FUTURE SUPPLY OF: Tourist Accommodation Research in …
[Pages:6]FUTURE SUPPLY OF:
Tourist Accommodation Research in Cork, Galway & Kilkenny
MARKET OVERVIEW
Nationally tourism is growing year on year. 2017 saw 3% growth in overseas tourists, and F?ilte Ireland predicts 7% growth in 2018 and 4% in 2019.
While more trips originate in Great Britain than in any other single market, the US has surpassed GB as the market generating the largest revenue for Ireland. Combined with France and Germany, these four markets account for seven in ten (68%) of Ireland's overseas tourists.
Tourists
Includes an Overnight Stay
Main Purpose of Visit
Holiday
Visiting Friends & Relatives
Business
Other
GROWTH TRAJECTORY
Recent data demonstrates strong tourism demand at a national level. If this sustained growth continues tourist numbers will be up more than 20% over the next five years, which will put pressure on current accommodation stock levels. Urban areas historically perform above average, amplifying any accommodation squeeze.
IRELAND
OVERSEAS TOURISTS TO IRELAND 2012-2018 (000)
+1% 6,286
+6% 6,686
+6% 7,105
+13% 8,036
+9% 8,742
+7% +3%
9,640(e) 9,022
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
OVERSEAS AND DOMESTIC TOURISTS TO CORK, GALWAY & KILKENNY COUNTIES 2017 (000)
1,113
1,024
Domestic Tourists Overseas Tourists
1,605
1,673
298 315
CORK Total Tourists
2,718
GALWAY Total Tourists
2,697
KILKENNY Total Tourists
613
*Tourist numbers are not available at a city level. Overseas tourist figures are based on 3 year rolling county averages and therefore year on year comparison is not available
Sources: CSO I F?ilte Ireland I NISRA 2017
Research TOURIST REVENUE TO CORK, GALWAY & KILKENNY 2017 (MN)
76%
Overseas
70%
Overseas
59%
Overseas
833m CORK
836m GALWAY
94m KILKENNY
BED STOCK
F?ILTE IRELAND REGISTERED ACCOMMODATION STOCK BEDSPACES BY CITY (JUNE 2018)
The number of F?ilte Ireland registered bedspaces reflects the size of the tourism accommodation sector across the three cities. In all three, hotels dominate tourist accommodation, accounting for nearly four out of every five bedspaces.
HOTELS
CORK
GALWAY
KILKENNY
PREMISES
BED SPACES
PREMISES
BED SPACES
PREMISES
BED SPACES
2
525
2
304
1
432
17 4,975 13 3,867 7 1,471
10 1,289 12 2,973 5
634
2
144
4
144
1
61
TOTAL
31 6,933 33 7,333 14 2,598
SHARE OF TOTAL BEDSPACES
79%
82%
83%
GUEST HOUSES AND B&Bs
PREMISES
BED SPACES
CORK 37 594
GALWAY KILKENNY
38
20
434
337
SELF CATERING
PREMISES
BED SPACES
CORK 5
642
GALWAY KILKENNY
8
3
103
25
IRISH WELCOME STANDARD
PREMISES
BED SPACES
CORK 1 1
GALWAY KILKENNY
4
3
91
78
CARAVAN & CAMPING
PREMISES
BED SPACES
CORK 1
200
GALWAY KILKENNY
1
1
280
60
YOUTH & HOLIDAY HOSTELS
PREMISES
BED SPACES
CORK 4
431
GALWAY KILKENNY
5
1
725
29
Outside of F?ilte Ireland registered accommodation Cork and Galway have additional seasonal stock with the addition of a significant amount of student accommodation between June and September.
TOTAL
CORK
PREMISES
BED SPACES
79
8,801
GALWAY
PREMISES
BED SPACES
89
8,966
KILKENNY
PREMISES
BED SPACES
42
3,127
Source: F?ilte Ireland
Research
HOTEL MARKET
Tourism in all three cities has grown steadily over the last five years. Occupancy rates are at an all time high.
HOTEL PERFORMANCE FOR CORK, GALWAY AND KILKENNY ? YEAR TO SEPTEMBER 2018
CORK
GALWAY
KILKENNY*
OCCUPANCY
82%
80%
78%
AVERAGE ROOM RATE
REVPAR (Revenue Per Available Room)
REVPAR GROWTH 2013-18
103 84 +64%
108 86 +64%
105** 76**
NA
*Data for Kilkenny hotels is not as readily available, however feedback from hoteliers and some limited data from STR suggest a similar pattern to Cork and Galway. ** Kilkenny room rate data is year to date to August 2018.
NEW HOTEL ACCOMMODATION SUPPLY
The following new supply is forecast.
