Harvard Center for American Political Studies
PROGRAMMER NOTES:Respondents should be randomly assigned to one of 8 groups that are matched in terms of gender (D2), age (D1), ethnicity (D4) and political identification (M3). Gender Political IdentificationAgeEthnicityGROUPSTotlMalesFemalesDemoRepubIndep18-3435-5455+CaucasianBlackHispanicAsian/ Other# of Int52%48%34%26%40%23%39%38%69%12%13%6%1CLINTON1400208192136104160921561522764852242CLINTON2400208192136104160921561522764852243SANDERS80041638427220832018431230455296104484TRUMP1400208192136104160921561522764852245TRUMP2400208192136104160921561522764852246CRUZ80041638427220832018431230455296104487RUBIO1400208192136104160921561522764852248RUBIO240020819213610416092156152276485224TOTAL400020801920136010401600920156015202760480520240S1. Are you a Citizen of the United States? YesNoIf No, Stop.S2.Are you over 18 years of age? YesNoIf No, Stop.AgeD1. What is your age? ____ (a number)GenderD2.What is your gender? Male FemaleRaceD4. What is your race? Please select all that apply to you.WhiteHispanic or LatinoBlack or African AmericanNative American or American IndianAsianPacific IslanderOther (Please specify)Decline to state (mutually exclusive)If selected 2+ from options 1- 7 at D4D4b.Which of the following races do you most identify with? Please select oneDISPLAY CHOICES SELECTED IN QD4WhiteHispanic or LatinoBlack or African AmericanNative American or American IndianAsianPacific IslanderOther (Please specify)Code race, do not askWhite IF QD4 = ONLY C1 OR QD4b = C1Hispanic? IF QD4 = ONLY C2 OR QD4b= C2African-American or Black? IF QD4 = ONLY C3 OR QD4b = C3Asian or Pacific Islander IF QD4 = ONLY C5 or only C6 OR QD4b = C5 or QD4b = C6Other IF QD4 = ONLY C4 or only c7 or D4b = 4 or d4b = 7S3.In which state do you reside? (Show drop down of states in alphabetical order, show each state only once)Likely VoterS4.How likely are you to vote in November's presidential election?Very likelyProbablyPossiblyNot at allMood/Political OrientationM1. Do you approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as President of the United States?Strongly approveApprove somewhatDisapprove somewhatStrongly disapproveM2.Do you think the next President of the United States should continue the policies of President Obama or should the next president make more liberal or more conservative policies?Continue the policies of President ObamaMake more conservative policiesMake more liberal policiesNot sureM3.Generally speaking, do you consider yourself:A DemocratA RepublicanAn independentIF M3==1 SKIP TO M4aIF M3==2, SKIP TO M4bIF M3==3, SKIP TO M4cAsk if M3 = DemocratM4a.Do you consider yourself a strong Democrat or a weak Democrat?Strong DemocratWeak Democrat[SKIP TO M5]Ask if M3 = republicanM4b.Do you consider yourself a strong Republican or a weak Republican?Strong RepublicanWeak Republican [SKIP TO M5] Ask if m3 = IndependentM4c.Do you think of yourself as closer to one of the two parties?Lean DemocratLean RepublicanDo not lean to one party or the otherM5.Which best describes your political ideology?Strong LiberalLean liberalModerate Lean conservativeStrong conservativeM6.All in all, do you think things in the Nation are on the right track or wrong track?Right TrackWrong TrackM7.The following is a list of some of the issues that will probably be discussed in this year’s presidential election campaign. For each one, please tell me how important that issue is to you.AcrossVery importantSomewhat importantSomewhat unimportantVery unimportantDown [RANDOMIZE ORDER]Terrorism Economy and jobsHealthcareFederal Budget DeficitImmigrationTaxesWomen’s rights CorruptionRace relationsThe environmentNational Security and DefenseIncome inequalityM8. Which issue is most important to you? (Pick one) [RANDOMIZE ORDER]Terrorism Economy and jobsHealthcareFederal Budget DeficitImmigrationTaxesWomen’s rights CorruptionRace relationsThe environmentNational Security and DefenseIncome inequalityM9.How strong is the US national security today? Very StrongSomewhat StrongSomewhat WeakVery WeakM10.How strong is the US economy today? Very StrongSomewhat StrongSomewhat WeakVery WeakM11.For you and your family personally, has the economy been strong or weak? Very StrongSomewhat StrongSomewhat WeakVery WeakVote/HorseraceH1.Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Hillary Clinton?Very FavorableFavorableUnfavorableVery UnfavorableNo OpinionH2.Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Donald Trump?Very FavorableFavorableUnfavorableVery UnfavorableNo OpinionH3.Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Ted Cruz?Very FavorableFavorableUnfavorableVery UnfavorableNo OpinionH4.Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Bernie Sanders?Very FavorableFavorableUnfavorableVery UnfavorableNo OpinionH5.Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Barack Obama?Very FavorableFavorableUnfavorableVery UnfavorableNo OpinionH6.Do you have a favorable view or an unfavorable view of Mitt Romney?Very FavorableFavorableUnfavorableVery UnfavorableNo OpinionUse the table below to determine respondent's path to next questionState1st Instruction2nd instructionAlabamaGo to H7a?Alaska Go to H7a?ArizonaGo to H7a?ArkansasGo to H7a?CaliforniaGo to H7b?Colorado Go to H7a?ConnecticutGo to H7b?DelawareGo to H7b?District of Columbia If M3 = DemocratGo to H7BIf M3 = Republican Go to H7Aif M3 = Independent Go to H11FloridaGo to H7a?GeorgiaGo to H7a?Hawaii Go to H7a?Idaho Go to H7a?IllinoisGo to H7a?IndianaGo to H7b?Iowa Go to H7a?Kansas Go to H7a?Kentucky If M3 = DemocratGo to H7BIf M3 = Republican Go to H7Aif M3 = Independent Go to H11LouisianaGo to H7a?Maine Go to H7a?MarylandGo to H7b?MassachusettsGo to H7a?MichiganGo to H7a?Minnesota Go to H7a?MississippiGo to H7a?MissouriGo to H7a?MontanaGo to H7b?Nebraska If M3 = Republican Go to H7BIf M3 = DemocratGo to H7Aif M3 = Independent Go to H11Nevada ?Go to H7a?New HampshireGo to H7a?New JerseyGo to H7b?New MexicoGo to H7b?New YorkGo to H7b?North CarolinaGo to H7a?North Dakota Go to H7B?OhioGo to H7a?OklahomaGo to H7a?OregonGo to H7b?PennsylvaniaGo to H7b?Rhode IslandGo to H7b?South Carolina?Go to H7a?South DakotaGo to H7b?TennesseeGo to H7a?TexasGo to H7a?UtahGo to H7a?VermontGo to H7a?VirginiaGo to H7a?Washington If M3 = Republican Go to H7BIf M3 = DemocratGo to H7Aif M3 = Independent Go to H11West VirginiaGo to H7b?WisconsinGo to H7b?Wyoming If M3 = DemocratGo to H7BIf M3 = Republican Go to H7Aif M3 = Independent Go to H11H7A.Did you vote in your state’s caucus or primary election this year?YesNoIf H7A == Yes, CONTINUEIF H7A==No, SKIP TO H11H8A.In which party’s primary or caucus?DemocratsRepublicansOther PartyDid not voteIF H8A==Democrats, GO TO H9AIF H8A == Republicans, GO TO H10AOTHERWISE GO TO H11H9A.For whom did you vote?Hillary ClintonBernie SandersMartin O’MalleySomeone elseH10A.For whom did you vote?Jeb BushBen CarsonChris ChristieTed CruzCarly FiorinaJohn KasichRick PerryMarco RubioDonald TrumpSomeone ElseSKIP TO H11H7B.Do you plan to vote in your state’s caucus or primary election this year?YesNoIf H7B == YES, SKIP TO H8BIF H7B==NO, SKIP TO H11.H8B.In which party’s primary or caucus?DemocratsRepublicansOther PartyDid not voteIF H8B==Democrats, GO TO H9BIF H8B == Republicans, GO TO H10BOTHERWISE GO TO H11H9B.Which candidate do you prefer?Hillary ClintonBernie SandersSomeone elseGO TO H11H10BWhich candidate do you prefer?Ted Cruz Donald TrumpSomeone ElseGO TO H11H11.If the general election is between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?Donald TrumpHillary ClintonNot VotingNot SureH12.If the general election is between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders, which candidate would you vote for?Donald TrumpBernie SandersNot VotingNot SureH13.If the general election is between Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?Ted CruzHillary ClintonNot VotingNot SureH14If the general election is between Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Bernie Sanders, which candidate would you vote for?Ted CruzBernie SandersNot VotingNot SureH15a.If the general election is between Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?Marco RubioHillary ClintonNot VotingNot SureH15b. If the general election is between Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Bernie Sanders, which candidate would you vote for?Marco RubioBernie SandersNot VotingNot SureH16 (DT28). If a conservative alternative ran as a 3rd party candidate, who would you most likely vote for - the third party candidate, Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump? Hillary ClintonDonald TrumpThird Party CandidateUnsureNot VotingH17. If Michael Bloomberg ran as a 3rd party candidate, who would you most likely vote for? Michael BloombergHillary ClintonDonald TrumpUnsureNot Voting H18.For each of the following candidates, please indicate