology

Education

42%

50%

Public Administration

Emergency Management

84%

32%

Social Work

11%

Healthcare

Expand Your Online Presence

Overall, forecasts show that online higher education will gain market share in the future. However, competition is increasing and overall student enrollment is declining. Wiley Education Services can help your institution identify which programs can be most successful and differentiate you in the market.

Sources: National Research Center for College & University Admissions, 2018 Eduventures, 2018

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? 2019 Wiley Education Services

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