HOTEL ACCOMMODATION PROJECTS WITH PLANNING
PLANNING 2014-2018
CORK
GALWAY
NEW HOTELS
7
7
HOTEL EXTENSIONS
7
8
NO. OF HOTEL ROOMS
OTHER BEDSPACES (eg., Guesthouses/Hostels) *Camping Pods
1,381
713
218
50
KILKENNY
1 6 20*
HOTEL ACCOMMODATION PROJECTS IN PRE-PLANNING
CORK
GALWAY
KILKENNY
HOTELS
6
4
3
PROJECTED HOTEL ROOMS IF PLANNING IS GRANTED
700
550
200
Not all of these projects, even those that have gone through planning, will come to fruition. The following projections are made for room stock to the end of 2022, and take into account rooms that may not progress (for differing reasons).
Source: trending.ie | STR | Fitzpatricks Associates
PROJECTED HOTEL BEDROOMS 2018-2022
Research
350
240
171
165
8
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
TOTAL 934 CORK
200
200
56
2018
34
2019
2020
0
2021
2022
TOTAL 490 GALWAY
0
6
0 35 0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
TOTAL 41 KILKENNY
CORK HOTEL ACCOMMODATION PROJECTS WITH PLANNING ? CORK CITY (NOVEMBER 2018)
IN CONSTRUCTION
PLANNING GRANTED
Kingsley Hotel
The Windsor Inn
M Hotel Harley Street
Montenotte Hotel
Metropole Hotel
Imperial Hotel
Clancy's Bar,
Princes St
Maldron Hotel, South Mall
Parnell Place
Sullivan's Quay
Horgan's Quay
Boatel, Penrose Quay
IN PLANNING SYSTEM
Wilton Shopping
Centre
Travelodge, Kinsale Road
It is anticipated that new rooms will be predominantly in 4-star hotels (72%). Of the remainder, some 11% of rooms are anticipated to be in 3-star hotels, with 18% in budget hotels
Two of the three hotels currently on-site are expected to be completed before the end of 2018, adding 170 rooms to the stock, and the first major addition in five years
Almost 1,800 additional bedspaces in student accommodation that are also on-site in and around Cork city, and a further 500 are going through the planning process
Sources: Cork City Council
Research
GALWAY HOTEL ACCOMMODATION PROJECTS WITH PLANNING ? GALWAY CITY (NOVEMBER 2018)
Glenlo Abbey Hotel
IN CONSTRUCTION PLANNING GRANTED
IN PLANNING SYSTEM
Western Hotel, Prospect
Hill
Menlo Park Hotel
Doughiska Road
Connacht Laundry,
Henry Street
80 Prospect
Hill
Maldron Hotel, Headford Rd
Hotel Meyrick
Travelodge, Tuam Road
Glen Oaks Hotel
Nuns Island ? Canavan
House
Park House Hotel
O'Reilly's Bar &
Kitchen, Upper Salthill
Carroll's Inns,
Dominick St
An additional 350 rooms across ten different hotel projects to be added to Galway's stock by end 2020 ? this represents net addition of 290 (considering the redevelopment of the Westwood hotel (58 rooms) into 394-bed student accommodation)
The bulk of additional rooms (77%) are expected to be in 4-star hotels, with another 4% in 5-star hotels, 4% in 3-star hotels and 15% in 2-star or budget hotels
KILKENNY HOTEL ACCOMMODATION PROJECTS WITH PLANNING ? KILKENNY CITY (NOVEMBER 2018)
Pembroke Hotel
Evidence from planning permissions, press releases and other media reports suggest that there has been considerable investment in Kilkenny hotels in the last year, but almost all of this has been in food and beverage facilities or in refurbishing existing bedroom stock.
Sources: Galway City Council | Kilkenny City Council | Fitzpatrick Associates
Research
ACCOMMODATION SUPPLY/ DEMAND OUTLOOK
The adequacy of the accommodation supply for future growth is considered against future demand, i.e. annual visitors to Cork, Galway and Kilkenny and the bednights they require.
In the context of demand growth expectations
For 2019, 4% growth in overseas tourist numbers and 2.0% growth domestically is projected
For 2020-22, 3.5% growth in overseas numbers and 2.0% growth domestically is projected
Allowing for the strong growth experienced in 2018 and the forecast that overseas tourist numbers will grow at an annual average rate of 3.5% per annum out to 2022, then overseas demand will be up more than 20% over the next five years.
While these reflect national projections, experience shows that urban tourism grows at a faster rate given the choice and supply of tourist related accommodation and experiences.
Given that hotel occupancy rates are at an all-time high...
35% projected hotel room growth positions Cork well to take full advantage of all future growth opportunities
There are clear opportunities for Galway to further unlock growth with additional room supply
There are significant opportunities in Kilkenny for additional bed capacity to accommodate future growth
PROJECTED HOTEL ROOMS IN CORK, GALWAY AND KILKENNY BY END 2022
35%
PROJECTION OF NEW ROOMS % GROWTH IN ROOM STOCK
934
17%
CORK
490 4% 41
GALWAY KILKENNY
For more go to:
failteireland. ie/Research
Source: Fitzpatricks Associates
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