whether you would likely vote for that person or not? AcrossDefinitely Would Vote ForVery Likely Vote ForSomewhat LikelyNeither Likely nor UnlikelySomewhat UnlikelyVery UnlikelyDefinitely Would Not Vote ForDownHillary ClintonDonald TrumpTed CruzBernie SandersMarco RubioMichael BloombergH19.In general, do you think you will vote for a Democrat or a Republican for Congress in the November elections?DemocratRepublicanUnsureNot Voting IssuesI1.How well do you think Hillary Clinton would handle each of the following issues if elected president? AcrossVery wellSomewhat wellSlightly wellNot well at allDown [RANDOMIZE ORDER]National securityRacial equality and minority rightsWomen’s rightsHealthcareEconomy and jobsImmigrationEnvironment TaxesTerrorismMoral ValuesI2.How well do you think Donald Trump would handle each of the following issues if elected president? ?AcrossVery wellSomewhat wellSlightly wellNot well at allDown [RANDOMIZE ORDER]National securityRacial equality and minority rightsWomen’s rightsHealthcareEconomy and jobsImmigrationEnvironment TaxesTerrorismMoral ValuesI3. How well do you think Ted Cruz would handle each of the following issues if elected president? ?AcrossVery wellSomewhat wellSlightly wellNot well at allDown [RANDOMIZE ORDER]National securityRacial equality and minority rightsWomen’s rightsHealthcareEconomy and jobsImmigrationEnvironment TaxesTerrorismMoral ValuesI4.How well do you think Bernie Sanders would handle each of the following issues if elected president? ?AcrossVery wellSomewhat wellSlightly wellNot well at allDown [RANDOMIZE ORDER]National securityRacial equality and minority rightsWomen’s rightsHealthcareEconomy and jobsImmigrationEnvironment TaxesTerrorismMoral ValuesI5.Which comes closest to your views?The growing number of newcomers from other countries threatens traditional American customs and values, or The growing number of newcomers from other countries strengthens American society.I6.Do you agree or disagree with each of the following? AcrossAgreeDisagreeDown [RANDOMIZE ORDER]Undocumented immigrants in the United States who have lived here at least 5 years and paid their taxes should be able to apply for permanent residency or U. S. citizenship.All undocumented immigrants should be deported.A wall should be built across the US-Mexico border to stop illegal immigration.Illegal immigrants should be able to receive US driver’s licenses.I7.Should the United States strengthen regulations governing the sale of guns, including federal background checks to prevent people who have committed felonies or who have mental illnesses from purchasing guns?YesNoI7b. Which comes closest to your view?We have enough gun laws in the United States and we just need to enforce them.We have too many gun laws in the United States.We need new, tougher gun laws.I8.The next president should ramp up the U.S. bombing campaign in Iraq and Syria and do whatever is necessary to destroy the Islamic State.Strongly agreeAgree somewhatDisagree somewhatStrongly disagreeI8a. Would you favor or oppose sending US ground troops to fight ISIS?Strongly favorFavor somewhatOppose somewhatStrongly opposeI9.Should the United States increase spending on national defense significantly, even if that means increasing the deficit?Strongly agreeAgree somewhatDisagree somewhatStrongly disagreeI10.The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a trade agreement between the United States and 11 other countries that spurs job growth by removing barriers for trading goods and services. Do you support or oppose the TPP? Support stronglySupport somewhatOppose somewhatOppose strongly Not SureI11.The best way to jumpstart growth is through fundamental tax reform. There should be a simple flat tax of 10 percent for all income groups.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeI12.Those making over $250,000 a year should pay a higher percent of their income in taxes than those making less than that amount.