Hypothesis Testing in the Multiple regression model
Hypothesis Testing in the Multiple regression model
? Testing that individual coefficients take a specific value such as zero or some other value is done in exactly the same way as with the simple two variable regression model.
? Now suppose we wish to test that a number of coefficients or combinations of coefficients take some particular value.
? In this case we will use the so called "F-test"
? Suppose for example we estimate a model of the form
Yi = a + b1 X i1 + b2 X i2 + b3 X i3 + b4 X i4 + b5 X i5 + ui
? We may wish to test hypotheses of the form {H0: b1=0 and b2=0 against the alternative that one or more are wrong} or {H0: b1=1 and b2-b3=0 against the alternative that one or more are wrong} or {H0: b1+b2=1 and a=0 against the alternative that one or more are wrong}
? This lecture is inference in this more general set up. ? We will not outline the underlying statistical theory for this. We
will just describe the testing procedure.
Definitions
? The Unrestricted Model: This is the model without any of the restrictions imposed. It contains all the variables exactly as in the regression of the previous page
? The Restricted Model: This is the model on which the restrictions have been imposed. For example all regressors whose coefficients have been set to zero are excluded and any other restriction has been imposed.
Example 1
? Suppose we want to test that :H0: b1=0 and b2=0 against the alternative that one or more are wrong in:
Yi = a + b1 X i1 + b2 X i2 + b3 X i3 + b4 X i4 + b5 X i5 + ui
? The above is the unrestricted model
? The Restricted Model would be
Yi = a + b3 X i3 + b4 X i4 + b5 X i5 + ui
Example 2
? Suppose we want to test that : H0: b1=1 and b2-b3=0 against the alternative that one or more are wrong :
Yi = a + b1 X i1 + b2 X i2 + b3 X i3 + b4 X i4 + b5 X i5 + ui
? The above is the unrestricted model ? The Restricted Model would be
Yi = a + X i1 + b2 X i2 - b2 X i3 + b4 X i4 + b5 X i5 + ui
? Rearranging we get a model that uses new variables as functions of the old ones:
(Yi - X i1) = a + b2 ( X i2 - X i3 ) + b4 X i4 + b5 X i5 + ui
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