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeI13.Should the United States repeal the Affordable Care Act (known as Obama Care)?YesNoNot SureI14.On abortion, which comes closest to your view? The United States should…Keep abortion legal in all circumstancesAllow abortion in most circumstances before the 20th weekOnly allow abortion in cases of rape or incest, or when the life of the mother is in dangerBan all abortionI15.Women in similar jobs to men make approximately 70 cents for every dollar earned by their male counterparts. Should federal law require that companies pay women the same amount when they do the same work as male employees?YesNo[SPLIT SAMPLE INTO 8 GROUPS AS DETAILED IN SCREENER][GROUP = {CLINTON1, CLINTON2, SANDERS, TRUMP1, TRUMP2, CRUZ, RUBIO1, RUBIO2}]IF GROUP == CLINTON1 OR CLINTON2, GO TO MH1IF GROUP == SANDERS, GO TO MS1IF GROUP ==TRUMP1 OR TRUMP2, GO TO MT1IF GROUP ==CRUZ, GO TO MC1IF GROUP ==RUBIO1 OR RUBIO2, GO TO MR1[GROUP == CLINTON1 OR CLINTON2]MH1.Which terms describe Hillary Clinton and which do not?AcrossYesNoDownStrong LeaderRight Experience to be PresidentCares about people like meHonestDivisiveDangerousOut of TouchAble to get things doneInspirationalCompassionateMH2.Which terms describe Donald Trump and which do not?AcrossYesNoDownStrong LeaderRight Experience to be PresidentCares about people like meHonestDivisiveDangerousOut of TouchAble to get things doneInspirationalCompassionateMH3.Which candidate will fight for the underdog? Clinton Trump Neither BothMH4.Which candidate will fight for the average American? ClintonTrump Neither Both MH5.Which candidate will heal partisan wounds? ClintonTrumpNeitherBothMH6.Which candidate will be good for America’s families? ClintonTrumpNeitherBothMH7.Which candidate will be good for the economy? ClintonTrumpNeitherBothMH8.Which candidate will be good for Wall Street? Clinton Trump Neither Both [Split Sample – ? see MH9a and ? see MH9b]ASK IF GROUP CLINTON1MH9a.Which candidate would do a better job leading our armed forces? ClintonTrumpNeitherBothASK IF GROUP CLINTON2MH9b.Which candidate would do a better job leading our armed forces as Commander in Chief? Clinton Trump Neither BothMH10 (HC31). Countries all over the world, such as England, Germany, France, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and India, have previously had or currently have women as Prime Ministers/Presidents. Do you think it is a problem that the United States has not had a single female president?YesNoMH11 (CH25). On the campaign trail, Hillary Clinton has recently said, “kindness matters, whether it’s to a friend, a neighbor, a colleague, a fellow student—whether it’s in the classroom, or a doctor’s office, or in a business—we need to do more to help each other.” Does this statement make you more likely or less likely to support Hillary Clinton in the general election for President? Much more likely to Support ClintonSomewhat more likely to Support ClintonSomewhat more likely to Support TrumpMuch more likely to Support TrumpNeitherMH12 (HC38). Many have accused Hillary Clinton of playing the gender card. In response to these accusations, she has said "If talking about equal pay, paid family leave, affordable child care, and women's health is playing the gender card, deal me in." Does hearing this make you more or less likely to support Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump for President?Much more likely to Support ClintonSomewhat more likely to Support ClintonSomewhat more likely to Support TrumpMuch more likely to Support TrumpNeitherMH13 (HC 36). Fox News’ Megyn Kelly called out Donald Trump recently for being a sexist. “You have called women you don’t like ‘fat pigs’, ‘dogs’, ‘slobs’, and ‘disgusting animals.” Does hearing this make you more likely to support Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump for President?Much more likely to Support ClintonSomewhat more likely to Support ClintonSomewhat more likely to Support TrumpMuch more likely to Support TrumpNeitherMH14 (HC 37). Donald Trump recently tweeted: “If Hillary Clinton can’t satisfy her husband what makes you think she can satisfy America?” Does hearing this make you more or less likely to support Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump for President?Much more likely to Support ClintonSomewhat more likely to Support ClintonSomewhat more likely to Support TrumpMuch more likely to Support TrumpNeitherMH15 (CH37). “Hillary Clinton has long been driven by her faith.” Does hearing this make you more or less likely to support Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump for President?Much more likely to Support ClintonSomewhat more likely to Support ClintonSomewhat more likely to Support TrumpMuch more likely to Support TrumpNeitherMH16. If the general election is between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?Donald TrumpHillary ClintonNot VotingNot SureGO TO D5[GROUP == SANDERS]MS1.Many politicians have worked on Wall St. at some time in their careers. Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate with ties to Wall St?More LikelyNeutral/Doesn’t matterLess LikelyMS2.Former NYC mayor Michael Bloomberg has been mentioned as a possible third party candidate for President. Michael Bloomberg spent his career building a company from scratch that now generates 9 billion dollars every year. How important is it that our next president’s wealth is self-made?Very ImportantImportantUnimportantVery unimportantUnsureMS3. How much do you agree with the following statement: Hillary Clinton’s political career has been defined by controversies, from Whitewater to Benghazi and the use of a private email server and these controversies make her unfit for serving as President?Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeNo OpinionMS4. How much do you agree with the following statement: ?America is better off with new leadership and new people in Washington, D.C?Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeNo OpinionMS5.How much do you agree with the following statement: ‘The Democrats are beholden to special interest groups, including environmentalists, unions, and trial lawyers. ?As long as the Democrats have power, there is no hope to make the changes that America needs right now?’Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeMS6. How much do you agree with the following statement: Donald Trump’s temperament, especially his vulgar comments about his opponents, women, and minority groups, make him unfit to be President?Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeNo OpinionMS7. How much do you agree with the following statement: If Donald Trump were Commander in Chief, with access to the nuclear codes, I would be in greater fear for the security of the United States?Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeNo OpinionMS8. How much do you agree with the following statement: ‘The Republicans are beholden to their special interests groups including corporate leaders, the NRA, and military contractors, and as long as the Republicans have power, there is no hope to make the changes that America needs right now?Strongly AgreeSomewhat AgreeSomewhat DisagreeStrongly DisagreeNo OpinionMS9.3.3 million Americans work at or below the $7.25 federal minimum wage. Would you be more or less likely to support a candidate who plans to raise the federal minimum wage to $15 per hour by 2020?I would be more likely to support a candidate who plans to raise the minimum wage to $15I would be less likely to support a candidate who plans to raise the minimum wage to $15Not sureMS10.During the financial collapse of 2008, financial institutions received a $700 billion bailout from American taxpayers because of concerns that they might fail. Given the fact that three of the four largest financial institutions are 80% bigger today than they were before the 2008 bailout, would you be more or less likely to support a candidate who plans to break up the big banks?I would be more likely to support a candidate who plans to break up the big banksI would be less likely to support a candidate who plans to break up the big banksNot sureMS11.In America today, the top 0.1% of Americans own as much wealth as the bottom 90%. At this time of unprecedented wealth and income inequality, some are calling for an increase in income tax rates on the richest Americans and taxes on estates of multi-millionaires and billionaires. Would you be more or less likely to support a candidate who will make sure the rich pay their fair share in taxes?I would be more likely to support a candidate who will make the rich pay more in taxesI would be less likely to support a candidate who will make the rich pay more in taxesNot sureMS12.Would you trust a candidate for President to make good foreign policy decisions if that candidate opposed the War in Iraq in 2003? I trust his ability to make foreign policy decisionsI do not trust his ability to make foreign policy decisionsMS13.Considering all of these statements, if the general election is between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders, which candidate would you vote for?Donald TrumpBernie SandersNot VotingNot SureGO TO D5[GROUP = TRUMP1 OR TRUMP2]MT1.Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?AcrossStrongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeDownDonald Trump shares your valuesHillary Clinton shares your valuesDonald Trump cares about people like you.Hillary Clinton cares about people like you. MT2. Donald Trump promises to build a wall along the US-Mexico border and to deport illegal immigrants currently in the country. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyMT3.The United States doesn’t win anymore. The United States is losing on trade, losing on foreign policy, and losing on jobs. Donald Trump knows how to negotiate good deals and will make America great again. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyMT4.As you may know, Donald Trump has said that Mexicans in the United States are “rapists,” and continues to use racist language. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyMT5.As you may know, Donald Trump has frequently sworn on the campaign trail, has threatened to punch a protester, and alluded to the size of his sexual organs in a debate. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyMT6.The United States is at war with ISIS and radical Islamic terrorism. Hillary Clinton is too weak and politically correct to deal with this threat. Donald Trump is the only candidate who will do what is necessary to keep America safe. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyMT7.Police officers are the most disrespected people in the United States. Politicians like Hillary Clinton choose to advocate for criminals over police officers, but Donald Trump will never turn his back on our police officers. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyMT8.The FBI is currently investigating Hillary Clinton for allegedly sending classified information illegally over a private email server when she was Secretary of State. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likely[Split TRUMP GROUP: Half get MT8a; Half do NOT get MT8a]ASK IF GROUP IS TRUMP1MT8a.Suppose the FBI recommends that Hillary Clinton and her aides be prosecuted over the use of her email server. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyMT9.Before Islamic militants attacked a U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya, killing four Americans, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton repeatedly rejected appeals to increase security at the consulate. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyMT10.Hillary Clinton has made over $21 million since 2013 by making speeches to private companies such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Does this make you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for President?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyMT11.Considering all of these statements, if the general election is between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?Donald TrumpHillary ClintonNot VotingNot SureMT12.Do you favor or oppose these policies?AcrossFavorOpposeDownRaising the gas tax to fix our roads and bridges Requiring companies like Apple to unlock the phones of suspected terrorists Reducing taxes for corporations that bring their overseas profits back to America Legalizing marijuana Making college free at state universities Offering universal free pre-kindergarten Taxing capital gains at the same rate as taxes on wages Requiring police to wear body cameras when on dutyMT13.Do think that political correctness is a big issue or not today?Yes, it's a big issueNo, it's not a big issueMT14.Do think the campaign has gone too far and been embarrassing or is it shaking up the establishment in a good way? Gone too far and been embarrassingShaking up the establishment in a good wayGO TO D5.[GROUP == CRUZ]MC1.The next President will nominate at least one Supreme Court Justice. Do you think that Ted Cruz would appoint Justices who are too liberal, too conservative, or just about right?Too LiberalToo ConservativeJust About RightMC2.Do you think that Donald Trump would appoint Justices who are too liberal, too conservative, or just about right?Too LiberalToo ConservativeJust About RightMC3. Do you think that Hillary Clinton would appoint Justices who are too liberal, too conservative, or just about right?Too LiberalToo ConservativeJust About RightMC4.ISIS seeks to destroy our very way of life. We must defeat them. That starts by calling the enemy by its name – radical Islamic terrorism – and securing the border. Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeMC5.The next president should ramp up the U.S. bombing campaign in Iraq and Syria and do whatever is necessary to destroy the Islamic State.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeMC6.President Obama’s agreement with Iran poses catastrophic risk to the security of the United States and our allies. Under no circumstance should a U.S. President lift sanctions and grant nuclear capability to a nation that proudly chants “Death to America.”Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeMC7.The best way to jumpstart growth is through fundamental tax reform. There should be a simple flat tax of 10 percent for all income groups.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeMC8.We should repeal every word of Obamacare. In its place, we should enact reforms that make health care personal, portable, and affordable.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeMC9.We must harness our nation’s energy resources and remove federal impediments to energy exploration. The next president should approve the Keystone Pipeline and empower the private sector to create good-paying American jobs.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeMC10.We should eliminate the IRS, the Department of Education, the Department of Energy, the Department of Commerce, and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeTrump GOPMC11.To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements?AcrossStrongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeDownThe Republican Party should stand behind Donald Trump as the Republican Presidential nominee.The Republican Party should embrace more of Donald Trump’s values.Donald Trump will make America great again.Donald Trump is similar to me.The middle class will suffer under President Donald Trump.President Donald Trump will reform a broken political system.MC12.If Donald Trump is the Republican nominee for president, would that make you more or less likely to turn out to vote in this November’s general election?Much more likelySomewhat more likelySomewhat less likelyMuch less likelyMC13.Overall, how do you view the Republican Party?Very PositivelySlightly PositivelyNeither Positively nor NegativelySlightly NegativelyVery NegativelyMC14.Has this view changed since before the election season started?Yes, my view has become more positive throughout the election seasonYes, my view has become more negative throughout the election seasonNo, my view has not changed throughout the election seasonMC15. If the general election is between Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?Ted CruzHillary ClintonNot VotingNot SureGO TO D5GROUP==RUBIOSPLIT SAMPLE: ? of GROUP=RUBIO GET MR1a, ? of GROUP==RUBIO GET MR1b.Ask if GROUP IS RUBIO1MR1a.Currently, illegal immigrants contribute 11.6 billion dollars in taxes. What do you think is the best strategy regarding the issue of illegal immigrants?They should have a path to citizenship if they pay taxesThey should stay legally if they pay taxes but not be allowed to apply for citizenshipThey should not stay in the U.S.Don’t know Decline to stateAsk if GROUP IS RUBIO2MR1b. Some Americans claim that illegal immigrants are taking away jobs from low-wage workers. What do you think is the best strategy regarding the issue of illegal immigrants?They should have a path to citizenship if they pay taxesThey should stay legally if they pay taxes but not be allowed to apply for citizenshipThey should not stay in the U.S.Don’t know Decline to stateMR2.What is your position on the following statement: It is acceptable to allow Syrian refugees to come to this country if they go through a strict security clearance?AgreeDisagree, the risks are too highDisagree, we should expedite the processDon’t know Decline to stateMR3.What is your position on the following statement: Climate change is not an important issue, and we shouldn’t spend more tax dollars on it?AgreeDisagreeDon’t know Decline to statePlanned Parenthood receives federal funding through Medicaid reimbursements in order to provide abortion services. What is your position on the following two statements? MR4.Life begins at conception. The U.S. government should not help fund Planned Parenthood because its funding abortion is equivalent to its supporting murder.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeMR5.The U.S. government should not fund Planned Parenthood because it has created incentives for women to seek abortions. This disrupts American family culture.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeMR6.While serving as Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton failed to protect American officials in Benghazi, Libya. Do you think this detracts from her reputation as an experienced foreign policy candidate?YesNoMR7.While serving as Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton threatened national security by using a private email server to conduct government business. Does this make you less confident in her ability to lead the country in diplomatic affairs?YesNoMR8.During her time as Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton failed to protect the U.S. Embassy in Benghazi, Libya. She also risked revealing information integral to the security of the United States through using her private email to conduct government business. Do you believe that Hillary Clinton would adequately protect the United States in an increasingly dangerous world?YesNoMR9.Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has flip-flopped her views on marriage equality, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and the Keystone Pipeline, among other issues. How does this inconsistency impact your view of Hillary Clinton as a 2016 Presidential nominee?PositivelyNegativelyNo impactThe Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, expands public and private health insurance coverage and requires almost all Americans to purchase health insurance or face a fine. What is your position on the following two statements? MR10.Congress should repeal Obamacare because it has led to runaway costs, limited individual choices, and has done more damage than good.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeMR11.Congress should repeal Obamacare because it costs our economy 716 billion dollars a year and is increasing insurance rates.Strongly agreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly disagreeMR12.Would you agree or disagree with the following statement: It is irresponsible to decrease military and defense spending during a period when terrorist attacks are occurring more frequently in Europe.AgreeDisagreeDon’t knowDecline to stateMR13.If the general election is between Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton, which candidate would you vote for?Marco RubioHillary ClintonNot VotingNot SureGO TO D5DemographicsEmploymentD5. Which of the following best describes your current employment status?Employed Full-timeEmployed Part-TimeSelf-employedOut of work and looking for workOut of work but not looking for workHomemakerStudentMilitary personnelRetiredUnable to workDecline to stateEducationD6.What is the highest degree or level of education that you have COMPLETED?Grade SchoolSome high school, no diplomaHigh school graduate, diploma, or the equivalent (for example: GED)Some college credit, no degreeTrade/technical/vocational trainingAssociate DegreeBachelor’s DegreeMaster’s DegreeDoctoral DegreeOther (Please specify)Decline to stateMarital StatusD8.What is your current marital status?Single, never marriedMarried or domestic partnershipWidowedDivorcedSeparatedDecline to stateVoter RegistrationD9.Are you registered to vote at your present address? YesNoNot SureReligionD10.What is your religion?Evangelical ProtestantNon-Evangelical ProtestantRoman CatholicMormonOther ChristianJewishMuslimHinduBuddhistAtheist/AgnosticOtherAttend ChurchD11.How often do you attend religion services, events, or gatherings?DailyWeeklyA few times per monthOnce a monthAlmost neverImportance of ReligionD12.How important or unimportant is religion in your life?Very importantSomewhat importantSomewhat unimportantVery unimportantGun OwnerD13.Does anyone in your household own a gun?YesNoHomeownerD14.Do you rent or own a home?RentOwnDo not rent or own but live with someone who doesOtherUrban / RuralD15.Do you live in a suburban, urban, or rural area?Urban SuburbanRuralZIPD16.For purposes of quality control, please provide us with your ZIP Code: ________IncomeD17.What was your total household income during 2015?Less than $10,000$10,000 to $19,999$20,000 to $29,999$30,000 to $39,999$40,000 to $49,999$50,000 to $59,999$60,000 to $69,999$70,000 to $79,999$80,000 to $89,999$90,000 to $99,999$100,000 to $149,999$150,000 to $200,000More than $200,000Decline to state ................
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